Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/3)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(3/7/5)-(2/8/5/7/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(2/8/5/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(2/8/5/7/3)-(3/5/9/7/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/8/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/7/3)-(2/8/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/7/3)-(2/8/5/7/3)-(2/8/5/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/5/7/3)-(3/5/9/7/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/7/3)-(3/5/9/7/8)-(7/5/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/5/9/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/7/8)-(3/5/9/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/7/8)-(3/5/9/7/8)-(3/5/9/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/9/7/8)-(7/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9/7/8)-(7/5/6)-(3/9/11/2/10) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/1/9/6)-(7/5/1/9/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(3/9/11/2/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(3/9/11/2/10)-(3/8/9/5/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/9/11/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/11/2/10)-(3/9/11/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/11/2/10)-(3/9/11/2/10)-(3/9/11/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/11/2/10)-(3/8/9/5/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/9/11/2/10)-(3/8/9/5/6)-(6/2/1/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (3/8/9/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/9/5/6)-(3/8/9/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/9/5/6)-(3/8/9/5/6)-(3/8/9/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/9/5/6)-(6/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/9/5/6)-(6/2/1/9)-(9/8/4/3/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (6/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/9)-(6/2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/9)-(6/2/1/9)-(6/2/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/9)-(9/8/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/8/4/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/3/5)-(9/8/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/3/5)-(9/8/4/3/5)-(9/8/4/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/27/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Jan14 Jan07 Dec15 Dec08 Nov24 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
2  GUILLAUME Jan14 Dec27 Dec16 Dec01 Nov03 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 ★    
3  BOLD MEDICATION Jan13 Jan05 Dec06 Nov22 Oct28 (potts wayne)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  H C HOLIDAY Dec24 Nov18 Nov05 Oct10 Sep23 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.50    
5  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jan10 Aug02 Jun25 May27 Apr08 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 ★    
6  SHANE'S JEWEL Jan07 Dec01 Nov01 Oct20 Oct04 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 74% 0.40    
7  STREET GLIDE Sep15 Aug04 Jun30 Apr19 Jan29 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 118 8.00    
 
TAM-2   01/27/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXAGERADORA Jan10 Dec22 Dec06 Nov01 Oct12 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 10.00    
2  GLADIATORA Jan10 Dec22 Dec06 Nov11 Sep09 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 8.00    
3  TESHIMA Jan12 Dec31 Dec22 Dec17 Nov25 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  LITTLE KENDALL         (romero rafae)MORELOS E 122 12.00    
5  ALWAYS CONNECTED Jan14 Nov25 Nov03 Oct15 Sep23 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 5% 17.70    
6  MERRY GOLD Jan10 Dec08 Oct27 Feb24 Jan27 (correa maxine)FERRER C 122 8.00    
7  PRINCESS TENKO Oct27 Aug31 Aug03 Jun11 May26 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 120 2.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  AMARULA SUN Jan20 Dec30 Dec06 Oct20 Oct08 (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 122 20.00    
 
TAM-3   01/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSIE'S SAVER Jan12 Dec29 Dec08 Dec01 Sep14 (paragallo je)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00    
2  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Jan12 Nov22 Oct19 Sep21 Jul22 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  NEWTON'S STAR (IRE) Jan01 Nov22 Oct29 Oct06 Sep03 (dobles eliza)MORELOS E 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GO MIKA Dec29 Dec08 May03 Apr15 Mar22 (avila jua)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 15.00    
5  BEASTIE GIRL Jan19 Nov22 Sep09 Aug17 Aug02 (rountree cathy)BUSH V 119 8.00 13% 6.40    
6  WAR MUSEUM Jan19 Sep03 Aug11 Jun30 Jun17 (ryan s)CASTANON L 119 3.00    
7  GLORIOUS WAVE Jul09 May26 Apr22 Apr01   (drake robert)BATISTA A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SPIRIT OF POWER Jan19 Oct29 Aug24 Jun02 Mar29 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
9  EMPIRE GIRL Jan14 Dec31 Dec22 Dec06 Nov29 (romero rafa)ORTIZ A 123 15.00    
SCR  ROB THE TREASURE Dec08 Nov22 Sep15 Sep03 Aug27 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  VICIOUS MOVES Jan10 Dec16       (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 10.00    
12  SYLLABUS Jan19 Dec08 Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 (dominguez l)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  ENCHANTMENT (FR) Dec30 Nov22 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 (carrascojr vic)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  C C'S FREEDOM Dec15 Aug18 Jul15 Jun04 May05 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00    
 
