Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (8/11/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/11/3/1)-(8/11/3/12/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/11/3/1)-(8/11/3/12/1)-(8/11/3/12/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/11/3/1)-(6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-2   WIN (6/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/2)-(6/8/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/2)-(6/8/2/3)-(6/8/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/2)-(7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-3   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2/4)-(7/6/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-4   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(2/13/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-5   WIN (2/13/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/13/5)-(2/13/5/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/13/5)-(2/13/5/6/9)-(2/13/5/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/13/5)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-6   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(6/8/2/5/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-7   WIN (6/8/2/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/5/10)-(6/8/2/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/5/10)-(6/8/2/5/10)-(6/8/2/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/2/5/10)-(2/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-8   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/8)-(2/1/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(7/1/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (7/1/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/9)-(7/1/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/9)-(7/1/5/9)-(7/1/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   01/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANDY BULLET         (mckanas j)PEREZ EDGAR 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
TOUCHED BY QUALITY Dec02         (cordero eniel)RIVERA JON 111 15.00    
JAZZIN Dec24 Nov25 Nov10 Oct21 Sep29 (sierra ruben)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
MY SWEETHEART DANI Dec28 Dec01 Nov04 Oct14 Aug17 (crooks jeffrey)BRAVO MAIKEL 118 30.00    
MY SARASOTA QUEEN Oct21 Oct07       (braddy dav)THOMAS ANTHONY 118 20.00    
BROKEN BANKER Dec08 Nov05 Aug19     (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
QUEEN HONESTY Dec26 Aug20 Aug05 Jul15   (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 6.00    
PARTY SHAKER Dec09 Dec01 Nov11 Oct28 Oct06 (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 118 2.50 57% 0.80    
TAKING IT ALL Dec26 Nov04 Oct14     (lee f)PARISH R 118 20.00    
10  POPPA CHIPPY Dec26 Dec01 Oct28 Sep24   (stormfelt juli)RIOS M 118 8.00    
11  CROWN JAK Nov11 Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug05 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 16% 5.10    
12  SHE LOVES TO MOVE Dec26 Dec03 Nov18 Oct28   (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
SCR  BINGO'S DREAM Dec22 Dec02 Sep15 Aug19 Jun03 (delgado h)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
GP-2   01/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEDONA RED Jul30 Jun25 May25 Jan13   (palmer nichola)REYES LEONEL 121 20.00    
TREASURE KING Dec09 Oct29 Sep29 Sep09 Jul01 (joseph saffie )MURPHY OISIN 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
SHANKAR Sep07 Aug13 Jul02 Jan19 Dec21 (joseph saffie )LEVEY M 121 4.50    
CAPTAIN ANTHONY Dec22 Dec08 Nov12 Oct27 Oct06 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 121 6.00    
SCR  UNCLE ARMANDO Dec09 Oct27 Sep03 Aug20 Jul22 (hurtak daniel)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
BACKCHAT Dec10 Nov12 Oct14 Sep01 Aug20 (stormfelt jul)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Dec24 Aug22 Jul19 Jun17 May27 (giddings melanie)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
CABLE BOSS Dec10 Nov14 Oct12 Aug26 Jul07 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
ADMIRAL'S WAVE Jan04 Dec15 Oct12 Sep02 Aug02 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 30.00    
 
GP-3   01/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUSTME IAMADOCTOR Dec07 Oct28 Oct08     (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.50    
WHISKEY AND WINE Oct12 Aug03 Jul14 Feb25 Nov12 (viands)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 12.00 11% 8.40    
BOURBON CLEARANCE Dec26 Oct22       (ramirez luis)THOMAS ANTHONY 123 12.00    
FRANKIEBLUEEYES Nov21 Nov01       (preciado guad)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00    
VINICIO Dec14 Oct27 Oct14     (negrete javier)RIOS M 123 4.50    
MOTOWN PUNK Dec07 Nov11 Sep22 Sep01 Jul30 (o'connell kathl)PEREZ EDGAR 123 8.00 11% 7.80    
DON'T ANSWER Dec07 Nov19 Oct20 Sep24 Aug18 (perez lu)PANICI LUCA 123 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
GP-4   01/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTON TABBY Nov11 Oct13 Aug03 Feb16 Jan25 (winebaugh )PIMENTEL JR 123 20.00    
MACASSA Dec02 Oct14 Sep23 Aug19 Jul22 (ritvo kathy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
NOTHING BUT PUMPS Dec01 Oct14 Sep29 Sep09 Apr27 (sano antonio)ORTIZ L 123 2.00    
A RING THING Nov11 Oct13 Oct01 Sep06 Mar18 (romero rafael)REYES LEONEL 123 2.50 36% 1.70    
ITS A BIRDIE Dec08 Nov24 Nov17 Oct26 Oct14 (mcdonald mic)ZAYAS J 123 15.00    
ANDIE ONE Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun02 Apr21 (biancone p)ASMUSSEN J 123 5.00    
GOLDCREST Dec08 Nov05 Oct02 Sep13 Aug01 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  FORBIDDEN DREAM Dec09 Oct03 Aug20 Jul21 Jun23 (crooks jeffre)MORALES ANGEL 123 10.00    
 
