Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Saturday - April 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(2/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(3/2/1)-(3/8/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FON-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-4   WIN (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/2)-(3/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/2)-(3/8/2)-(3/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-5   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/3/4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/3/4/8)-(5/7/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(7/8/2/3)-(3/2/4/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FON-6   WIN (7/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-8   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/10/5)-(7/4/2/10/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(7/10/8)-(1/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-9   WIN (7/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/10/8)-(7/10/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/10/8)-(7/10/8/6)-(7/10/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/10/8)-(1/10) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-10   WIN (1/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/10)-(1/10/6/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/10)-(1/10/6/2/8)-(1/10/6/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPAGNE CHANNEL Mar24 Mar10       (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 117 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SPANKED by DEPUTY MINISTER)
J PS HARLEY GLIDER Apr01 Mar17 Mar12     (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.00    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of JULIE C by EVEN THE SCORE)
HAVANA JACK Mar12         (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 122 10.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of QUDZE by DAAHER)
JUDGE JENNINGS Mar24         (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 117 2.50 41% 1.50    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of LIMEFUHR by LIMEHOUSE)
WILLHE LOVE Mar26 Mar12 Feb25     (hemmer terrell)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of LOVESABLUMIN by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
BUY NOW Mar26 Mar12 Nov21     (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
DONNY'S GOT GAME         (donlin d)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of KELLY AND COLA by INFORMED)
 
FON-2   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAVO KOLT Feb25 Sep23 Sep03 Aug12 Jul16 (roberts m)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
CRIMSON ZIP Mar12 Feb16 Feb03 Jan06 Dec10 (martinez ke)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50 34% 1.90    
NORTH SIDE Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Jan29 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
MY BOY GUS Mar25 Mar12 Feb18 Jan13 Dec14 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 8% 12.10    
FEROCITY Mar25 Feb18 Dec08 Nov22 Oct31 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
BRICKTOWN BROWN Apr19 Mar22       (black mar)TRIANA JR 125 10.00    
NAME REJECTED Mar25 Mar03 Dec14 Nov11 Oct27 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50    
 
FON-3   04/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMISTIC VALOR Mar25 Aug27 Jun30 Jun18 May07 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00 12% 7.20    
TOP OF THE GAME Mar11 Feb26 Sep25 Sep08 Jul04 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 15% 5.60    
GOOSE DRANK WINE Mar25 Mar11 Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 (rushton t)TRIANA JR 125 2.00 44% 1.30    
SHWEET PERSUASION Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Oct29 (thompson grady)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
STAGE DOOR Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Nov06 Oct22 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00    
DALLAS GOLD Mar12 Feb22 Jan27 Jan12 Dec27 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00    
BARSTOW Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 Jan14 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 3.50    
 
FON-4   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S D 'CAT Mar25 Mar12 Mar04 Feb18 Nov25 (bliss dean)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
DREAM BABY DREAM Mar10 Feb24 Feb11 Jun17 Jun03 (sorensen )MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 8% 10.90    
HANSENS MISCHIEF Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 Mar19 Mar06 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  DISCREET INVASION Mar25 Mar04 Oct24 Oct02 Sep25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 33% 2.10    
MORO CHARLIE Mar18 Mar04 Oct03 Sep20 Aug23 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
FERRARI ROAD Mar25 Mar10 Sep20 Sep05 Jul11 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
MURDO Apr01 Mar12 Feb24 Feb18 Sep25 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00    
MAFIA DON Mar19 Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 Oct02 (condon sc)TRIANA JR 125 3.00 17% 5.00    
 
FON-5   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMA Aug17 Jul10 Jun05     (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of PALACE CAT by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
TUZITA Mar19         (lambert joanna)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
  (by AFFIRMATIF out of PAM by COLONEL JOHN)
STREET RINGER Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 Oct02 Sep03 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FREEDOM RINGS by PROUD CITIZEN)
LITTLE MORE LOVE Sep24 Sep18 Aug14 Jun26 Jun13 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of MORE THAN THAT by TOUCH TONE)
RIO LADY Mar11 Jan06 Dec14 Nov11 Sep27 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by GORMLEY out of FASCINO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
AUNT CARI Mar25 Mar11 Feb24 Jan29 Jan08 (lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
FLYWHEEL EFFECT Mar18         (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MAGICALLY by MR. GREELEY)
CLASSIC FAREWELL Apr02 Mar18 Feb23 Nov25 Oct27 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ R 121 4.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of OKBYECYA by INTO MISCHIEF)
FIRST RATE ROMANCE Mar11 Feb26 Feb17 Jan28 Dec09 (dunlap sh)TRIANA JR 125 8.00    
  (by TARPY'S SURPRISE out of ROMANTIC MUSIC by OUTFLANKER)
 
FON-6   04/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINA DEL SUR Mar12 Feb17 Sep04 Aug24 Jul09 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00    
KNOCKON Mar26 Mar10 Feb24 Dec01 Nov07 (condon sc)TRIANA JR 125 4.50 12% 7.50    
T R'S FIRST Mar12 Feb15 Feb02 Jan19 Jan07 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 9% 9.70    
MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Mar26 Mar12 Feb24 Jan04 Dec01 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 15.00    
ZIPPORAH Mar25 Mar05 Feb25 Sep11 Jul26 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00    
ROSE OF EKITA Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Jul19 Jun27 (lambert joanna)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
TAPIT'S LADY Mar26 Mar10 Feb28 Feb01 Jan12 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 37% 1.70    
SUE HAPPY Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Feb15 Jan28 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00 16% 5.10    
 