TAM-4   01/27/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING GRACE Dec30 Jun25 Jun04 Apr23 Apr06 (cordero anto)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
2  CHILD PROOF Jan07 Dec29 Dec06 Nov22 Oct04 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 122 2.50    
3  PERFECTLY GOLDEN Jan03 Dec22 Nov25 Sep21 Aug22 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.00 53% 0.90    
4  SUWANNEE CHICK Jan07 Dec16 Sep09 Aug17 Aug04 (parra hernan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00    
5  SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT Dec07 Nov18 Oct26 Oct06 Sep06 (stormfelt juli)CASTANON L 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  UNWHIRLED Jan17 Dec29 Nov29 Oct03 Aug19 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
7  DREAMING BIZ Jan03 Nov29 Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHABAM Nov29 Oct13 Sep02 Aug05 Jul20 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  KATIESDREAMGIRL Jan01 Dec07 Oct29 Sep17 Aug20 (yanez reynal)MORELOS E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS Jan01 Dec07 Oct29 Oct14 Aug05 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 118 15.00    
 
TAM-5   01/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANDY LANE KITTEN Jan13 Dec22 Nov29 Aug06 Jul22 (rodriguez dari)COTTO L 119 8.00 ★    
2  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Dec15 Nov08 Jun06 Apr01 Feb26 (granitz a)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 15.00    
3  KING RAMOS Dec30 Jun10 Apr29 Mar26 Mar08 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 119 12.00    
4  DAMIR Jan13 Dec22 Aug26 Jul27 Jun14 (galvan balta)BATISTA A 119 20.00    
5  VELOCE Dec22 Nov22 Oct16 Sep26 Sep09 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 4.50 6% 15.70    
6  NEW YORK PANTHER Jan13 Dec09 Nov03 Oct13 Sep15 (nunn dougla)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  YOU MUST CHILL Dec09 Nov12 Oct22 Oct05 Aug18 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 70% 0.40    
8  HARPOON HARRY Jan03 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jun25 (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00    
9  CATATUMBO Jan13 Dec01 Oct10 Aug06 Jul07 (wilson tony)CASTANON L 119 8.00 ★    
10  MR. KRINGLE Jan12 Aug03 Jun09 May14 Apr13 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 5.00    
SCR  CASTAGNO Dec22 Nov22 Oct27 Sep02 Aug11 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50    
SCR  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Dec22 Nov29 Oct13 Aug19 Jul22 (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00    
SCR  WILLOW WOOD Dec23 Nov16 Jun17 May29 Feb15 (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 4.00    
SCR  GUNSLINGER (IRE) Dec30 Dec01 Nov12 Oct22 Sep08 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 123 3.50    
 
TAM-6   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAB BEEF Dec11 Nov29 Oct30 Oct17 Sep17 (santillana fra)CEDENO CAROL 122 30.00    
2  SKYHOOPER Dec08 Oct29 Aug26 Jul16 Aug20 (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 3.00 8% 11.50    
3  SWING SAMMY Jan07 Dec06 Nov19 Oct28 Aug25 (sacco gr)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
4  RAMBO'S RETURN Dec31 Dec01 Oct26     (clay pat)TARASENCO P 122 30.00    
5  SEAX Jan13 Dec20 Dec08 Nov22 Oct18 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00    
6  IM STILL BRAVE Jan13 Dec29 Dec08 Oct16 Oct02 (torres r)FERRER C 122 12.00    
SCR  GOOD BUMP Oct22 Sep29 Sep08 Jul07 Jun03 (minguet )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 122 15.00    
SCR  KID EMERALD Jan17 Dec31 Dec02 Oct12 Jul03 (d'angelo jose)IORIO MELISSA 115 12.00    
9  RAY'S GONE ASTRAY Jan13 Dec20 Nov22 Oct05 Sep20 (smith robert )SOSA LAUREANO 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
10  HEZMORETHANREADY Jan07 Dec20 Nov01 Sep29 Sep06 (house gary)CAMACHO SAMY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  ALCAZABA (IRE) Jan07 Dec16 Nov25 Oct20 Sep02 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 5.00 12% 7.60    
 
