Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Sunday - March 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2/4)-(5/1/6/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/6/2)-(2/4/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/2)-(2/4/1/3)-(4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-2   WIN (2/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/3)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/3)-(4/5/6)-(4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-3   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/2/3)-(4/5/6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4)-(5/7/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (4)-(5/7/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4)-(5/7/1/3)-(2/9/5/8) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3/6)-(5/7/1/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/1/3)-(2/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/3)-(2/9/5/8)-(3/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/8)-(2/9/5/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/8)-(2/9/5/8/6)-(2/9/5/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/5/8)-(3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5/8)-(3/7)-(5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/8/4)-(3/7/8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/7)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/7/2)-(5/6/3/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHES A KILLA QUEEN Feb04 Dec14 Oct15     (howey quinn)LEON A 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  GHOST OF GENEVIEVE Nov21 Aug25 Aug14 Jul09 Jun26 (si)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 8.00 7% 12.60    
3  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF Aug12 Jun26 May28 May07 Apr18 (simpson shanno)ANAYA V 124 6.00    
4  NATURAL IMMUNITY Jan28 Jan07 Dec14 May07 Apr13 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 118 2.00 ★    
5  WARREN'S QUEEN BEE Feb13 Dec18 Nov04 Oct10 Aug27 (brinson cla)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
6  MICKEY DOBBS Jan17 Dec22 Nov08 Aug17 Jul09 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 11% 7.80    
 
TUP-2   03/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LOT OF SPUNK Jan26 Jan02 Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
2  LETS DECLARE PEACE Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Jul24 Jun24 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  TIZ A MACHO GIRL Feb11 Jan23 Jan09 Nov26 Nov09 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 3.00 10% 8.80    
4  MY FIRST PEARL Feb04 Dec21 Nov05 Oct04 Jul24 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 11% 8.40    
SCR  U DID IT Feb11 Jan26 Sep10 Aug20 Aug01 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
 
TUP-3   03/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBIN'S EMPIRE Feb20 Jan24 Dec26 Dec01 Oct06 (ax)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
2  SEAFARING WILDCAT Feb13 Dec20 Nov12     (gleason m)MAWING A 124 3.50 ★    
3  COUSIN MARK Feb01 Jan24 Dec17 Nov06 Oct21 (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 ★    
4  DESTINY ONE Feb06         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  WESTERN CHARM Feb08 Dec09 Nov25 Nov12   (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
6  ANOTHER WINE Feb08 Jan07       (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 12% 7.40    
7  BRENSON BUNS Feb02 Jan14 Dec27 Dec10 Nov12 (williams de)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 15.00    
 
TUP-4   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YELLEN Feb25 Feb16 Feb06 Jan18 Aug24 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 ★    
2  CURIOUS INJI Feb16 Jan30 Jan14 Dec13 Jul03 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 ★    
3  SMILING THUNDER Feb25 Feb11 Jan24 Jan04 Dec20 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.00 ★    
4  YOUONLYLIVETWICE Feb11 Jan17 Jan04 Nov29 Nov15 (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 122 4.50 68% 0.50    
5  KID CAT Feb16 Jan30 Jan04 Dec19 Nov07 (whitehouse w)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00    
SCR  LADY COMMISH Feb14 Jan26 Jan02 Dec15 Nov12 (ke)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00    
SCR  PLUMA Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 Nov14 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-5   03/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMAN'S PRODIGY Feb21 Feb14 Jan26 Jan12 Dec09 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
2  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Feb14 Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 Dec01 (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 122 3.00    
3  JAZZY EINSTEIN Feb25 Feb09 Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 (finch sherry)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  IMPULSUS Feb20 Feb01 Jan24 Dec15 Nov21 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 4.50    
5  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Feb25 Feb13 Jan24 Dec18 Dec11 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  PARTY POLICE Feb14 Feb01 Jan09 Nov29 Nov05 (ke)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 ★    
7  LADY JADE Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 Dec19 May06 (leon priscill)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
TUP-6   03/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW CHASER Feb19 Jan24 Jul24 Jun26   (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
2  RUSTY RED Feb11 Jan17       (martinez este)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
3  DANNY ZUKO Feb19 Jan07 Dec13 Nov25 Sep11 (garcia valent)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
4  ATTORNEY LOUIS Feb19 Feb11 Jan24 Jan07 Dec17 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
5  TOOL TIME Feb07 Jan11 Dec28 Nov04   (palma milto)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
6  RAPPORT Feb11 Jan28       (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 5.00 ★    
7  EYE CANDY RANDY Feb13 Jan08 Oct28 Sep25   (rosales j)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
8  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Feb15 Jan12 Dec20 Nov23 Nov09 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 124 4.50 7% 13.70    
9  DOUBLE PERFECTION Feb11 Jan19       (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
TUP-7   03/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRROR IMAGE Feb15 Sep09 Aug12 Jul24   (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 122 12.00    
SCR  CHASING FAME Jan30 Dec13 Jul30 Jul09 Apr05 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 3.50 ★    
3  COASTAL KID Feb11 Jan23 Jan10 Dec21 Nov26 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
4  GATES OF HEAVEN Jan26 Dec13 Nov19 Nov04 Sep19 (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  ATOMIC CANDY Feb21 Feb02 Jan19 Dec26 Nov21 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00    
6  BOBBY BRINKLEY Feb08 Dec27 Dec08 Nov21 Jul30 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
7  T BONES TRICK Jan23 Dec27 Nov15 Sep17 Aug21 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
8  HI HO CHEERIO Feb19 Jan25 Jan09 Dec13 Nov07 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   03/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO CAUSE TO DOUBT Feb20         (silva pabl)LEON A 121 10.00    
2  GEEJAYTEE Jan25         (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 6.00 ★    
3  SHE'D RATHER DANCE         (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 12% 7.00    
4  FOREST ACCLAMATION Feb13 Jan16 Dec04 Sep22 Sep09 (fearon johna)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 10.00    
5  TOP HAT TIGRESS Feb21 Jan25 Jan03 Dec26 Dec09 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 3.50 51% 1.00    
6  TA TA FOR NOW         (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 14% 6.30    
7  ANOTHER TEN Feb01 Jan10       (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  STELLAR POINT Feb21         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.