Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - November 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/7/1)-(7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/1)-(7/5)-(8/3/6) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-3   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (7/5)-(8/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/6)-(8/3/6) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6)-(8/3/6)-(8/3/6) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/3/6)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(9/3/7/2)-(5/9/8/10) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (9/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/2)-(9/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/7/2)-(5/9/8/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/9/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/8/10)-(5/9/8/10/7) 16 $1.00 $32.00 
    TRI (5/9/8/10)-(5/9/8/10/7)-(5/9/8/10/7) 48 $0.50 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   11/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. YASUDA Oct17 Oct03 Sep20 Sep04 Aug21 (meals lois)YARANGA Y 123 5.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of MILLION GIFT by SUNDAY SILENCE)
2  MY BUDDY MICAH Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 Jul19 (santillo thom)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
3  ANDYLITHIC Nov12 Oct30 Jul26 Jul16 May29 (cady khal)HERNANDEZ H 118 4.50    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TEQUILA LIGHT by COLONY LIGHT)
4  AMERICAN MOON Oct25 Dec30       (west m)AVILES YAN 118 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FIFTH MOON by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  MOON OVER DUBAI Nov14 Oct23 Oct03 Sep03 Aug08 (poole jami )WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TIZCOOL by TIZNOW)
6  BALLOT BOX Nov05 Oct18 Aug23 Jun19 May07 (pizzur)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
7  NICKANDME Nov05 Jun09       (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of THISIZSPARTA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
 
MNR-2   11/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ALIBI Oct29 Oct11 Sep12 Aug28 Aug15 (langley car)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00 9% 9.70    
2  LAUTREC Oct23 Sep26 Sep04 Aug20 Jul31 (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  POLITICAL Oct29 Sep30 Sep16 Aug31 Jun21 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
4  HARD N'SWEET Nov07 Oct24 Sep05 Aug13 Aug02 (vickers t)MAILHOT P 120 15.00    
5  FIRING RANGE Oct05 Sep23 Sep13 Aug23 Jul12 (howard wi)HERNANDEZ H 120 15.00    
SCR  VALEROSO Nov08 Oct18 Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.50    
7  DEJOHN Oct29 Oct09 Sep24 Sep12 Sep06 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00 17% 5.10    
8  TAMANRASSETT Nov07 Oct18 Oct11 Sep28 Sep10 (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 123 3.50    
9  LA BRODY Nov07 Oct29 Oct10 Oct03 Sep19 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 120 15.00    
 
MNR-3   11/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHORIST Oct29 Oct16 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 120 15.00    
2  LADY MECHANIC Nov12 Nov06 Oct29 Aug28 Aug15 (lopez jose )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 30.00    
SCR  YOU'RE A DANDY Nov05 Oct23 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 (ramos francisco)MAILHOT P 118 15.00    
SCR  WHATRUWAITINGFOR Nov12 Oct04 Sep10 Aug15 Aug02 (gotera c)TOLEDO S 120 20.00    
5  I MATTER Nov12 Aug19 Jun14 May23 May03 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  MARKET OF STOCKS Nov12 Oct29 Oct15 Oct07 Sep20 (rodak geraldine)CCAMAQUE M 120 3.50    
7  SHAOLIN Nov08 Oct11 Sep06 Aug09 Jul07 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 0.80 28% 2.50    
 
MNR-4   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAMBLIN CHROME Sep27 Jul22 Jul01 Jun23 Jun07 (perez ca)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
2  LOCKDOWN LOVER Nov06 Oct16 Oct09 Sep19 Sep06 (snatchko a)YARANGA Y 120 30.00    
3  BEYOND TALENTED Nov07 Oct17 Oct09 Sep11 Aug29 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  ROLL ME OVER Nov01 Oct20 Sep17 May06 Apr21 (cuttino mar)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 12.00    
SCR  VENEZUELANDREAMERS Nov07 Oct19 Sep25 Aug29 Aug15 (gotera c)TOLEDO S 120 15.00    
6  JOHN'S KID Nov13 Nov05 Oct10 Oct02 Sep18 (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
7  OCEAN KISS Nov12 Oct23 Oct03 Sep06 Aug19 (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 30.00    
8  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR Nov12 Sep23 Aug25 Jul29 Jul08 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  DESERT HIGHWAY Nov08 Oct06 Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 (ramos francisco)MAILHOT P 118 12.00    
 
