Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - August 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(7/1/2/4)-(4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/4)-(4/1/6)-(6/3/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/3/9/7)-(7/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/3/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/7)-(6/3/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/7)-(6/3/9/7)-(6/3/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/9/7)-(7/3/5)-(3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(3/5/7)-(2/8/1/11/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-7   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(2/8/1/11/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/8/1/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/11/7)-(2/8/1/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/11/7)-(2/8/1/11/7)-(2/8/1/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT ZIP         (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of PLASTIQUE by CITY ZIP)
2  SOCIAL HISTORY         (danner do)CORREA L 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DANZA out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
3  COUSIN JOE         (bogart robert)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
4  WHO DEY         (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PELIPA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  SHADOWY Jul22 Jun03       (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
 
BTP-2   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENYA SUN Jun29 Jun03 Mar17 Feb12 Jan28 (tsirigotis)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
2  GOSHEN Jul12 Jun15 Jun06 May25 May12 (danner do)CORREA L 118 2.50 8% 11.20    
3  MY ANGELICA Jun29 Jun03 May17 May05 Apr27 (pinzon maria)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
4  KNOT WILD Jul08 May05 Feb14 Jan21 Jan07 (sandy s)MCKEE J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUCKY TUESDAY Jul21 Nov30 Nov14 Oct26 Oct19 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00    
6  SUPORB Jul12 Jun29 Jun03 May19 May05 (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 4.00    
7  RATTRAPANTE May22 Apr27 Mar30 Sep23 Aug20 (delong ben)MARCANO Y 115 6.00 50% 1.00    
 
BTP-3   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARNACK ON TOUR Jul06 Jun10 Apr19 Nov22 Nov09 (douglass)STRANDBERG MALLORY 120 4.50 7% 14.30    
  (by CARNACKS CHOICE out of CARLY ON TOUR by TOUR D'OR)
SCR  MY FAVORITE UNCLE Jul21 Jul09 May29 Apr29 Mar11 (galindo-torr)MARCANO Y 120 3.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STORM SONG by SUMMER SQUALL)
3  SAVAGE KISS Jun15 May06 Mar24     (heitzman eric)MOJICA JR 120 4.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of KISSIN KIM by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  TOM'S SPIRIT Jul10 Jun10 Nov03 Sep23   (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 115 2.00 70% 0.40    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of TOMICA'S SPIRIT by OFFICER)
5  ALY STONE Jul13 Jul06 Jun17 Jun03 Mar07 (holton rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of GINGER STONE by ELITE SQUADRON)
6  RISKY CHOICE Jun16 May25 Apr01 Mar10 Feb24 (spicer jame)JIMENEZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of RISK CONTROL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
BTP-4   08/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN Jun29 May17 Apr25 Dec28 Nov26 (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 118 12.00    
2  REVERE NOTE Jun03 May18 Apr29 Mar02 Jan14 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 10.00    
3  HILLBILLY LOGIC Jul14 Jun20 Jun03 May19 Mar23 (howard anne)MCKEE J 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  PITCH DARK Jun21 Aug12 Jul07 May31 May10 (bright derric)PANAIJO JORGE 122 10.00    
5  IKE AND JACK Jul13 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Aug28 (norris mike)MARCANO Y 117 15.00    
6  WIMOWEH Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec07 Oct27 (gorostieta ci)CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
7  FROOME (IRE) Jul13 Jan11 Dec07 Sep20 Aug27 (adams l)REYES R 122 8.00 10% 9.50    
8  EASILY INFLUENCED Jul14 Oct04 Aug31 Aug18 Jul12 (brafford michelle)OUZTS W 122 5.00    
9  LEO'S ROAR Jul03 Jun07 May24 Aug25 Jul12 (glyshaw t)CORREA L 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
 
