Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(3/4/1)-(2/7/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/7/4/5)-(4/7/1/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/9/5)-(2/7/4/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/5)-(4/7/1/11)-(7/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/7/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/11)-(4/7/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/11)-(4/7/1/11)-(4/7/1/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(2/3/7)-(11/6/9/12/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-7   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(11/6/9/12/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (11/6/9/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/9/12/1)-(11/6/9/12/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/9/12/1)-(11/6/9/12/1)-(11/6/9/12/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVENLY CHARM Jun29         (dailey ronald)OUZTS W 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CHARMING KITTEN out of RUNNINWITHUNHEAVEN by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
2  SPEED COLLECTOR Jun15         (salas felip)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 10.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SASSY ALI JOY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  JUSTONEMOREGEORGIE Jun29         (jazdzewski jo)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 5.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of UNEVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
4  MARIPOSA DE PISTA Jun14 May22 May03 Apr26   (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 119 2.50 11% 8.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MISS UNBRIDLED CAT by BROKEN VOW)
5  TRUE COMPANION Jul04 Jun15       (dailey ronald)BUSH V 119 10.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of PARTING SHOT by TRAPPE SHOT)
6  KID MATTIE MATT Jun15         (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50 63% 0.60    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of NEWPORT BLUE by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  GOOD LOOKING Jun24 May13 Apr24     (leitch daniel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TOWN FLIRT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
BTP-2   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALTHA Jun29 Jun21 May25 Feb03 Dec28 (bahena ismael)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
2  SUM KINDA PRETTY Jun29 Jun20 May25 May11 Apr28 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00    
3  MARKET OF STOCKS Jul03 Jun20 Dec04 Nov21 Nov12 (rodak geraldi)CANUTO THIAGO 122 10.00 ★    
4  QUIET DAWN Jun29 Jun05 May18 May03 Feb16 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 6.00    
5  MY ANGELICA Jun28 Jun20 May25 May11 May03 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BELIEVING (IRE) Jun29 Jun05 Dec22 Aug29 Jul29 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.50 54% 0.80    
7  WHISKEY SIS Jun29 Jun06 May23 May03 Jan03 (nocero carm)JIMENEZ J 122 4.00    
 
BTP-3   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICA CHULA Jun22 Jun07 May22 May02 Mar22 (calvo kelsie)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  COMPUTER WHIZ Jun15 May31 Nov07 Sep28 Sep13 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 122 3.50    
3  MINESTRESS Jun07 May22 Apr25 Mar01 Dec30 (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 1.60 49% 1.00    
4  LIPSTICK N LASHES Jun28 May31 May11 Apr25 Feb14 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  WACKER'S GIRL Jun22 Jun15 Aug09 Jul31 Jun25 (rodak geraldine)BUSH V 122 5.00    
 
BTP-4   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASTA LAVISTA BABY Jun12 May02 Apr14 Mar08 Feb13 (sandy s)MURGIA A 118 8.00    
2  HILLERITO May19         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
3  SHE'S A SAINT May23 Apr14 Feb22 Dec30 Nov29 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 8.00    
4  MEET IN SECRET Jul03 May17 Apr27 Mar27 Jun13 (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
5  ISA LEI Jun09 May22 Apr25 Feb07 Jan05 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  RONNIE'S DEAL Jun27 May15 Apr28 Apr14 Aug05 (smith r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 20.00    
7  SANDRINHA LOVE Jun20 May09 Mar15 Feb29 Feb14 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 2.50 31% 2.30    
8  SARISSA Jun27 May04 Apr14 Feb15 Jan04 (sandy s)HESS SARA 117 8.00    
9  VOTARY Nov29 Nov01 Aug30 Jun29 Feb11 (peach a)OUZTS W 122 4.50 ★    
 