TAM-7   01/27/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZATIP Jan03 Nov23 Oct21 Sep10 Aug01 (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00    
2  FATIMA'S BLESSING Dec09 Nov12 Oct19 Sep22 Sep04 (dini mike)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
3  CONVERSING Dec23 Nov08 Oct13 Oct02 Aug20 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
4  LINE TO GAIN Dec09 Sep13 Aug27 Jul30 Jul12 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 20.00    
5  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Dec10 Nov12 Oct14 Sep11 Aug21 (connelly teres)CEDENO CAROL 121 15.00 10% 9.40    
6  LORD EDDARD STARK Dec09 Oct21 Sep15 Aug13 Jul14 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRAND DAVID Nov10 Oct14 Aug26 May14 Mar15 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 15.00    
8  MAGICAL MARRIAGE Jan03 Dec09 Sep15 Jul21 Jul07 (mcburney patri)CASTANON L 123 4.00 21% 3.90    
9  NAPOLEONIC WAR Oct19 Aug19 Jul20 Aug28 Jul09 (sisterson jack)CENTENO E 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
10  EYES ON THE KING Dec23 Nov04 Sep03 Aug06 Mar04 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 4.50    
 
TAM-8   01/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGING AERO Jan06 Dec16 Nov18 Nov03 Oct14 (ryan s)CASTANON L 118 6.00 14% 6.10    
2  RARE JEWEL Jan03 Dec16 Nov12 Oct15 Sep23 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.50 27% 2.60    
3  CAMPTON Jan06 Apr13 Feb24 Jan14   (morey willia)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
SCR  CONSPIRACY FACT Jan05 Dec15 Dec01 Nov03 Sep20 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 3.00    
SCR  WORLDS ON HIGH Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 Oct19 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 8.00    
6  DESERT RULER Jan10 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct21 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.00 31% 2.30    
7  FALCONS FURY Jan19 Jan05 Jul06 Jun22 Apr11 (skeens jerem)MEJIAS RICARDO 118 30.00    
8  MR. SWAGGER Oct28 Jul01 May29 Apr08 Mar04 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 6.00    
9  DEEP FAITH Dec15 Oct20 Sep20 Aug19 Jul19 (rigattie)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  BOY O' BOY Aug25 Jun30 Jan12 Dec08 Oct08 (deaton william)CAMACHO SAMY 118 30.00    
11  MR. BONES Jan06 Nov25 Oct25     (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 20.00    
 
TAM-9   01/27/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN FORCE Sep09 Aug26 Aug10     (schistl raf)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of WAVELAND by WOODMAN)
2  RED ROADSTER         (hunt donald)ALLEN D 120 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of RIDGESTER by CACTUS RIDGE)
3  A G DIAMOND Nov18 Sep09 Jul27 Jun17 Jun03 (casca)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of QUEST FOR CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  ZINGALES KING Jan21 Dec24 Oct27 Jun24 May26 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 6% 16.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DISCREET DECEIT by DISCREETLY MINE)
5  COLLECTED DREAMS Jan06 Dec09 May30     (munoz carlos)GALVAN JHAIR 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of JOYFUL DREAMS by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  KARAOKE Jul28         (orseno joseph )CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of SINGSONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  VALIANT EXCHANGE         (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of COOKIE XCHANGE by XCHANGER)
8  EUCLID AVENUE Dec24         (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 8% 11.70    
  (by BUCCHERO out of MID PINES by SKY CLASSIC)
9  SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Dec31 Dec08       (vinson john )BATISTA A 120 4.50 60% 0.70    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of BIRTHDAY SUIT by ARTAX)
10  MIDNITE MUSKET Dec24         (stormfelt juli)CASTANON L 120 10.00    
  (by STANFORD out of RANGEY LIL by LION HEART)
SCR  BIVOL         (cascallares nes)CENTENO E 120 15.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of AMERICAN ROSE by DIGRESSION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.