Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - May 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(6/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(6/3/2/8)-(5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/8)-(5/2/4)-(6/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(2/9/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/9/7/4)-(2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/4)-(2/9/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/4)-(2/9/7/4)-(2/9/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/7/4)-(2/3/4)-(1/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(1/8/3)-(8/1/5/6/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-7   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/3)-(1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/3)-(8/1/5/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/1/5/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/6/7)-(8/1/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/6/7)-(8/1/5/6/7)-(8/1/5/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   05/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT DREAM Apr12 Mar23 Mar07 Feb07 Jan19 (salcedo ramo)TAPARA BRANDON 121 6.00 6% 15.70    
CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY May06 Mar24 Feb25 Feb04 Jan06 (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
HATTIE M Apr28 Feb22 Jan18 Nov30 Nov10 (huffman pat)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00    
COMMANDANDCONTROL May06 Apr23 Jan14 Dec28 Dec01 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 121 1.60 38% 1.60    
UNWHIRLED Mar24 Feb24 Jan16 Dec03 Nov06 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 2.50    
 
BTP-2   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG BLACK VEIL Mar30 Mar09 Feb09 Jan02 Nov30 (jarvis kathy)BECKMAN ALICE 112 5.00    
GIN N SIN May14 Apr08 Mar11 Jan25 Jan04 (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50 8% 10.80    
LUCKY CAT TOO Apr28 Apr05 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
GRAN CHEMIN May19 Apr05 Mar18 Feb25 Feb01 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00    
MISS FOXANN May18 Aug19 Jul02 Jun05 May14 (chavez manuel)CRUZ JUAN 123 6.00    
PINKY TUSCADERO Apr28 Mar18 Feb18 Jan11 Dec07 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 3.00 34% 2.00    
BANNED FROM MIDWAY May03 Apr19 Apr05 Mar04 Sep19 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 15.00    
HONEYBELL May19 Apr28 Apr03 Feb18   (donjuan serg)MARCANO Y 112 8.00 6% 15.60    
 
BTP-3   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SOVELIA May19 Apr26 Mar16 Mar04 Feb08 (quezada i)CORREA L 123 5.00    
LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS May13 Apr28 Apr03 Mar21 Mar08 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 3.00 23% 3.30    
PISTOLPACKINPOLLY Apr28 Mar30 Feb22 Jan11 Nov20 (martinez ma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00    
SWEET BABY RAY Mar30 Feb23 Jan27 Nov18 Apr23 (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50 15% 5.60    
FOR THE BISCUIT May13 May02 Apr18 Mar29 Feb09 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 117 1.80 29% 2.40    
 
BTP-4   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NURSE JUDY Mar17 Jan15 Dec28 Dec16 Sep18 (tsirigotis ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 5.00    
NANA'S GRAY May17 Apr28 Apr11 Mar18 Mar04 (baez sergio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
MAMA LOU Apr27 Oct04 Sep02 Aug08 Jul11 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 121 4.50    
SEAWARD May17 May05 Apr23 Apr13 Mar26 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 118 1.80 10% 8.90    
WHISKEY SIS May17 Mar23 Feb25 Jan25 Dec02 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 121 8.00    
BOURBON SOCIAL Mar01 Feb16 Jan17 Dec06 Nov06 (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
BTP-5   05/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRADY May11 Mar16 Feb24 Feb15 Jan19 (adams l)REYES R 115 15.00    
FUTURE VICTORY May18 Apr01 Mar17 Feb09 Jan21 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
PERFECT PAINTING Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 Jan20 Dec29 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 121 8.00    
T J MUNNINGS Apr27 Apr16 Mar31 Mar15 Feb25 (hernandez javier)MCKEE J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRILLIANT JOURNEY May18 Nov07 Sep29 Sep16 Sep02 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.50    
SCR  SILVESTRE May11 Apr16 Jan28 Dec30 Nov30 (cambray ignacio)CRUZ JUAN 121 20.00    
MINE OWN STAR Sep25 Aug24 Aug03 Jul06 Jun09 (knippenbe)CORREA L 121 12.00 22% 3.60    
TIGER PAW (IRE) May14 Apr28 Mar25 Feb02   (meah m)CANUTO THIAGO 115 6.00    
SMOKEY LEE Apr19 Mar31 Dec22 Nov30 Nov03 (cundiff wayl)MARCANO Y 116 3.50 22% 3.50    
10  SILENT STEVE May13 Apr19 Mar17 Feb24   (wittek karyn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 8.00    
 