MNR-5   11/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA SMOOCHIE Oct23 Aug12 Jun21 May29 May21 (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 15.00    
2  TREASURED NIKKY Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 Aug30 Aug15 (larue steve)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 15.00    
3  DEVILISH MAGIC Oct29 Oct17 Sep19 Sep20 Aug15 (uelmen jason)CCAMAQUE M 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
4  ADABEL Nov06 Oct19 Oct07 Aug10 Jul21 (gotera c)TOLEDO S 123 4.50    
5  BELLA BASORA Oct29 Oct17 Oct04 Sep19 Aug29 (gotera )BRAVO MISAEL 116 6.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  PLEASANT BUFFY Dec12 Nov30 Oct25 Sep04 Aug16 (reffner b)GILBERT KYLE 123 5.00    
7  ORBALINE Feb27 Feb07 Dec30 Dec01 Nov17 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
8  EVER SO D'WILD Sep05 Aug23 Aug07 Jul21 Jun23 (mcdonald )HERNANDEZ H 123 12.00    
 
MNR-6   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROTHER SKYE Nov08 Oct17 Sep24 Sep07 Aug22 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
2  C J ALL THE WAY Nov08 Oct22 Sep21 Aug12 Jul19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00    
3  SUTTON BREEZE Oct30 Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Jul17 (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  GILLIGAN Nov02 Oct24 Oct01 Sep20 Sep13 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.50    
5  POSEIDON'S SON Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 Aug08 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.50 15% 5.80    
6  LUCKY SMILE Nov16 Nov08 Oct30 Oct16 Sep25 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ H 120 12.00    
7  BEACH HOLIDAY Oct18 Oct02 Sep10 Aug30 Aug09 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00    
 
MNR-7   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CURIOSITY KILLS Nov07 Aug20 Aug08 Jul11 Jun13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00    
2  U SO MONEY BABY Nov05 Oct01 Sep19 Aug28 Aug13 (larue steve)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00 12% 7.40    
3  GO STELLAIRE Nov07 Oct24 Oct04 Sep18 Sep05 (vickers t)MAILHOT P 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
4  LADY MARVEL Nov07 Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 (van den)CEDILLO MAURO 120 8.00    
5  ROLO BOLO Oct03 Apr27 Mar31 Feb23 Feb01 (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.00    
SCR  TESTED POSITIVE Oct24 Oct10 Sep24 Aug31 Aug18 (morzan e)PAUCAR E 118 15.00    
7  EPICUREAN Nov04 Oct25 Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
8  RUN AWAY FEVER Nov05 Oct24 Oct01 Aug28 Aug13 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 30.00    
9  FLOWZANO Nov07 Jun21 May30 May16 Apr25 (norris step)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
10  CURT'S ANGEL Jun21 May23 May02 Mar29 Feb15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 10.00    
SCR  AMERICAN BOUND Oct25 Sep12 Aug30 Aug01 Jun22 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00    
 
MNR-8   11/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GENERAL DIRECTION Oct16 Aug27 Aug09 Jul23 Jun26 (conto kevin)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 6.00    
2  HOLIDAY BONUS Oct18 Aug08 Jul17 Jun14 May15 (fairman s)HERNANDEZ H 123 10.00    
3  SOURNOIS Oct29 Oct16 Oct03 Sep10 Aug22 (kirk sherry)BARBARAN ERIK 123 30.00    
4  STAR DEPUTY Feb09 Jan16       (rhoden carlto)NELSON TYRONE 123 30.00    
5  DRIVE BY LAYOVER Nov12 Oct30 Sep26 Sep17 Jul30 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 1.40 54% 0.80    
6  SELLING OUT Oct08 Sep05 Aug13 Aug02 Jul18 (welsh r)GILBERT KYLE 123 20.00    
7  SEXY CHOCOLATTE Oct31 Oct16 Sep17 Aug16 May07 (jensen justin )JURADO EDDIE 123 4.00 ★    
8  KREWE CHIEF Oct31 Sep26 Sep05 Aug07 Jul03 (reed larry )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 9% 9.80    
9  JUSTIN FRONT Oct29 Aug07 Jul12 Jun11 Nov22 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 123 10.00 10% 8.80    
10  PROFESSIONAL Oct29 Oct03 Sep10 Aug28 Aug15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  FIELD OF COURAGE Jul18         (van dennis)MAILHOT P 123 8.00    
SCR  HE'S A SHOOTER Oct26 Jul14 Jun15 Dec09 Nov12 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
SCR  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Oct18 Oct03 Sep10 Aug13 Jul18 (welsh g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.