Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(6/4)-(2/1/8/5/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
DEL-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(2/1/8/5/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/1/8/5/7)-(12/5/8/3/6) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
DEL-3   WIN (2/1/8/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/5/7)-(2/1/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/5/7)-(2/1/8/5/7)-(2/1/8/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/8/5/7)-(12/5/8/3/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/5/7)-(12/5/8/3/6)-(6/8/7/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DEL-4   WIN (12/5/8/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/5/8/3/6)-(12/5/8/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/5/8/3/6)-(12/5/8/3/6)-(12/5/8/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/5/8/3/6)-(6/8/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (12/5/8/3/6)-(6/8/7/2)-(11/10/5/1/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DEL-5   WIN (6/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/2)-(11/10/5/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/2)-(11/10/5/1/9)-(9/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-6   WIN (11/10/5/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/10/5/1/9)-(11/10/5/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/10/5/1/9)-(11/10/5/1/9)-(11/10/5/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/10/5/1/9)-(9/8/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/10/5/1/9)-(9/8/10)-(2/8/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-7   WIN (9/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/10)-(9/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/8/10)-(9/8/10)-(9/8/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/8/10)-(2/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/6)-(2/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/6)-(2/8/6)-(2/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   10/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR JACK Aug18 Jul27 Jul12 Jun02 Mar03 (barboza vict)ARROYO S 119 4.00    
MY ROMEO LIMA Sep14 May28 Apr15 Mar09 Feb11 (camejo m)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00    
ROAN BURGUNDY Sep15 Aug22 Aug13 Jun24 May29 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
URBAN MYTH Sep16 Aug18 Jul21 Jul01 Jun04 (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 24% 3.30    
LUIGI'S SPIRIT Jun24 May18 Mar31 Feb18 Feb05 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
PORTOS Sep21 Sep10 Aug18 Aug02 Jul13 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Sep28 Aug26 Aug05 Jul14 Apr15 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
 
DEL-2   10/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE POINT STRUT         (camejo jose )ARROYO S 119 6.00    
SECRET SATURDAY         (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00    
SCR  SIR MI TOLEE         (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50    
TAKESCHARGESMILING         (rigattieri john)MENA E 119 4.00 8% 11.20    
IN THE DANCE Sep29 Aug26       (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
SILVERBULLETTWENTY Jun28         (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  MY LUCKY ACE Sep29         (deiter kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 10.00    
 
DEL-3   10/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOLIERE Sep27 Aug09 Jul08 Jun15 May06 (truehart jennif)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 30% 2.30    
WARRIOR IN CHIEF Sep21 Aug30 Jun16 May11 Apr06 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 33% 2.10    
ROYAL COUP Sep30 Sep02 Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 (ramirez jo)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 12.00    
OFF THE MEDS Sep02 Aug05 Jul26 Jul10 Jun16 (avila ca)SOSA LAUREANO 113 8.00    
LIFESPAN Sep29 Sep08 Aug17 Aug09 Jul22 (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 120 6.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  SALTY HEIR Sep07 Aug19 Jul29 Jul05 Jun09 (allen ferris)CEDENO CAROL 122 2.50    
CREATIVE CLOUD Sep15 Aug26 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 (posadas ped)MARIN A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROARING RIVER Sep30 Sep08 Aug17 Aug04 Apr06 (smith g)MENA E 120 8.00 8% 11.40    
PURPLE SHIRT Oct04 Sep22 Sep13 Sep01 Aug08 (harigeorg)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
10  MELINA'S DREAM Sep30 Sep08 Aug26 Aug09 Jul22 (nazario pedr)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00    
11  STAY HYDRATED Sep07 Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 May24 (romero alex)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 20.00    
 
DEL-4   10/13/2023 5490ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Sep29 Aug23 Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 (mosco robert)MARTINEZ JUAN 136 15.00    
MY BIG DRAMA Sep29 Sep14 Sep02 Aug16 Aug04 (rigattie)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 136 12.00    
RUGBY ROAD Sep19         (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 133 8.00 6% 15.20    
GRUNION Sep29 Sep14 Aug30 Aug12 Jul12 (yovanovich )WOODSON MICHAEL 136 15.00    
MINTENON Sep29 Sep02 Aug23 Jun21 Jun02 (carrascojr v)JANEIRO JAVIER 136 10.00 21% 3.80    
LAPINSKI UNION Aug10 Mar02       (robertson m)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 133 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWALLOW BEACH Jul01 May24 Feb04 Sep17 Aug07 (meister wi)ENGLISH SAMANTHA 136 20.00    
RULE BREAKER Sep14 Jul30 Jun17 Apr21 Mar04 (schultz lind)MCGUIN JASMINE 133 10.00 9% 9.60    
SHIP MASTER Sep02 Jun30 May24 Apr29 Mar31 (lopez r)RAMOS JATNIEL 133 10.00    
10  SETTE STELLE Oct04 Sep19 Sep09 Aug26 Aug09 (siculi)RODRIGUEZ A 136 20.00    
11  I WANNA ROCK Aug30 Jun01 Nov04 Oct21 Jul13 (cronk )RIOS-CONDE JR 133 15.00    
12  INBOUND Sep19 Sep09 Nov11 Oct22 Sep10 (hendriks ri)CASTRO JEREMIAS 136 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  FLEETS BAY Oct07 Sep07 Jul20 Jul13 Jun24 (boniface )LEATHERMAN TAYLOR 133 3.50    
SCR  FROG PRINCE Sep22 Sep10 Aug10 Jul23 Jun23 (stettinius)SCULLY ELIZABETH 136 20.00    
 