BTP-5   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH FRONT Jul19 Jul07 Jun14 Mar28 Mar09 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 2.50    
SCR  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Jul13 Jun08 May27 May13 Apr29 (howard d)HESS SARA 115 6.00    
3  GAMBLER May19 Sep12 Aug22 Aug03 Jul22 (bush s)BUSH V 120 10.00 21% 3.70    
4  RAF Jul07 Jun09 Mar30 Mar16 Jan18 (jarvis kathy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50    
5  CALL PAPA Jul22 Jun17 May25 Apr13 Apr04 (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00 16% 5.40    
6  WHEREWEGOIN Jun01 Nov12 Oct25 Sep09 Jul13 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 120 5.00    
7  CELTIC MISCHIEF Jul13 Jun09 Oct11 Sep30 Sep22 (hancock a)MCKEE J 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
BTP-6   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENDLESS Jul13 Jul06 Jun10 May26 May12 (adams l)REYES R 120 5.00    
SCR  BEACH KITTEN Jul06 Jun16 May18 May02 Feb25 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 120 3.50    
3  ROLLESTON Jul08 May19 May04 Feb24 Dec30 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
4  TAMI ANN Jun30 May26 Apr21 Mar03 Feb03 (barrett grant)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50    
5  HUSH HUSH Jun24 Jun08 May11 Mar16 Jul30 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  VILLAREGGIA Jul12 Jun24 Jun10 May19 Apr20 (ginter raymond)AYALA ISAIAS 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
BTP-7   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASTIEN LE BROWN Jul19 Jul01 Jun22 Jun09 May20 (donjuan s)CORREA L 120 5.00    
SCR  COMMANDANDCONTROL Jun16 May31 May06 Apr23 Jan14 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 115 4.50    
3  OUT WORK'N Jul19 Jul01 Jun16 May17 May05 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  FALCONS FURY Jul06 Jun22 Apr11 Mar21 Feb23 (skeens jeremy)MCKEE J 120 10.00    
5  TEQUILAS RANGER Jul01 May20 Dec17 Sep16 Aug25 (jones phill)PETERSON FERRIN 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  HEMP HEAVEN Feb09 Dec31 Nov27 Jun29 Apr27 (wittek karyn)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
7  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Jul17 Jul07 Jun05 Apr16 Mar26 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
BTP-8   08/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAYNE'S LEGEND Sep07         (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 8% 11.20    
2  STEALTH MISSION Jun22 Jun07 Dec14 Sep30 Sep05 (patrick gary)OUZTS W 125 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  SOME R BLESSED Jul21 Mar23 Aug19     (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 12.00    
4  BIALYSTOCK Jun12 May23 Apr28 Apr14 Oct12 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
5  SHANNONRUN Jul10 Jun04 May06 Mar24 Mar11 (perez car)AYALA ISAIAS 125 6.00    
6  HABITUS (GB) Jun30 May20 Apr01 Mar11 Feb10 (shifflet)STRANDBERG MALLORY 125 10.00    
7  RAGING WHIRLWIND Jun30 May31 May06 Apr19 Apr08 (chain pearl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 8.00 5% 18.70    
8  MYTHOMANIA Jun09 Mar31 Feb02 Jan11 Dec11 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 115 3.00 24% 3.20    
9  THE BIG NAUGHTY Jul13 Jun22 May31     (obert danielle)STEVENS C 120 30.00    
10  NORTHERN RUNNER Dec30 Nov27 Nov03     (demeritte la)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 30.00    
11  MR JOKE Apr20         (ramos rafael)REYES R 120 15.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  COSMIC STORM Jul07 Jun15       (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 120 5.00    
SCR  EL MIC TIESUN Jul14 Jun17 Jun02 May20 May12 (scott anthon)MARCANO Y 120 20.00    
SCR  THE POINT ROAD Jul06 Jun17 May31 May06 Apr30 (bush s)BUSH V 125 15.00    
SCR  JARED THE WARRIOR Jul20 Jun26 Jun10 May30 Jan07 (mcvickers la)MARCANO Y 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.