FON-7   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYLEYWICK Mar25 Sep26 Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 (foley p)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
WILDWOOD MAGGIE Mar25 Mar12 Feb25 Jan13 Dec30 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 20% 4.00    
RAY AREWETHEREYET Aug27 Aug20 Jul29 Jan16   (rushton t)TRIANA JR 125 2.00 30% 2.40    
ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec19 Nov25 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 14% 6.10    
SABER QUEEN Mar25 Mar12 Feb25 Feb11 Nov16 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00 7% 13.90    
CHIM CHIM GEMINI Mar17 Dec15 Nov30 Nov12 Oct12 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
PRINCESSOFCHITOWN Mar25 Mar11 Feb17 Sep19 Sep09 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
QUEEN CORDELIA Mar12 Feb24 Feb10 Dec11 Nov28 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50    
 
FON-8   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Runza Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLIVIAN Mar26 Mar17 Feb25 Feb03 Jan19 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 3.50    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of MATTIEJOE by PORTOBELLO ROAD)
STUNTING Feb25 Sep20 Aug30 Jul31 Jul19 (rushton t)TRIANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of DIVINE GIFT by STANFORD)
D'WILD MUFFIN Mar03 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec28 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 122 15.00    
  (by D'WILDCAT out of MUFFIN by SMART STRIKE)
RED RED WINE (ARG) Feb25 Feb17 Jul02 May27 Apr22 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by HALF OURS out of REBIRTH by MALAGRA)
UNPLUCKED GEM Mar26 Mar10 Oct03 Aug22 Jul31 (rushton stacy)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MINNIE APPLE IS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
UNUNDERSTANDABLE Mar25 Mar11 Feb17 Dec30 Dec02 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SITKA SONG by WAR CHANT)
GURL YOU FINE Feb25 Nov30 Oct19 Sep22   (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CONKATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  SOCIAL CIRCLE Sep30 Aug19 Aug05 Jul17 Jun26 (martinez kelli)ZIEGLER ZACK 120 15.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of PERSONALLY YOURS by PERSONAL FLAG)
BOLD LEGEND Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 Sep19 Aug08 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ R 120 15.00    
  (by CONTEMPORARY out of LOVELY EYES by OUT OF PLACE)
10  JULIARD HONOR Mar11 Feb17 Dec14 Nov30 Nov12 (compton r)HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of JULIARD by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
FON-9   04/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dowd Mile Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINK Mar25 Feb25 Feb11 Dec28 Dec14 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of QUEEN DIDO by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  ROME Mar18 Dec27 Dec16 Sep14 Aug14 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 121 6.00 7% 13.20    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of GRACER by EXCHANGE RATE)
YAYASGOTMOREGAME Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 May20 May14 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 119 15.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of MORE RUN by MORE TO TELL)
UNRESTRICTED Mar25 Dec16 Nov18 Oct12 Sep21 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 119 10.00    
  (by BIND out of FAIRYLAND LUSTRE by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
THREE BALL Mar25 Feb25 Oct01 Sep19 Sep05 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 119 15.00    
  (by DONE TALKING out of CATEGORY THREE by RIDE THE STORM)
LOVETHATCAUSE Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 Jan26 Jan05 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LOVETHATPONI by VOLPONI)
MEDICINE TAIL Mar18 Mar04 Sep21 Aug09 Jul27 (anderson c)RAMOS B 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LEH SHE RUN by PULPIT)
SARCASTIC TONE Mar18 Mar04 Feb15 Jan26 Jan12 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 121 8.00 9% 10.20    
  (by TONALIST out of SARCASTIC by SMART ALEC)
CAVE HILL Mar25 Mar04 Sep08 Aug20 Jul16 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 119 15.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of PAINTED LADY by BROAD BRUSH)
10  CASH EXPRESS Mar26 Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 Jun12 (chavez ju)TRIANA JR 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CASH IN HAND by VALID WAGER)
 
FON-10   04/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GRAY DEHERE         (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 65% 0.50    
KLIMCO Mar18 Mar10 Jan21 Jan06 Dec02 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50    
SCR  POVERTY FLATS Mar19 Mar11 Sep15 Aug27 Aug18 (stankey janna)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
RECKLESSNESS Mar26 Mar07 Jan08 Oct22 Sep29 (dunlap sh)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
THE GREATEST EAGLE Mar26 Oct02 Sep26 Sep11 Aug21 (ibanez alberto)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
WAR REPORTER Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 Jan21 (gonzalez )TRIANA JR 125 4.00    
GERDY'S BOY Mar26 Jun17 Jun12 May21 Apr23 (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
OH SNAP Mar10 Feb03 Nov16 Oct21 Jul04 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
PERVASIVE Mar19 Sep26 Sep20 Aug28 Jul25 (muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
10  POLICY LIMIT Mar10 Jan14 Jan06 Dec20 Nov25 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 12% 7.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.