BTP-5   07/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGAL TITAN Jun06 May04 Dec01 Oct26 Sep30 (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 8.00 17% 4.90    
2  D' PISTOL Jun15 May15 Apr16     (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 116 4.00    
SCR  FIXITWITHFORWARD Jul05 May25 Sep20 Sep02 Aug20 (cook k)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 2.50    
4  STEP ON IT Jul02 Jun12 Apr27 Mar27 Feb23 (bush s)HESS SARA 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  FEUILLETON Aug17 Aug03 Jun23 Jun07 Apr30 (chain pearl)JIMENEZ J 123 15.00    
6  MR YETTIE Feb28 Jan11 Sep20 Aug16 Jul23 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00    
7  FAVORITE HAUNT Jun12 May15 Mar21 Feb23 Feb09 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 118 8.00 26% 2.80    
8  RAGING WHIRLWIND Nov12 Oct03 Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 (chain pear)BATISTA X 123 20.00    
SCR  PAST IMPERATIVE Jun29 Jun01 Feb17 Jan11 Dec06 (sandy s)MURGIA A 123 12.00    
SCR  WHISKEY HELPS Jun27 May31 May15 Mar28 Jan24 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 15.00    
11  LANEHAYA Jun05 May03 Mar25 Mar07 Feb06 (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-6   07/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAILLIGHTS Jun28 May04 Oct04 Aug02 Jul08 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 123 6.00    
2  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Jul05 May15 May03 Nov24 Sep13 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 125 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  NAVY CROSS Jun26 Sep20 Aug23 Jul27 Jun16 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.00 ★    
4  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Jun27 Jun15 May17 Apr10 Mar22 (mendieta alej)SOSA LAUREANO 123 12.00    
5  AZURE SKY Jun27 May29 May15 Apr20 Dec22 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY ROMEO LIMA Jun23 Jun02 May12 May02 Mar06 (brownfield claude)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
7  SILENCE Jun27 Jun07 May15 Nov14 Oct28 (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
BTP-7   07/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Jun21 Jun07 Feb28 Feb03 Dec30 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 2.50    
2  RETAINED Apr27 Feb23 Dec30 Dec02 Oct23 (morey william)SOSA LAUREANO 122 4.00 45% 1.20    
3  BIG TRUCK Jun07 Jan24 Dec28 Nov30 Nov01 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  HALLOWEEN Jun26 May25 Apr24 Apr07 Mar14 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.50    
SCR  BAYTOWN BEAR Jul02 Jun27 May22 May06 Apr21 (mcentee paul)MAYTA J 122 12.00    
6  ONE RED CENT Jun29 Jun13 May30 May09 Apr20 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 121 10.00    
7  HELLO HOT ROD Nov24 Oct14 Sep09 Jul02 Jun11 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  EL CUERVO FELIS Jun26 Jun13 Jun01 May17 May03 (oviedo jose)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00    
 
BTP-8   07/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONHO DE VERAO Jul03 Jun13 May22 May03 Jan25 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  EASTERN SUNRISE Jun04 Apr27 Mar15 Feb15 Dec16 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 116 12.00    
3  LINDSY'S SHADOW Jun23 May22 Apr26 Mar20 Dec19 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 15.00    
4  OH POLLYANNA Jun09 Mar29 Mar15 Feb15 Jan24 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 123 8.00    
5  IN A PEACH Jun01 May18 May02 Mar16 Feb15 (evans michael)LEBRON VICTOR 123 12.00    
6  AUTISM COMPASSION Jun19 Mar15 Mar01 Feb01 Jan13 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.50 18% 4.40    
7  SHE'S A KEEPER Mar15 Feb15 Jan13 Dec22 Oct12 (esquivel je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 15.00    
8  HAMMER AND JAMMER May31 Feb03 Jan10 Dec15 Sep18 (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 123 15.00    
9  LUCKY LESSON Jun19 Jun12 Mar16 Nov17 Oct09 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 2.50 6% 14.80    
10  SUBTLE SENORITA Jun22 Jun05 May22 Apr28 Mar29 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 20.00    
11  HONEYTOWN Jun13 Mar06 Feb02 Jan17 Dec27 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 123 4.50 40% 1.50    
12  SPLIT DECISION Jun19 Jun12 Mar01 Feb15 Jan24 (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 5.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  SACRED CONNECTION Jun29 Jun15 May18 May04 Mar01 (smith larry)COLON H 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.