Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(9/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(9/6/5/7)-(1/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (9/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/5/7)-(9/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/5/7)-(9/6/5/7)-(9/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/5/7)-(1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/5/7)-(1/8/3)-(3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/3)-(1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/3)-(3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3)-(3/8)-(2/1/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/8/7)-(3/8/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/8)-(2/1/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(2/1/7/8)-(4/2/3/5/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/8)-(4/2/3/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/8)-(4/2/3/5/6)-(1/4/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/2/3/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/5/6)-(4/2/3/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/5/6)-(4/2/3/5/6)-(4/2/3/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/3/5/6)-(1/4/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/5/6)-(1/4/6/7)-(3/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/7)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/7)-(3/5/2)-(2/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(2/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/6/9)-(8/9/3/5/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/9)-(2/6/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/9)-(2/6/9/5)-(2/6/9/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/9)-(8/9/3/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-10   WIN (8/9/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/5/4)-(8/9/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/5/4)-(8/9/3/5/4)-(8/9/3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/17/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMPING RUNNER Dec26 Dec14 Jul09 Jun11   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 6% 15.00    
2  UNXPECTED TIGER Dec31 Dec13 Nov29 Nov02 Oct04 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 4.50 7% 12.90    
3  GABBYSONHOLIDAY Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 Jun04   (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 62% 0.60    
4  MOBOT Dec31 Dec05 Nov01 Oct16 Oct02 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 10.00    
5  DUKE OF DOOLY Dec29 Dec20 Mar31 Mar10 Feb20 (sepulveda)RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00    
6  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE Dec20 Aug10 Jul21 Jun30 May06 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 12.00    
7  KID EMERALD Dec31 Dec02 Oct12 Jul03 May29 (d'angelo jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   01/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MONGOLIAN APPLE Dec31 Dec01 Oct21 Sep13 Aug27 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 2.00    
2  THAT SUN OF A GUN Dec24 Oct19 Aug25 Jul14 Jun10 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 111 15.00    
3  CORONOVA Dec31 Nov24 Oct28 Sep27 Sep16 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 4.50    
4  MY FAVORITE TOPIC Dec09 Oct06 Aug23 May26 Mar25 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 120 6.00    
5  SILVER STYLE Dec27 Dec16 Nov22 Sep02 Aug02 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  E MINOR Dec23 Oct26 Sep18 Aug29 Aug09 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 10.00 28% 2.60    
7  LOOKINASSAH Dec31 Sep02 Aug04 Jul02 Jun03 (pompay terri)MORELOS E 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  STELLWAGEN BANKER Jan06 Dec23 Oct27 Oct14 Sep27 (lopez mario )GARCIA GEOVANY 118 30.00    
9  FURIOUSLY Nov18 Oct12 Jan08 Dec07 Sep27 (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-3   01/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL DE CHIREL Jul30 Jul09 Jul02 May28 May14 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 122 1.50 45% 1.20    
2  FINAL VERDICT Dec29 Dec08 Oct10     (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 122 4.50 ★    
3  EL BAILADOR Sep01 Aug02 Jan08 Dec11 Nov12 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 122 10.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  SWING SAMMY Jan07 Dec06 Nov19 Oct28 Aug25 (sacco gr)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
5  MYSPECIALVALENTINE Dec24 Mar29 Mar12 Feb24   (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 12.00    
6  EAST TO BEAST Dec08 Aug18 Nov05     (crichton roh)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
7  OUR DARK COURAGE Dec20 Dec08 Aug25 Aug10   (wasiluk )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00    
8  CITY HUMOR Dec29 Oct14 Sep22 Sep02 Aug10 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00 13% 6.50    
 
TAM-4   01/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMPTOWN RACES Dec27 Dec16 Nov22 Oct02 Sep18 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00    
2  ERIC THE SALESMAN Jan06 Nov29 Sep30 Sep21 Sep03 (roque elis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 118 30.00    
3  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL Dec27 Nov25 Oct02 Sep10 Aug18 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  FUEL THE BERN Dec16 Oct09 Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 118 10.00    
SCR  GRAND VALLEY Jan07 Nov17 Aug11 Jul22 Jul01 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 3.50    
SCR  LITIGANT Jan05 Dec16 Dec06 Nov22 Aug23 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
7  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Jan07 Dec27 Nov25 Nov03 Oct21 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 2.50 ★    
8  BUSTINUPISHARDTODO Jan07 Oct21 Oct09 Sep20 Aug26 (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 6.00 27% 2.80    
 
