Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - October 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KJOS KID Oct10 Sep26 Sep07 Aug24 Jun05 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 44% 1.20    
2  LIZNOW Sep16         (zielins)PILARES P 123 2.50 15% 5.50    
3  CURIOSITY KILLS         (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00    
4  ALITA Oct10 Sep12 Aug24 Aug04 Jul18 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00 ★    
5  WILDCAT DREAM Sep30 Sep21 Sep07 Jul29 Jul14 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 123 10.00 ★    
6  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Oct10 Aug04 Jul18 Jun25 May24 (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 126 8.00 8% 10.90    
 
MVR-2   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCREET INVASION Oct02 Sep25 Aug29 Aug22 Jul31 (anderson su)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 8.00 13% 6.60    
2  RULING EMPIRE Sep27 Sep13 Sep01 Aug16 Aug02 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 6.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  OUT FOR JUSTICE Oct17 Jul20 Jul11 Jun20 Jun14 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 20.00    
4  BULLION Oct06 Sep20 Jun16 May31 May17 (castillo jab)HALDAR J 126 3.50 16% 5.20    
5  JUSTENUFFTUFF May21 Apr27 Apr02 Mar08 Feb26 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00    
SCR  VENETIAN DREAM Sep12 Aug29 Aug18 Aug04 Jul28 (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 126 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  SACRED KIKI BIRD Sep25 Sep02 Jul25 Jun27 Jun13 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 ★    
8  PERCENTAGE Aug26 Jul19 Jun02 May11 Apr29 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 8.00    
 
MVR-3   10/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORSESE Aug31 Aug02 Jul07 Jun06 May07 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
2  AFTERMATH Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 Aug12 Jul15 (brooks e)RIVERA R 121 3.50    
3  ANGEL'S ENTRY Oct14 Sep14 Sep05 Aug29 Aug03 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
4  ST. LUKES Oct11         (trevino s)CORREA L 123 5.00 ★    
5  MR. BIFFLE Oct10 Sep16 Aug16 Aug03 Jul20 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
6  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Oct13 Sep26 Sep19 Sep08 Aug22 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 15.00    
7  AT THE BEACH Sep26 Sep08 Aug15 Aug04 Jul14 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 ★    
8  FARZIN Sep30 Sep13 Aug26 Aug04 Jul13 (sandy s)MCKEE J 124 8.00 ★    
9  ATLANTIC RULER Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 (pappada a)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
10  JUST CHITU Oct10 Sep30 Sep21 Aug25 Aug19 (wilson david)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNY U Sep20 Aug22 Aug03 Jun11 May26 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00    
1A  FRONTLINER Oct10 Sep19 Sep01 Aug03 Jul19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  D'MONEY HONEY Oct07 Sep27 Sep14 Aug23 Aug11 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 5.00    
3  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Oct06         (vecchio c)CORREA L 124 6.00 ★    
4  ARMY SCOUT Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 Aug02 Jul15 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 124 3.50 ★    
5  SILVER G T O Oct10 Sep28 Sep06 Aug18 Jun30 (faulkner rod)MAYTA J 124 2.50 15% 5.90    
6  KHALFANI Oct10 Sep22 Sep12 Aug18 Jul07 (pattah shahab )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
 
MVR-5   10/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERVE REVENGE COLD Oct12 Sep22 Jul15 Jun03 May23 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 11% 8.20    
2  WORTHY OPPONENT Oct10 Sep15 Sep01 Aug23 Aug09 (miller arizona)FELICIANO R 121 8.00 7% 13.10    
3  POWERFUL PHIL Sep28 Sep14 Aug15 Jul28 Jul13 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 10.00    
4  NEBULOSA Sep28 Sep01 Aug12 Aug03 Jul14 (evans michae)HALDAR J 121 10.00    
5  CRYPTO COPY Sep29 Sep13 Aug25 Aug12 Jul21 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
6  SWEET JILL'S JACK Sep29 Sep05 Jul20 Jun14 May11 (campbell )CORREA L 124 20.00    
7  MONSTER HUNTER Sep15 Aug15 Jul28 Jul13 May25 (faulkner joshu)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00    
8  DOUGS MORNING PICK Oct03 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 Jun25 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
9  BLAZING BURROUGHS Sep28 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26   (dillion jimmy)MCKEE J 121 5.00 34% 1.90    
10  TEAM LEYENDECKER Oct03 Aug30 Aug23 Jun28 May30 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 6.00 7% 12.60    
 
MVR-6   10/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIP SHEET Oct04 Sep19 Jun30 Jun20 Jun01 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
1A  GIZMO JONES Oct14 Aug31 May18 May03 Mar26 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
2  DEBDURITE Sep19 Mar02 Feb16 Jan21 Jan05 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
2B  SLICK SILVER Sep19 Aug16 Jun02 May20 Apr23 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 ★    
3  LUCKY ANDY Oct03 Sep12 Aug10 Jul26 Jun22 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
4  ARTEMUS EAGLE Oct04 Sep14 Aug26 Aug13 Jul16 (cline c)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
5  MAN DOWN Sep19 Aug24 Jul28 Jul12 Jun27 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 ★    
6  GALTERO Sep29 Sep19 Sep05 Aug18 Aug08 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00    
7  FULCO Sep28 Sep08 Aug03 Jul19 Jul13 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
8  SHELL FIRE Oct14 Oct05 Sep22 Jun20 Jun11 (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 124 4.50 ★    
 
MVR-7   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK ON KITTEN Oct04 Sep23 Aug24 Jul22 Jun24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 7% 14.10    
1A  WEST LEONARD Sep29 Sep15 Aug30 Jul18 Jun30 (johnson g)CORREA L 124 6.00    
2  UNCLE KEVIN Oct06 Sep19 Jul21 Jul06 Jun25 (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
SCR  KAPHAVATA Oct04 Aug23 Jul25 Apr15 Mar30 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
4  SWEET LEMON DROP Sep19 Sep01 Aug17 Jul25 Jun30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
5  SUMMER RETREAT Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 Jul11 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
6  FIRST SONG Sep22 Aug30 Aug10 Jul22 Jun25 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  VOLBEAT Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.50 ★    
8  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE Oct04 Sep06 Aug16 Jul06 Jun21 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-8   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DE BOLT LIGHT Oct05 Jul12 Jun22 Jun08 May20 (howard d)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
2  CRYPTONIC CATWALK Oct06 Aug10 Jul11 Jun25 Jun08 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 13% 7.00    
3  WELLOILEDCAT Sep27 Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 Jun29 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHADY BABY Sep27 Sep08 Aug31 Aug19 Aug03 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 121 15.00    
5  LADY ABRIL Sep27 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 1.80 27% 2.60    
6  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Aug12 Jul12 May26 May12 Apr26 (gorham ro)CORREA L 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
7  WAR MOON Oct06 Sep21 Aug23 Jul20 Jun25 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 116 20.00    
8  DEB'S ALL OUT Oct06 Sep27 Sep08 Aug23   (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 8.00 7% 13.00    
9  SASSY POWER Oct13 Sep27 Aug10 Jul07 Jun07 (radosevich s)MCKEE J 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.