Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - December 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1)-(4/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/1)-(2/6/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/1)-(2/6/4/8)-(6/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/8)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/8)-(6/5/2)-(5/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/7/6)-(9/8/1/7/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(9/8/1/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(9/8/1/7/5)-(3/4/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/8/1/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/7/5)-(9/8/1/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/7/5)-(9/8/1/7/5)-(9/8/1/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/1/7/5)-(3/4/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/7/5)-(3/4/8)-(2/8/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/9/8)-(3/4/9/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/8)-(2/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(2/8/7)-(4/8/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/7)-(2/8/10/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/7)-(2/8/10/7)-(2/8/10/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/7)-(4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Nov18 Nov08 Oct27 Oct14 Sep14 (dollinger-st)BATISTA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUPER WILDCAT Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 Aug19 Jun16 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
3  LIKELY CHOICE Nov17 Oct26 Oct06 Sep15 Aug30 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00 6% 15.00    
4  CAJUN COUSIN Nov09 Sep14 Aug24 Jul12 Jun18 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.20 46% 1.20    
5  ULTIMATE BREEZE Nov17 Oct20 Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
6  COMIDA COMIDA Nov10 Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 Sep02 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.00    
7  SOUL OF THE BEAST Nov02 Oct04 Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 (brown kei)BOCACHICA J 115 5.00 17% 4.90    
8  BESTLA Nov10 Oct25 Oct06 Sep15 Aug24 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
 
CT-2   12/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOOTDAREITIS Nov10 Oct14 Sep15 Sep01 Aug16 (werneth ro)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
2  BABY QUINN Nov16 Aug26 Jul14 May29 May21 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 58% 0.70    
3  GLORIOUS MAHOMES Sep02 Aug11 Jul23 Jul02 Jun16 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80    
4  BIG BALLOONS Nov10 Oct19 Sep23 Aug27 Aug11 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAJUN FUN Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug26 Jun27 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
6  SKY OF GOLD Nov10 Oct19 Oct06 Oct07 Sep15 (atkins william)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
7  RUNAWAY ROAD Oct27 Oct06 Sep28 Aug27 Aug05 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
8  HELL'S KITTEN Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 Apr15 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   12/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AKINGISALWAYSKING Nov15 Oct28 Oct18 Sep30 Sep07 (murtaugh andrew )MAWING A 122 20.00    
2  DAD'S LIL SPARK Nov08 Oct24 Oct09 Sep12 Sep06 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 14% 6.00    
3  STAVANGER Nov15 Oct28 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 (racanelli mark)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
4  MUD BUG Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 Aug18 Jul27 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20    
5  CHROME HEIR Nov11 Oct21 Jul07 Jun23 Jun02 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
6  CABAR SUL Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 May31 May03 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
7  HE'S ON FIRE Nov11 Oct12 Sep07 Aug19 Jul29 (mancilla )BOCACHICA J 113 1.80    
 
CT-4   12/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLET TANAGER Nov11 Oct07 Sep07 Aug19 Jun16 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
2  ALWAYS SOMETHING Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 Aug25 Jun02 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00    
3  GRANDIOSELY Nov11 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 Aug24 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 3.00    
4  DING DING Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 Jul14 Apr20 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 4.50    
5  MO CO GOLD Nov10 Oct25 Oct01 Sep02 Jul23 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  VALID REASON Nov10 Oct25 Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  BRUSHING Sep04 Jul27 Jun07 Apr15 Jan22 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
CT-5   12/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY MACARENA Nov02 Sep30 Jul22     (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 15.00 9% 10.20    
2  SK'S HEART Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 Sep27 Sep13 (bailon ne)BOCACHICA J 115 4.50    
3  RED RIVER SUSI Nov15 Oct25 Oct12 Sep22 Sep09 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
4  VIESTE Nov24 Nov01 Oct20 Oct06 Aug26 (tobin l)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
5  LOCKDOWN VANNA Nov02 Oct06 Aug26 Jun17 May25 (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 Sep14 Jul15 (aylor l)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
7  SUPER MONEY Nov19 Nov03 Oct07 Sep15 Aug27 (haughton donnovan)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 6% 17.20    
8  NELLY TOO Nov15 Oct05 Sep29 Sep02 Aug10 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
9  DASHING LASS Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Sep21 Sep02 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
10  GAZALANI Aug05 Jul21 Jun10 May19 Nov26 (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 30.00    
 
CT-6   12/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ASSET Oct20 Sep29       (mcdonald tim)BATISTA A 121 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRECIOUS ASSET by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
2  MADMAN JONES         (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 121 20.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of ELUSIVE CAMILLA by BOP)
3  MY BALBOA Nov10 Nov03 Oct20     (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 1.60 43% 1.30    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCKABYE LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  HARLEY SIOUX Nov10 Jul06 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.80 33% 2.10    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  COURT TUDOR Jun01 May13 Apr22 Mar30 Mar10 (kirlew lenwort)RIOS-CONDE A 121 30.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
6  FUNKLE Mar09 Feb15 Jan25     (baird j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of JULIE B by EASTOVER COURT)
7  SWIPED THE CASTLE         (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 121 10.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SWIPE RIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
8  RESTLESS BUSTER         (craig e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of RESTLESS TOUCH by MEDFORD)
9  IRISH WIZARD         (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 6.00 ★    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of WIZARDS FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
 
CT-7   12/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Nov02 Oct18 Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
2  LUCKY BLONDE Nov11 Nov04 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 1.40 68% 0.50    
SCR  REVEIRS MINUTE Nov11 Oct24 Oct14 Sep08 Aug19 (hess jacob)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
4  SAVE THE FLAG Nov15 Oct23 Sep15 Aug12 Jul22 (zook jeff)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
SCR  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY Aug05 Jun23 Jun09 May20 Apr28 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
6  GIRLS HOUSE Oct21 Oct01 Aug18 Aug05 Jul13 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
7  UNCAPTURED RUBY Nov16 Oct20 Jun23 May27 May07 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SILVER RULES Nov10 Sep30 Sep07 Aug25 Aug12 (kopecki e)ARAUJO DENIS 124 10.00 6% 16.50    
9  GILDED QUEST Oct29 Oct13 Aug18 Jul22 Jun22 (brown ronney)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00    
10  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Oct04 Sep10 Aug11 Jun17 May27 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.00 ★    
 
CT-8   12/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER JORDAN Aug17 Jun22 May29 May11 Feb23 (carson laur)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  TRAPPE THE GOLD Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 Sep08 Aug18 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
3  DANCIN IN DUBAI Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 Sep22 Aug05 (brown kel)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00    
4  BRION Nov11 May28 May19 Mar17 Feb12 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 48% 1.10    
5  ADIOS SEE YA Nov11 Mar25 Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 (straughn william )LARROSA G 122 30.00    
6  VICTORIOUS BEAR Jun17 Apr15       (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  HUEY DUEY Nov11 Oct19 Sep28 Sep03 Jul29 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
8  SWEET SYNTAX Nov16 Oct06 Sep29 Sep01 Aug20 (robb j)HO WESLEY 124 4.00 28% 2.50    
9  T VILLE Oct07 Sep08 Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
10  TAPIO (IRE) Nov10 Sep25 Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50    
SCR  POLITICAL DECISION Nov11 Oct21 Oct13 Aug24 Aug13 (murtaug)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
SCR  SPEAKERIT Oct28 Sep30 Sep07 Aug20 Jul29 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.