TAM-5   01/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY'S DIALED IN Dec16 Nov12 Sep08 May25 Apr07 (deaton willia)FUENTES MARIO 118 2.50 17% 4.90    
2  TOODALOO Y'ALL Dec31 Dec09 Nov24 Oct20 Nov06 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 1.60 51% 1.00    
3  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 Sep22 Aug24 (cook devin)SUAREZ ANTHONY 118 20.00    
4  MIGHTY GIN GIN Dec31 Dec16 Nov24 Sep28 Aug31 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 6.00    
5  SHADY BABY Dec16 Nov24 Oct04 Aug30 Jul20 (mendieta aleja)MARIN SAMUEL 118 30.00    
6  DAHGO Dec15 Oct06 Aug13 Jun03 Mar25 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 118 30.00    
7  DEFENDER GAL Nov24 Oct05 Sep13 Jan06 Dec04 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 118 3.50 10% 9.50    
8  OUR FORTUNE COOKIE Oct29 Oct14 Sep03 Aug13 Jun24 (dye steven)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   01/17/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALEY'S HONOR Oct04         (granitz anth)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RAVER by TIZNOW)
2  AIR MASQUE Oct06         (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MASQUE D'OISEAU by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3  THREE RUN BOLT Dec23 Dec02       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 14% 6.40    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SIDISINFORTHREE by WHYWHYWHY)
4  DESTINY STAR Dec02 Nov11 Aug03     (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  HEIROZAN         (pompa)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00 7% 14.10    
  (by KHOZAN out of BRIDLED HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  TRICK OF THE LIGHT         (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GUEST HOUSE by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  LADYS CHANT         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of CAREY PRINCESS by WAR CHANT)
8  INVIDIA DEL COCO         (morales guil)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL RESPONSE out of VILARO by WILDCAT HEIR)
9  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Dec23 Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 Oct08 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of EXOTIC STORM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  ALTHENA Dec30 Dec15 Dec02 Oct14 Sep17 (paragallo je)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
  (by BLAME out of STARLESS NIGHT by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  ROADRUNNER THE CAT         (sacco d)FERRER C 120 8.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SHEISINITTOWINIT by STUDENT COUNCIL)
SCR  BOLDLY FORWARD (GB)         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BOLD UNION by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  COLLECTED DREAMS Jan06 Dec09 May30     (munoz carlos)GALVAN JHAIR 120 10.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of JOYFUL DREAMS by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  CHICA MUSIC Dec02 Oct28 Aug18 Aug11   (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of GLENCOE GIRL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
TAM-7   01/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY KHOZ Dec23 Dec08 Nov10     (laurato mich)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  SUPER SNEAKY Dec29 Dec02 Sep29 Sep01   (potts wayne)ALICEA JEREMY 113 15.00    
3  MORNING REFLECTION Jan07 Nov09 Sep28     (rarick ly)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
4  PRINCESS BU CHERRO         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
5  AMY MULE Dec02 Jul29       (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 3.00    
6  INDIAN TOWN ZIP         (james gerald)MORELOS E 120 12.00 15% 5.60    
7  REVOLU Oct14 Sep16 Aug20     (garcia rodolfo)OLIVERO A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAS VINO Dec31 Dec02 Nov10     (pita d)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.50    
 
TAM-8   01/17/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFERDITA Jan03 Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 Oct06 (rigattieri joh)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50    
2  KAEKO Jan03 Nov03 Sep30 Aug27 Aug12 (d'angelo jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.50 14% 5.90    
3  WATERWORKS Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 Oct06 Sep20 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  LINAHASPECSHOES Jan06 Nov09 Oct19 Sep15 Sep02 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 12.00 ★    
5  OUR FANTASY Dec16 Nov29 Oct21 Sep25 Aug17 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  DREAMING BIZ Jan03 Nov29 Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00    
7  COUNTLESS DREAMS Dec06 Nov22 Oct21 Jul30 Apr30 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
8  BOY IS SHE A LADY Dec31 Oct31 Oct23 Sep20 Aug22 (dixon)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
 
TAM-9   01/17/2024 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCH ME FREDDIE         (parra hernan)MORELOS E 123 20.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of FOOLHEARTED WOMAN by UNCAPTURED)
2  MAGISTRATE Dec28 Dec02 Oct26     (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ECCENTRIC SPINSTER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  FUJIN Dec23 Oct12 Jul30 Jul07 May14 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SEASONED by PULPIT)
SCR  FIRST SLEW Dec24         (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of DONNA SLEW by SEATTLE SLEW)
5  AQUARIUS MOON Dec07 Oct08 Sep03 Aug18 Jul02 (stormfelt juli)CASTANON L 123 2.50 ★    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of REMEMBER THE KEG by TAPIT)
6  BETTA GO GO GO Dec21 Nov19 Oct14 Jul07   (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LIVIA B QUICK by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
7  SECRET TREASURE Dec23 Jun09 May14 Apr08 Jan21 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 5.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SACRISTY by GODSWALK)
8  LUCKY HEART         (marrero nestor)CEDENO CAROL 123 20.00    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of FANCY FIONA by CACTUS RIDGE)
9  VALIANT WEST Dec23 Sep17       (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 6.00 16% 5.10    
  (by WEST COAST out of RUN AND GO by UNION RAGS)
 
TAM-10   01/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA MIURA Dec16 Oct13 Sep17 Aug20 Jul21 (harney heather)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 15.00    
2  SHEA ON A MISSION Dec29 Dec16 Dec06 Nov25 Oct18 (torres pabl)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 30.00    
3  CAPTURE MY DREAMS Dec30 Dec09 Oct06 Sep03 Aug02 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 123 4.50 8% 12.30    
SCR  JEWEL OF DENIAL Jan05 Sep09 Aug26 Mar20 Feb27 (perkinson cc)FERRER C 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  LIL ANNIE ROSE Dec23 Nov24 Oct08 Aug06 Jul01 (ubide max)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00 7% 13.50    
6  PRETTY FLATTERING Dec29 Sep19 Aug28 Aug10 Jul10 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 3.00    
7  CROSS ISLAND Jan05 Oct30 Sep19 Aug28 Jul04 (ferraro an)BATISTA A 119 5.00    
8  UNWHIRLED Dec29 Nov29 Oct03 Aug19 Jul25 (orantes yoni )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.50 53% 0.90    
9  WHAT A KNOCKOUT Dec29 Dec16 Nov25 Oct13 Sep17 (puckett dwight)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 9% 10.50    
10  DISCO QUEEN Dec29 Dec16 Nov25 Nov11 Sep17 (pita d)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.