GP-5   01/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($89K) 3 F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULYSATURDAYNIGHT         (hess b)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BOUJIE GIRL by FLASHBACK)
PRETTY LIAM         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SYLPHIDE by BLAME)
JUSTIFIED STRATEGY         (servis c)JARAMILLO E 118 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of CRY AND CATCH ME by STREET CRY (IRE))
STAR PERFORMANCE Sep13 Aug20 Jul16     (antonucci jena)REYES LEONEL 118 10.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DREAM PROSPECT by MINESHAFT)
BEANPOT         (clement christoph)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WICKED LICK by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
DEFLECTION Nov10         (d'angelo jose )MURPHY OISIN 118 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of CHAUNCEY by JIMMY CREED)
SCR  DERBY HANGOVER Dec08 Nov19       (biancone p)ASMUSSEN J 118 30.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of HUNT BREAKFAST by HUNT CROSSING)
DIXIE MISCHIEF         (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DIXIE STRIKE by DIXIE UNION)
TURF ROCKET Dec08 Sep13 Jul29 May13   (o'dwyer je)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FLORIDA FUEGO by KANTHAROS)
10  NEW SPICE         (pletcher tod)ZAYAS J 118 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of RIVIERA ROMPER by TAPIT)
11  HIDDEN VASE Aug11         (danner kelsey)PEREZ EDGAR 118 15.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ELUSIVELY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
12  CREED'S GOLD         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of FOXYFROMFAIRBANKS by FAIRBANKS)
13  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE Dec08         (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 12.00 32% 2.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SECRET PASSION by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  BIG DREAMER Dec10 Oct29 Sep28 Aug28   (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIND ERASER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  PURE MAGIC GIRL Dec02 Oct07 Sep21     (lopez mar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 30.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RICKETYRACKETYRUSS by BORREGO)
 
GP-6   01/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($91K) 3 F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUN SONG Dec03 Oct21       (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00    
LESLIE'S ROSE Nov19         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 0.50 50% 1.00    
LINCOLN PARK Dec07 Oct22       (proctor thom)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
HAPPY TOGETHER Nov10         (pletcher a)JARAMILLO E 120 4.00 12% 7.20    
SING A LITTLE SONG Nov16         (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
EMILY'S WISH Nov18 Oct28       (d'angelo j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 30.00    
 
GP-7   01/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ THE COAST Dec31 Dec14 Nov03 Sep16 Aug23 (ortiz john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
GLOBES Dec09 Nov18 Oct08 Apr30 Apr16 (alvarado ju)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 3.50 7% 12.60    
BREAK THE ICE Nov11 Oct04 Aug16 Jul22 May19 (hennig mark)PANICI LUCA 123 30.00    
NO REGARD Dec16 Oct06 Aug03 Jul09 Jun04 (hennig mark)ZAYAS J 123 6.00    
LITTLE STEVEN Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct13 Jul19 (winebaugh ch)BRIDGMOHAN X 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
KINGFISH STEVENS Dec06 Nov18 Sep17 Aug10 Jul13 (paragallo jen)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 47% 1.10    
RACKET Dec23 Nov11 Oct27 Oct06 Sep10 (rojas r)GIL CIPRIANO 123 15.00    
MEDIA SENSATION Dec16 Dec07 Nov04 Aug12 Jul28 (cordero eniel)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
CARLIN CLAN Oct11 Sep17 Jun11 May27 Apr15 (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
10  CHACHARERO Dec23 Dec07 Nov04 Oct08 Sep10 (duco luis)PEREZ EDGAR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-8   01/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONCRETE GLORY Dec02 Oct15 Aug27 Mar23 Feb25 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
LIKE A SALTSHAKER Dec02 Nov04 Oct11 Sep17 Aug23 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 4.50 45% 1.20    
SARAWAT Dec01 Sep22 Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 118 30.00    
ROD TWO ROD Dec29 Nov12 Oct20 Sep23 Jun03 (ferris holly )ORTIZ JR 118 12.00    
SCR  SENSEI LAWRENCE Dec10 Nov18 Oct07 Sep23 Aug26 (young jennife)MORALES ANGEL 118 20.00    
IMPACTO Dec22 Oct21 Sep24 Aug25 Jul23 (smith ro)CASTANON L 118 12.00 12% 7.20    
ENSIGN PARKER Dec03 Oct22 Sep28 Aug19 Jul16 (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50    
PROVERB Dec02 Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar23 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 1.80    
 
GP-9   01/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($89K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SGT. PEPPER May07 Mar31 Feb26 Jan14   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 14% 6.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DAME DOROTHY by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MWARI Dec07 Nov03 Aug27     (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 15.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SEA GIFT by A.P. INDY)
SCR  MALIBU SPRINGS Dec07 Oct21 Sep28 Sep03 Apr16 (stormfelt)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 12.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MARQUEE MISS by COWBOY CAL)
MAIN LINE CIPHER Nov22 May04 Mar31     (walsh brendan )MURPHY OISIN 123 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of MY PHILLY GIRL by EMPIRE MAKER)
FLY RIGHT Jul30 Jul07 Jun03 Nov06 Oct02 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
  (by ASTERN out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
GET AHEAD NOW Dec10 Oct13       (wilkes r)PANICI LUCA 123 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of KAZAMIRA by DYNAFORMER)
TIZ ETERNAL Jan20         (tagg barclay)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by TIZNOW out of ETERNAL GRACE by GILDED TIME)
CURLIN'S KITTEN Nov11         (alter happy)ZAYAS J 123 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CURLIN'S MISTRESS by CURLIN)
MOHEGAN Nov22         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 7% 14.20    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of SUPER PHOEBE by MALABAR GOLD)
10  BIG COMMERCE Dec10 Nov03 Mar18 Feb18 Jan22 (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 123 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SHE'S A WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.