Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(7/6/1/3)-(4/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (7/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-5   WIN (9/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/4)-(9/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/1/4)-(9/2/1/4)-(9/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1/4)-(2/4/5/3)-(2/1/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-6   WIN (2/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3)-(2/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (2/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/8)-(2/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/8)-(2/1/5/8)-(2/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-8   WIN (1/5/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/4/6)-(1/5/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/4/6)-(1/5/2/4/6)-(1/5/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/4/6)-(3/4/7/1)-(9/7/3/5/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FON-9   WIN (3/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1/9)-(3/4/7/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/7/1)-(9/7/3/5/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
FON-10   WIN (9/7/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/5/4)-(9/7/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/5/4)-(9/7/3/5/4)-(9/7/3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALEB ON THE GO Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Jun17 May14 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 11% 8.10    
2  PHLASH DRIVE Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 (anderson c)BIRZER E 125 4.50 ★    
3  YAYASGOTMOREGAME Apr08 Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 May20 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 58% 0.70    
4  JOEY'S VALENTINE Apr15 Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ A 125 4.00    
5  BARTENDERS MISTAKE Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Jun11 May20 (moss deb)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
6  JUDGE'S BRIBE Apr16 Mar31 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 (black maris)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00    
 
FON-2   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb17 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 51% 1.00    
2  CLEARLY MAD Mar18 Feb18 Oct02 Sep20 Sep06 (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00    
3  GREY ROGUE Mar25 Feb18 Oct04 Sep25 Sep06 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
4  OURBESTFRIEND D L Apr15 Mar25 Feb18 Aug21 Jul24 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 15% 5.60    
5  LARCH Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Dec16 (mitzner ronald)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50 9% 9.60    
6  SAMS TIME Apr15 Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
 
FON-3   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T R'S FIRST Apr15 Apr08 Mar12 Feb15 Feb02 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 10% 8.70    
2  EVIE Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 Feb08 Jan25 (ibanez alberto)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 4.00    
3  PROMPTLY DONE Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 Jul04 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 12.00 7% 13.70    
4  SATURDAY SERVICE Apr23 Mar27 Feb19 Feb01 Jan15 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
5  TOURIST LIKE ME Apr15 Sep25 Sep11 Aug30 Jul26 (jones anthony)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
6  FAST SOPHIA Apr16 Apr07 Mar24 Feb24 Sep19 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 14% 6.00    
7  TRICKY MOM Apr23 Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb09 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 47% 1.10    
 
FON-4   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUGH COMPANY Apr16 Apr07 Feb26 Feb11 Jan07 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 17% 4.80    
2  UNREAL Apr02 Apr08 Feb26     (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00    
3  NAME REJECTED Apr08 Mar25 Mar03 Dec14 Nov11 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 ★    
4  FEROCITY Apr08 Mar25 Feb18 Dec08 Nov22 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  NO LIMITATION Apr23 Mar26 Mar10 Feb26 Jan12 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00    
6  MYSTERIOUS TALE Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04   (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
7  WILSON TO LOCKETT Mar25 Mar04 Feb23 Jan18 Dec28 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 12% 7.50    
 
FON-5   04/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAN Apr07 Feb23 Jan20 Dec20 Dec08 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 9% 10.60    
2  RYAN EXPRESS Apr14 Mar23 Dec15 Nov26   (black marissa)ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.50 14% 6.10    
3  SIR BARNABUS Apr21 Apr07 Sep14 Aug20 Jul17 (stankey jannae)HAAR NATHAN 125 20.00    
4  LOVE OURS Apr21 Jan28 Jan13 Jan05 Nov12 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  AFTER BURN Apr21 Apr07 Mar17 Nov11 Oct28 (womochil jeff)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00    
6  JAMAICA MISTAICA Apr21 Apr07 Mar17 Sep14 Aug24 (smith george )FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
7  STEALING HEARTS Jul28 Jul16       (bethke troy )BETHKE A 121 5.00    
SCR  DOMERGOO Apr14 Mar31       (childs russell )GARNETT G 125 15.00 ★    
9  CORTE Mar31 Feb26 Dec20 Sep13   (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 3.00 49% 1.00    
 
FON-6   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBSCRIPTION Apr15 Mar26 Mar11 Feb19 Jun12 (thompson grady)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00    
2  JUST RIGHT MIKE Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Feb25 Feb11 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  CHERUBIM Mar11 Feb25 Oct04 Oct01 Aug29 (radford raymon)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  THREE TIME CHARMER Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Nov04 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  CAESARTHERULER Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 13% 6.90    
6  JUST ASK JOEL Apr15 Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 Jul17 (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
7  GEE WHIZ WHO Mar11 Oct01 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
 
