Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - November 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THISPOINTINTIME Oct22 Oct04 Sep23 Sep16 Aug26 (morelos mateo)REYES FRANK 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
2  RAMIRIN Oct22 Oct11 Sep26 Jul28 Jun18 (londono odin)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  RAL COPPERHEADROAD Oct05 Sep12 Jul13 Jun28 May27 (bush george)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 5.00    
4  TRADEOFF Sep27 Sep09 Aug26 Aug10 Jul26 (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 3.50    
5  STAYIN OR STRAYIN Oct22 Oct11 Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  EL DUQUE Sep27 Sep07 Aug23 Aug16 Aug02 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 124 12.00 5% 17.50    
7  LEND AMERICA Oct22 Oct10 Aug08 Jul27 Jul12 (radosevich jake )BAEZ M 119 10.00 6% 15.90    
 
MVR-2   11/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD HERITAGE Oct19 Sep28 Aug29 Jul28 Jun20 (fadlovich megan)STANLEY O 122 3.00 ★    
2  DAWN WEST Oct07 Sep29 Sep01 Aug03 Jul05 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  CASH EXPRESS Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 Jun12 May22 (delgado gust)TAPARA BRANDON 122 2.00 11% 7.70    
4  ICON Sep16 Aug21 Jul24 Jun23   (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 1.60 62% 0.60    
5  DOWN TO BIZZNESS Oct07 Sep22 Sep07 Aug17 Jul24 (waltermire )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 10.00 ★    
6  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug17   (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00    
 
MVR-3   11/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING GUILLOTINE Oct22 Oct11 Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
2  JUST CHITU Oct24 Oct10 Sep30 Sep21 Aug25 (wilson david)HALDAR J 124 2.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  AJWIBAH Oct16 Sep20 Aug29     (erdel john)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
4  GONE ASTRAY KISS Oct27 Sep30 Sep17 Sep04 Aug28 (zook w)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 13% 6.60    
5  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Oct24 Oct13 Sep26 Sep19 Sep08 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 15.00 10% 8.80    
6  ATLANTIC RULER Oct24 Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 (pappada a)STANLEY O 124 15.00 ★    
7  ROYAL DRAGOON Oct27 Aug04 Jul13 Jun07 May03 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
8  AT THE BEACH Oct24 Sep26 Sep08 Aug15 Aug04 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   11/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TIGER TRAIL Oct10 Aug22 Jun14 Mar24 Mar09 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 126 1.60 56% 0.80    
SCR  VICTORY DIVISION Oct14 Oct03 Sep22 Aug23 Jun02 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.60    
2  NAMBITI Sep26 Apr29 Apr06 Mar24 Feb26 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 6.00    
3  STONE COLD CAT Oct04 Sep22 Sep01 Aug16 Jul29 (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 2.00 16% 5.40    
4  HEIDI'S SINATRA Sep21 Aug30 Aug04 Jul12 Jun28 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 20.00    
5  JOES A ROCKIN Oct11 Sep26 Aug25 Jul26 Jul14 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50 ★    
6  ONE CRAZY RIDE Sep27 Aug06 Mar16 Feb22 Jan15 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOBIL AT LAST Oct12 Sep22 Aug08 Jun20 Jun06 (diehl )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   11/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYFUL NOISE Oct25 Sep23 Sep09 May14 Apr30 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
1A  POWER BANKER Sep23 Sep13 Jul14 Jun29 Jun03 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 15.00    
2  BAREBACK FUN Oct10 Sep20 Aug16 Aug03 Jan31 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
3  SPECIAL BEACH Oct04 Aug16 Aug03 Jun30 Jun13 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 ★    
SCR  LADY PREACH Oct13 Oct03 Sep12 Aug26 Jul21 (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 8.00    
5  QUEENOFCATNIPHILL Oct25 Sep20 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  WHISKEY SIS Sep12 Sep02 Aug23 Aug03 Jul15 (nocero ca)BETANCOURT RONNEY 124 10.00    
7  SCATERRA Oct13 Sep20       (syed riaz)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
8  BLUSHING BETTY Oct10 Sep20 Aug16 Aug03 May30 (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
9  COURTLY Oct04 Sep20 Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
10  FIVE QUEENS Sep14 Sep02 Aug20 May07 Apr29 (adams l)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   11/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZALINSKY Oct04 Sep20 Jul12 Jun27 May25 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 5.00 7% 14.10    
2  SAVING MAMA Oct11 Sep30 Sep21 Aug31 Aug18 (morelos mate)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
3  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Oct24 Oct06       (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 ★    
4  ANGEL'S ENTRY Oct24 Oct14 Sep14 Sep05 Aug29 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00    
5  TOMATO BILL Oct22 Oct04 Sep13 Aug23 Jul15 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
6  STRIKE A BEAT Oct27 Oct14 Sep19 Jun22 May31 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 124 4.50 18% 4.40    
7  BAJAN RUM Sep23 Sep01 Aug12 Jul07 May17 (smith larry)MAYTA J 124 3.00 ★    
8  WISE KHOZAN Oct27 Oct06 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   11/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIDI'S BACK Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Aug15 Aug04 (suarez javier)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
2  DRUMBEG Oct07 Sep02 Aug04 Mar31 Mar08 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
3  PENNY SHOTS         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  LACY QUEEN Sep22 Sep06 Aug31 Aug10 Jul22 (salcedo ramon)CEDILLO MAURO 117 10.00    
5  PISTOL PACKIN BOS Sep21 Aug22 Jul05 Jun01   (hurley mary )KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 ★    
6  BOOGIE BOOGEE Oct12 Sep07       (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Oct25 Sep12 Aug25 Aug10 Jul07 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Oct05 Sep13 Aug09 Jul25 Jun22 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-8   11/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY MAN Sep27 Sep12 Aug13 Jul18 Jun30 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
2  PLATE IT UP Oct10 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
3  THIS MAN CAN Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Sep01 Aug16 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 6.00 ★    
4  KONTAR Oct12 Sep06 Aug13 Jul27 Jul06 (schuster rob)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00    
5  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug25 Aug13 (calderon ivan)TOLEDO S 126 8.00    
SCR  HONOR THE D Oct10 Sep20       (bates l)BRACHO A 126 10.00 ★    
7  OFTEN ENOUGH Sep29 Sep15 Jun06 May31 May10 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 73% 0.40    
8  IT'S A MANS WORLD Oct11 Jul07 Jun06 May10 Mar24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 ★    
9  THE MAN CAN Oct10 Sep22 Sep07 May23 May07 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 126 5.00 ★    
10  CAPTAIN RILEY Jun27 May25 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.