Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - May 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3)-(2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FL-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3)-(2/3)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(8/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-6   WIN (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/7)-(8/3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/7)-(8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/7)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7)-(6/5/4)-(3/10/9/5/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
FL-7   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(3/10/9/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-8   WIN (3/10/9/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/9/5/1)-(3/10/9/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/9/5/1)-(3/10/9/5/1)-(3/10/9/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   05/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER NITRO May08 Mar22 Mar04 Feb12 Jan18 (huertas)NAVARRO J 119 8.00    
2  SWEET SENSATION May08 Apr07 Mar19 Feb24 Feb05 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
3  HOLIDAY JAZZ Apr24 Mar26 Feb11 Jan20 Jan13 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
4  IN TRAFFIC Apr27 Mar19 Jan13 Dec15 Nov07 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.20 33% 2.10    
5  ALL BIZZ Feb15 Feb01 Jan04 Nov22 Nov01 (dixon linda )HARKIE K 124 2.50    
 
FL-2   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART STORM May02 Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 Oct05 (gutters)NAVARRO J 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
2  COUNT DOWN Mar19 Feb09 Dec19     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  KOBE'S LEGACY Nov23 Nov08 Oct17 Sep26 Sep12 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 4.00    
4  BRODY'S WAR May04 Apr21 Apr04 Mar01 Jan25 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 119 8.00    
5  BUMBLE MONSTER May02 Feb02 Jan20 Dec30 Dec07 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 2.50 ★    
6  MAGIC PRO May02 Oct25 Oct12 Aug30 Aug22 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
7  MISTER LARRY Apr25 Oct27 Oct15 Aug29 Aug02 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00    
 
FL-3   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Apr22 Mar10 Feb12 Jan15 Dec31 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 8.00    
2  HANGOUT Apr25 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 Sep13 (mas)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.50 ★    
3  FIGHTER KITE Nov15         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 1.80 61% 0.60    
SCR  JET SPEED Apr25 Mar18 Mar03 Feb09 Dec31 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00    
5  NOBLE JOURNEY Nov14 Oct26 Oct18 May01 Mar18 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 2.00    
 
FL-4   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WABBIT SEASON Nov21 Sep26       (tasso ma)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
2  BARBARA'S SPIRIT         (ferraro anth)COA J 119 3.50 62% 0.60    
3  BOXED IN AND BORED Apr25 Jan01 Dec08 Nov22 Nov09 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00 11% 7.90    
4  T'S DOUBLE TROUBLE May02 Oct11 Sep26 Sep12   (falk jacqueline)FRATES D 120 20.00    
5  FRANKIE C May02 Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 Sep27 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 119 8.00 ★    
6  FINAL DISCO Apr25         (miller-saul)CAMILO D 119 10.00    
7  SUNSHINE GIRL May08 Apr25 Apr05 Mar19 Mar01 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 4.00 ★    
8  GRANDMA T Jun30 Apr22       (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 6.00    
 
FL-5   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMBASALLTROUBLE Oct03 Sep21 Aug30 Aug02 Jul06 (rohena j)ROHENA JR 122 6.00 ★    
2  STUCK UP Oct25 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 Aug22 (miller-saul)CAMILO D 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
3  DEVIOUS BANKER Apr25 Feb15 Feb02 Jan13 Nov21 (grusmark)DAVIS A 122 2.50 ★    
4  GANONDAGAN May02 Apr24 Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 (sells rachel)DAVILA A 124 4.00    
5  YOU'VE GOT MALE May02 Oct24 Oct12 Oct03 Sep19 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
6  MASSEY HALL Nov08 Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 Sep20 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE May02 Nov14 Nov02 Sep21 Aug31 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00    
 
FL-6   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOOPTHEREITIS         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of SHOOP by UNCLE MO)
2  FOUR QUARTZ Mar03 Feb18 Dec18     (thompson mar)HARKIE K 122 15.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of ROSE QUARTZ by ROCK HARD TEN)
3  MIDNIGHT ROSIE Apr06 Mar24 Jan12 Dec03   (englehart jef)DAVILA R 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SPIRIT OF ROSE by CITY ZIP)
4  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Mar24 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Nov30 (marino e)ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of BABY AT THE PARK by ECTON PARK)
5  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Apr25 Apr05 Sep05 Aug22   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 4.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SHEZASTONECOLDINGO by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  CONVERSATIONTOBHAD         (dixon k)DIAZ J 112 10.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of ELLE JO by REVOLVING)
7  KATSURA         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of FEELIN ABIT FRISKY by POSSE)
8  TUMBLES May02 Apr16       (iorio jr)COA J 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of EPONYMOUS by UTOPIA (JPN))
 
FL-7   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAW OFF Apr25 Nov14 Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 122 15.00 ★    
2  HONORABLE LILLY Apr25 Feb18 Jan13 Dec14 Nov16 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 3.50    
3  SALOON GIRL Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 (dean i)DAVILA R 122 10.00    
4  LADY TEUFLESBERG Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Jan28 Oct31 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
5  BEHIND THE COUCH Mar05 Feb18 Feb05 Jan16 Dec29 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
6  BANKERS DAUGHTER Apr25 Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 Jan28 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 49% 1.00    
7  INVESTMENT GRADE Apr24 Nov08 Oct19 Oct03 Sep14 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 8.00    
8  STARSHIP PRECIOUS Apr15 Mar18 Mar05 Feb04 Sep12 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 6.00    
 
FL-8   05/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO SUSAN GO         (iorio jr)COA J 120 15.00 6% 16.10    
  (by TONALIST out of GO OLIVIA GO by VALUE PLUS)
2  JOURNEY OF FIVE May02 Feb24 Feb01     (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN TICKET out of BETTER THAN RUBIES by SMARTY JONES)
3  STORMY'S IN STYLE Apr16 Mar24 Aug22     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of STORMY'S SMILE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE May02 Apr16 Mar17 Jan26 Jul18 (clarke dylan)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MACHA GLORITA by MACHO UNO)
5  LIEUTENANT'SLEGACY         (dixon k)DIAZ J 110 20.00 6% 15.40    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of MALALA by DEFRERE)
6  RACING QUEEN May02 Dec29 Dec02 Nov21 Nov07 (huertas nir)CAMILO D 124 20.00    
  (by BETHEL out of PHYSICAL DELIVERY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
7  SASSY TALLAHASSEE Sep26 Sep12       (sells rachel)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of MISS TALLAHASSEE by SILVER DEPUTY)
8  UNBRIDLED'S REIGN Nov01 Oct08 Sep21 Aug15 Jun29 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 4.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of SERENE DITTY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  REAL GOOD VYBZ May02 Mar19 Jan30 Jan17 Jan09 (williams o)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of REAL GOOD TIME by HARD SPUN)
10  JUANDERFUL JUANITA May02 Oct28 Sep23     (huertas )DAVIS A 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of TOWN TALK by THUNDER GULCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.