Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - January 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3/7)-(6/4/2/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(4/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(4/9/7)-(7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/8)-(4/9/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/9/7)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/9/7)-(7/6)-(5/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/3/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/3/8/1)-(7/6/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(5/2/3)-(10/2/7/1/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/6/4)-(5/2/3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(10/2/7/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(10/2/7/1/8)-(4/3/5/7/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PEN-5   WIN (10/2/7/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/7/1/8)-(10/2/7/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/7/1/8)-(10/2/7/1/8)-(10/2/7/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/7/1/8)-(4/3/5/7/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/2/7/1/8)-(4/3/5/7/6)-(6/7/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/3/5/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7/6)-(4/3/5/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7/6)-(4/3/5/7/6)-(4/3/5/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/5/7/6)-(6/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/2/4)-(6/7/1/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLK HERO Jan11 Dec13 Nov29 Nov16 Oct26 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
2  AMI'S LINK Dec28 Dec10 Nov19 Nov03 Oct15 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 10% 8.60    
3  SEAMIALAUGH Jan02 Nov21 Oct19 Sep27 Jul13 (dominguez mario )CASTILLO A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLOSET SHOPPER Jan18 Dec20 Nov01 Oct19 Sep12 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  ADMONISH Dec08 Nov12 Nov03 Sep18 Aug26 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50    
6  JEANETTEO Dec28 Nov29 Apr29 Apr07 Mar11 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 48% 1.10    
7  ANOINT Dec28 Dec02 Oct10     (brion keri)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   01/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN BRIDGE Jan09 Oct31 Oct10 Sep02 Jul23 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
2  HELMS DEEP (GB) Dec14 Nov27 Nov08 Oct27 Aug19 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
3  JOJOMAR Dec30 Nov22 Oct19 Oct04 Sep16 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
4  CHRIS AND DAVE Dec29 Dec08 Nov12 Oct15 Sep16 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
5  MY MAN POTS N PANS Dec18 Nov11 Oct12 Sep29 Jun15 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 15.00    
SCR  WENTZ Dec21 Nov22 Sep19 Aug24 Jul27 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 118 6.00 11% 7.70    
7  FIRE DOWN BELOW Dec27 Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 Aug27 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 12.00 7% 14.10    
8  COUSTEAU Dec20 Nov18 Sep04 Jul04 Jun04 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 ★    
9  TRENDING UP Dec27 Nov01 Oct12 Sep07 Aug19 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
PEN-3   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGELOFTHEGALAXY Dec20 Dec07 Oct26 Oct11 Sep21 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  LI'LBITO'GLORY Dec14         (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
3  UNCAPTURED GRACE Nov12 Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 May29 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 ★    
4  HOLLI THE DOLLY Jan13         (grusmark ka)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00    
SCR  SHELLEY'S SONG         (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 124 12.00    
6  MRS BELL Dec27 Dec14 May12 Apr26 Mar25 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
7  KAZ LUCKY NUMBERS         (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 54% 0.80    
8  HOPEFULLY ICU         (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES IT'S ROO Dec12 Nov28 Nov08 Oct14 Sep16 (jacklin the)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
2  PICTOR Dec13 Aug04 Jul02 Jun17 May28 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 15% 5.70    
3  BAR FOURTEEN Dec28 Dec10 Nov18 Oct10 Sep24 (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOMMY THE TORCH Jan11 Dec17 Dec06 Nov22 Oct30 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 12.00 ★    
5  UNCLE BUDDY Nov26 Nov04 Oct18 Sep14 Aug24 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.40 57% 0.70    
6  SUBURBAN COURT         (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   01/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT FLASHY Dec30 Nov30 Oct18 Sep22 Sep07 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 8% 12.10    
2  LADDIE LIAM Nov29 Oct22 Sep16 Aug26 Jul01 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.00 21% 3.80    
3  MOTI Dec20 Nov29 Nov12 Oct25 Oct06 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50    
4  GRAND WISER Jan11 Dec09 Nov15 Nov04 Oct15 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
5  HIZAAM Dec21 Dec09 Nov16 Oct25 Oct10 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
6  LAKE NAKURU Dec20 Nov29 Nov09 Oct04 Sep21 (ferreira fe)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
7  SICILIA MIKE Dec20 Nov25 Nov11 Oct28 Oct08 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
8  PERUVIAN BOY Dec21 Nov23 Oct04 Sep08 Aug18 (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  OFF THE MEDS Jan06 Dec12 Nov15 Oct19 Oct10 (farro patricia)CEDENO CAROL 120 15.00    
10  JAYJAYDEE Dec16 Nov25 Aug20 Jul14 Jun03 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
PEN-6   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3 F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTICE OR APPEAL Dec21         (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00    
2  APRILS LUCK Dec27 Dec02 Nov15 Oct22 Oct12 (lucas bon)VARGAS L 122 6.00    
3  LITTLEMISSKNOCKOUT         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
4  UPTOWN SERAPHINA         (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
5  PEACE PACT         (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
6  SIRENETTA Jan16 Dec14 Dec02 Nov22 Nov09 (gallimore tre)RIVERA D 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  MOONSHINE WARRIOR         (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
8  CIRCUITT Dec27 Nov12 Oct28 Sep01 Jul23 (houghton th)INIRIO J 122 2.00    
 
PEN-7   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOIS'S CAUSE Dec27 Nov23 Oct26 Jun11 Apr21 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 13% 6.50    
2  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Dec13 Dec06 Nov15 Nov01 Sep28 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 115 6.00 ★    
3  BO RUNKLE Jan12 Dec16 Nov30 Oct12 Sep23 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 15.00    
4  SHOYYOOKH Jan12 Dec16 Nov23 Nov09 Oct25 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  MASKED HEROINE Jan12 Nov09 Oct11 Jun24 May25 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00    
6  DON'T TALK Jan12 Dec20 Dec06 Nov01 Jul24 (lucas bon)VARGAS L 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  SAKARI Jan12 Dec27 Dec16 Nov30 Nov09 (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
8  TUDOX I DON'T BRAG Dec07 Nov23 Oct26 Oct04 Sep26 (rathman elish)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.