DEL-5   10/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRACLE TRIP Sep01 Aug04 Jul15     (d'angelo jos)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
YAHOO OMAR Sep27 Aug30       (simoff andrew)CONNER TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
HEAVY TIMBER Jul30 Jul07 Jun10 May23 May01 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 118 2.50    
DUBLSHOTOFCOURAGE Jun24 Jun10       (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 8.00    
JESUS' DREAM Oct03 Sep05 Aug25     (servis t)SANCHEZ J 118 8.00    
BATI KING Sep22 Jun10       (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 42% 1.40    
PACK PLAYS Sep01 Jul15       (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 107 6.00 5% 18.80    
FINICKY Sep27 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 (nambo cesar)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
DEL-6   10/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZYBELLA Sep14 Aug17 Jul12 Jun10 May11 (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 120 12.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  ABIDALE Sep14 Aug17 Jul30 Jul14 Jun06 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50    
STRUT Aug26 Jul10 Oct12 Sep11   (wagner karin)HIRALDO JOHN 117 15.00    
HEYBACKATCHA Aug16 Jul05 Nov08 Sep22 Aug26 (bennett juanita)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
BLONDE SAMARITAN Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul22 Jun15 (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 5.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  TIZ HERSELF Sep14 Jul26 Jun21 Jun01 Apr29 (rigattieri john)MENA E 120 1.20    
KOBE'S SMILE Sep01 Aug03 Jul20 Jun24 May27 (boniface ke)WOLFSONT ANDREW 117 15.00    
SHABAM Sep02 Aug05 Jul20 Oct14 Sep07 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 8.00    
MS BOOMBASTIC Sep22 Sep14 Mar03 Feb08 Jan28 (posadas pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  LOVE FOREVERAFTER Sep22 Aug11 Apr23 Apr02 Jan29 (morris neil )ARROYO S 117 8.00 17% 4.80    
11  CLASSIC VINYL Sep06 Dec16 Oct14 Sep07   (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 3.50 40% 1.50    
12  UNA LUNA Sep20 Sep01 Aug10 Jun03 Apr23 (sanchez-pinero)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  PERFECTLY GOLDEN Sep21 Aug22 Aug11 Jun10 May24 (sacco greg)SANCHEZ J 117 8.00    
14  SEEKINGBYTHESTORM Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul07 May26 (mcgoey mon)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 15.00    
 
DEL-7   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST White Clay Creek Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEIGNOIR Aug26 Jul31       (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEEHIVE HAIRDO by FLAT OUT)
SCR  POWER SQUEEZE Oct07 Sep10 Aug19     (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CALLMETHESQUEEZE by AWESOME AGAIN)
STILL GAME Sep27 Aug02       (ashby lynn)HIRALDO JOHN 119 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of IRINA BARANOVA by BULLSBAY)
SCR  A PRIMERA VISTA Oct08 Sep09 Aug17     (raven kerri)NO RIDER 119 8.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of DAZZLINGSWEETHEART by DAZZLING FALLS)
SCR  DEWEY DOIT Sep19 Aug21       (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of ARUBAN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  CLASSY MISCHIEF Sep28 Aug20 Jul30 Jul13   (contessa c)CENTENO E 117 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE by INCLUDE)
D'LIGHTFUL SUMMER Sep20 Aug20 Jul29     (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HOT SUMMER by MALIBU MOON)
GEE WIZ Sep20 Aug27       (wilson faith)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00 28% 2.50    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of CRAFTY COED by CRAFTY FRIEND)
RINGY DINGY Sep17 Jul30       (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of WIND CAPER by TOUCH GOLD)
10  TOP BLUE Aug02         (matz r)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GOSPEL GIRL by HOLY BULL)
11  MISS ELLARY Sep23 Aug21       (shuman mar)SANCHEZ J 117 20.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of LILLIE'S ANSWER by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  MOLLY MALONE Sep20         (tapsas elias)TREJOS JOSEPH 117 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DORITZA by MINESHAFT)
SCR  SWEET DISTRACTION Jul29         (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 117 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESCULTURA by PULPIT)
 
DEL-8   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNXPECTED TIGER Oct04 Aug26 Aug16 Jun23 Apr28 (ochoa gerard)HIRALDO JOHN 120 4.00    
O T C WIZ Jun02 Feb18 Jan13 Dec14 Nov07 (russell br)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
FINN'S POINT Oct04 Sep09 Aug26 Aug09 Jul26 (strauss b)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
GREATEST WARRIOR May18 Mar31 Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 110 12.00    
SCR  POP SOCKS Oct05 Sep02 Aug10 Jul20 Jun30 (martin clyde)ARROYO S 120 6.00    
CATCHHIMANDFREEHIM Sep29 Sep13 Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 (rigattieri john)MENA E 120 6.00 6% 15.60    
NATURE OFTHE BEAST Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 Aug09 Jul26 (sullivan elliot)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 8.00    
PRACTICALLYMINE Sep04 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 Jun18 (truehart jenni)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  RECUSED Sep22 Sep02 Aug12 Jul23 Jun25 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 12.00    
10  MAD DOCTOR Sep29 Sep14 May05 Apr03   (lugovich li)VILLASMIL EDGAR 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.