Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - November 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT'S UP BRO         (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
2  BUSTINO SANTINO         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
3  WHISKEY AND WINE         (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 ★    
4  DISARMED Oct21 Sep04 Jul27     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 22% 3.50    
5  LOOMS BOLDLY Sep29         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  LIFETIME OF CHANCE Oct27         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
7  HELICOPTER MONEY         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
8  DESTIN'S MISSION Oct18         (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   11/12/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S MANDATORY Oct24 Sep18 Jul19 May07 Apr30 (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00 ★    
2  PIONEER SPIRIT Oct21 Oct15 Jul28 Jul22 Jun18 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.00 54% 0.80    
3  HEALING Oct15 Sep30 Sep05 Aug21 Jul30 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 ★    
4  SUPER WICKED CHARM Oct21 Sep23 Sep02 Aug10 Jul30 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 121 20.00    
5  BOLD VICTORY Nov08 Sep05 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 16% 5.20    
SCR  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Oct13 Aug31 Aug07 Jun16 Mar31 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-3   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PIRATE RICK Nov06 Feb10 Jan07     (cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  KADRI Nov06 Oct26 Oct04 Sep25 Aug26 (cash norman)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 ★    
2  FLAMINGO HAWK Sep21 Aug18 Jul16 Jun22 Jun12 (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
3  NOVA RAGS Jul16 Jun19       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 9% 9.80    
4  AMUNDSON Oct21 Sep03 Jul30 Jun16 Apr29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 ★    
5  SENBEI Sep30 Aug06 May15     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 28% 2.50    
6  STAGE LEFT Sep30 Aug18 Jul23 Jun19 May21 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR GOLD Oct08 Aug20 Jul08 Jun11 May12 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.40 51% 1.00    
1A  GOT THE GOLD Oct15 Sep01 Aug19 Jul24 Jul08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40    
2  KINGSTOWN Oct16 Aug24 Jun10 May15 Apr02 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 ★    
3  MOONSHININGBRIGHT Sep18 Jul24 Jul03 May29   (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00    
4  CAJUN COMMANDER Oct15 Aug21 Jul24 Jun30 May08 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
5  MOON HUNTER Oct20 Sep25 Sep03 Aug14 Jul08 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 120 15.00 ★    
6  EMINENCY Oct02 Aug19 Jul10 May28 May14 (camejo m)CASTILLO AMIN 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  WARALO Aug08 Jul14       (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR SHOW Sep24 Aug24 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 ★    
2  AL'S PRINCE Oct13 Aug24 Jul21 Jul15 Jun05 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  WILL E SUTTON Oct23 Oct13 Sep24 Aug31 Jul15 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00    
4  ARRIO Oct09 Sep24       (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 9% 9.80    
5  SPECTATORLESS Oct23 Oct13 Sep24 Jul22 Jul04 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 121 12.00    
6  FOREVER WICKED Oct28 Oct13 Oct06 Sep04 Aug20 (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 ★    
7  TOP OF THE MINT Oct02 Aug19 Jun16 May05   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
AQU-6   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLANN Oct15 Sep04 Jul17     (o'connor matthew )LUZZI J 122 8.00 ★    
2  BOURBON DIVERSION Oct08 Aug31 Jan13     (tagg barclay)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
3  CHIARA (URU) Sep03 Jul20 Jun17 Apr28 Feb12 (bond harold )HARKIE K 122 12.00 ★    
4  BIZZY IZZY Oct13 Sep24       (met)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 30.00    
5  TONIGHT WE LOVE Oct15 Oct09 May07 Apr21 Mar25 (marti)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 10.00    
6  FROSTY INVASION Sep24 Aug31 Aug03 Jun24 May12 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
7  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Oct13 Sep12 Aug05 Jul17 Jun02 (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 9% 9.60    
8  NEW YORK SUPREME Jan08         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
9  SUMMER SNOW Aug31 Jul09       (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCALLY OWNED Sep30 Aug25 Jul17 Jun11 May06 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 121 3.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  AMATTEROFTIME Nov02 Oct18 Oct01 Sep10 Aug28 (ramirez silv)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 3.50 ★    
3  OUTLIER Oct20 Sep28 Aug15 Aug08 Jul29 (cash norman)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 ★    
4  CHRIS AND DAVE Oct15 Sep16 Jul16 Jun18 May29 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
5  ROYAL TRYST Oct21 Oct02 Jul30 Jul14 Jun04 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 15.00    
6  MOUNT TRAVERS Oct21 Sep25 Aug24 Jul22 Jun30 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00    
7  NO SALT Oct31 Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 Aug15 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 ★    
8  LORD GATLING Oct28 Oct14 Jul28 May08 Apr07 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00    
 
AQU-8   11/12/2022 6270ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT OPS Oct21 Sep05 Aug06 Jan09   (brown bru)VARGAS A 121 8.00 13% 6.50    
2  SENIOR INVESTMENT Oct18 Sep28 Sep03 Aug14 Jul19 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
3  TREASURE TROVE Nov04 Oct07 Sep24 Aug26 Aug13 (cash norman )CASTELLANO J 121 6.00 ★    
4  TWO THIRTY FIVE Oct14 Sep30 Aug19 Jul17 Jun18 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 ★    
5  ROUGH SEA Sep24 Sep04 Jul23 Jul09 Jun11 (tessore bru)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
6  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Sep29 Aug18 Jul02 Jun03 May07 (ryerson james)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
AQU-9   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULIGNI Sep03 Aug03 Jun12     (bond harold )HARKIE K 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  HONOR STAR Oct29 Oct08 Aug31 Jul31   (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00    
3  FLATTERING GAL Oct13 Aug31       (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 112 20.00    
4  LEMON RED Oct08 Sep17 Jan19     (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00    
5  RENT CONTROL Oct09 Sep03 Jul04 Jun17 May27 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 ★    
6  UNKOALAFIED Oct13 Aug26 Aug12 Jul04 Jun16 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
7  TREAT STREET Oct09 Aug31 Jul23 Apr29   (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
8  BERN ROSEY BERN Oct13 Aug31 Aug11 Jun26 May30 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 ★    
9  KAY TEE GAL Oct13 Aug12 Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 (henry neville)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00    
10  GRACEFULLY WILD Oct13 Jun17 Apr28 Apr03   (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.