BTP-6   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEW IT WITH STYLE May06 May11       (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 123 2.50    
KETTLE KISS May06 Nov15 Nov01 Sep29   (feliciano)CORREA L 117 1.80 30% 2.30    
RUBY LAYNE Sep15 Aug13 Jul05     (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 4.00 25% 3.00    
GO GIRL May06 Apr06 Nov12 Oct29 Sep29 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 3.50 24% 3.10    
CONCORDSDIFFERENCE May04 Sep08 Aug30 Aug24 Aug12 (jordan rick)BUSH V 123 10.00    
GIGGLIN KATE Oct25 Oct06 Sep06     (craft guy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
 
BTP-7   05/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE CHARMING May06 Mar28 Jan23 Jan09 Dec08 (skeens je)CORREA L 123 2.50 68% 0.50    
SIXTY ONE Apr26 Mar25 Feb25 Feb05 Jan27 (tsirigotis ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 8.00    
PAYNTED Dec28 Nov02 Oct11 Sep14 Aug22 (cannon s)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIMITED D'ORO May04 Apr18 Dec28 Nov27 Nov14 (pinzon maria)ROMERO GREGORY 117 12.00    
GRAN ROJO Oct20 Sep14 Aug16 Jul21 Jun28 (jordan rick)BUSH V 123 5.00    
BAKER'S MAN Apr23 Apr08 Mar19 Mar04 Nov11 (lauer micha)PETERSON FERRIN 123 10.00    
SCR  LOCK ON May05 Apr04 Mar20 Aug09 Jul26 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.50    
FARZIN Apr27 Mar16 Jan14 Dec07 Oct24 (sandy s)MCKEE J 123 3.50 6% 15.50    
 
BTP-8   05/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED CHEEKS         (lobo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 6.00 11% 8.50    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of FOFA MELECA by QUINZE QUILATES)
SCR  TROY BOY May06 Apr01       (coomer philip)CANUTO THIAGO 125 30.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of CHESS PIECE by COMPOSER)
CROONER Oct22 Sep18 Aug19 Jul10 Jun04 (jazdzewski jon)MCKEE J 125 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of YODEL by INDYGO SHINER)
POGOERIACH Jun01         (o'donnell ma)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 50.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of FLOWERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
TOURIST CAT May20         (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 119 30.00 9% 9.80    
  (by TOURIST out of FASHION FUR by MR. GREELEY)
CENTAURO Oct31         (torres erick)MARCANO Y 120 30.00 9% 9.80    
  (by ROYAL QUICK DASH out of GET N OVER DA STORM by RED STORM CAT)
THE BIG NAUGHTY         (obert danielle)STEVENS C 120 30.00 9% 9.80    
  (by RACE DAY out of PALIN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
TARHE Apr22         (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NANYEHI by CHEROKEE RUN)
SCHOOLMASTER (GER) May20 Apr07 Mar03 Dec02 Oct21 (manning j)BUSH V 119 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHIORI by TWIRLING CANDY)
10  RAGING WHIRLWIND May06 Apr19 Apr08 Mar24 Feb22 (chain pea)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 20.00    
  (by BALETMEISTER out of QUEEN BASSA by EDDINGTON)
11  JUSTICEOFTHEPEACE May09 Oct05 Apr29 Mar15   (walden william)HEARD TYLER 125 10.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of MISS METEOR by TRAPPE SHOT)
12  FLY HOME Apr28 Feb22 Oct05 Sep10 Aug16 (preston randy)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 12.00    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of CAPISTRANO by LOUIS QUATORZE)
13  THE POINT ROAD May06 Apr30 Apr05 Mar24 Mar05 (bush s)BUSH V 125 12.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of COME OUT AND PLAY by PUT IT BACK)
SCR  DESERT HIGHWAY May20 Apr29 Apr01     (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DESERT GAZELLE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  SHANNONRUN May06 Mar24 Mar11 Jan28 Jan07 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 125 15.00    
  (by MAGICIAN out of BLASE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.