FON-7   04/29/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LION HEART LEGEND Mar11 Feb25 Jan18 Dec28 Nov30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 10% 8.80    
2  CURTIN'S UP Apr15 Feb16 Jan21 Jan04 Dec02 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  BLABIMIR Apr07 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Jun10 (hoffman robert)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
4  PO BOY Mar30 Mar12 Dec16 Nov18 Oct30 (ecoffey w)RAMOS B 125 3.50    
5  SOUTHERN MOJO Apr15 Mar03 Feb25 Feb11 Sep19 (crabtree jason)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 8% 11.80    
6  NORTH SIDE Apr08 Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 5.00    
7  VESTED CREEK Jul24 Jul03 Jun25 Jun18 Jun12 (dolphus junior)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
8  CREATIVE LETTERS Apr15 Mar11 Feb11 Jan04 Nov18 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 6% 16.20    
 
FON-8   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD TRAFFORD Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  GRAND DESIGN Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar12 Feb25 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.00 15% 5.70    
3  BANJO BILL Apr15 Nov08 Oct02 Sep11 Aug07 (ibanez alberto)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 20.00    
4  SHIPMAN'S SONG Apr07 Mar24 Mar04 Feb18 Nov02 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 8% 12.10    
5  PARLAY PETE Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Jan05 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 20% 3.90    
6  THREE BALL Apr08 Mar25 Feb25 Oct01 Sep19 (roberts m)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50 6% 14.40    
7  HOT ARTIE Apr07 Mar24 Feb19 Feb11 Feb03 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00    
8  MY TRUE REWARD Apr15 Apr01 Oct01 Sep20 Aug08 (hawley joe)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00    
9  MORO CHARLIE Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Oct03 Sep20 (dunlap m)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
 
FON-9   04/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bosselman Pump Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEDICINE TAIL Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Sep21 Aug09 (anderson c)RAMOS B 120 10.00 9% 9.60    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LEH SHE RUN by PULPIT)
2  MUNQAD Apr08 Jan06 Dec10 Nov05 Oct14 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MUHAAWARA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  BUCK MOON Mar23 Jun10 May13 Apr13 Mar26 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 124 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GRAND PAULINE by TWO PUNCH)
4  SARCASTIC TONE Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Feb15 Jan26 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
  (by TONALIST out of SARCASTIC by SMART ALEC)
5  BELLAMYS ROAN Apr15 Apr08 Mar26 Feb05 Jan20 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00    
  (by MACHO ROCKET out of BELLAMY'S FIRE by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  CASEYS MEMORY Mar13 Feb15 Jan11 Dec21 Sep24 (johnston )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 12.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of MISS DEREK by BROTHER DEREK)
7  ITS A WRAP Jan25 Dec14 Oct28 Sep19 Aug07 (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 4.00 11% 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of IN KELLY'S DEFENSE by FIRST DEFENCE)
8  FLEETRIDGE Oct13 Sep24 Aug07 Jul09 Jun27 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GLORIETTA BAY by A.P. INDY)
9  CAVE HILL Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Sep08 Aug20 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 118 12.00 ★    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of PAINTED LADY by BROAD BRUSH)
10  UNRESTRICTED Apr08 Mar25 Dec16 Nov18 Oct12 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 118 20.00    
  (by BIND out of FAIRYLAND LUSTRE by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
 
FON-10   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBONNAIRE DUDE Apr15 Apr07 Feb26 Feb01 Jan11 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50    
2  YOUNG PHILLIP Apr15 Apr01 Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
3  MOST AMUSING Apr15 Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 Feb18 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 15% 5.60    
4  MR. WALSH Apr15 Mar11 Feb24 Feb10 Jan27 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  WAR EAGLE'S RETURN Sep25 Aug28 Aug09 Jun10 May21 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 125 12.00 10% 9.20    
6  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Apr15 Mar25 Mar10 Feb24 Sep19 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00    
7  COOL CATOMINE Feb10 Dec17 Nov23 Oct14 Aug30 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 5.00 22% 3.60    
8  COWORKER Apr07 Mar19 Feb25 May23 May13 (sorensen mike)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
9  TALE OF A STORM Apr15 Mar04 Feb17 Dec02 Nov12 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.