Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - May 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/1)-(4/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/1)-(4/6/5/3)-(2/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/3)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/3)-(2/3/4)-(3/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/4/7)-(2/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(2/5/3)-(2/1/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(2/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(2/1/5/6)-(2/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/6)-(2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/6)-(2/8/4)-(1/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/4)-(2/8/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/4)-(2/8/7/4)-(2/8/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/4)-(1/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE IN A FLASH Apr21 Apr07 Mar03 Feb10 Jan23 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF AKRON Apr21 Apr10 Apr03 Mar19 Mar06 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
3  HITE Apr29 Mar30 Nov12 Oct28 Oct10 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 11% 8.10    
4  OAKS HONEY Mar31 Feb05 Dec05 Aug22 Jul16 (kocijan marcus)NEGRON LUIS 119 15.00 9% 10.50    
5  UPTOWN Mar30 Mar03 Feb10 Jan23 Dec05 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50 50% 1.00    
6  SAMMY'S SMILE Apr30 Oct03 Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
7  MUTINY Apr30 Apr10 Mar22 Aug12 Jul31 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
8  DR. ZARNETT May03 Mar31 Feb10 Jan23 Oct26 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
9  CONTROLLER Feb04 Jan09 Dec17 Dec05 Sep17 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00    
 
TDN-2   05/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARABELLA Aug28 Aug14       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of JUSTALITTLESMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
2  COLLECT GOLD Apr23 Mar24 Dec27 Nov06 Feb14 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 123 2.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of MEADOWLEE by MEADOWLAKE)
3  JUSTWORTHASHOT Mar24 Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 Jan08 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
4  VESPER MARTINI         (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 43% 1.40    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of U AND TEQUILA by HELLO BROADWAY)
5  LEMONADE LUCY         (flores i)FERNANDEZ R 123 10.00 7% 14.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LEMON DROP BLOSSOM by LEMON DROP KID)
6  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Sep16 Jul22 Jul04 Jun17   (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
7  DOLLAR DANCE Apr11 Mar24 Feb27 Feb04 Aug07 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
8  ANOTHERWINNER Aug28 Aug14       (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
 
TDN-3   05/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILLS WILD BRAT Nov04 Oct23 Oct02     (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 2.00    
2  PARLAY Dec19 Nov25 Oct26 Oct10 Sep20 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.60 45% 1.20    
3  OFFICIALLY YOURS Apr24 Mar18 Feb27 Jan29 Jul11 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
4  MINESTRESS Apr24 Apr02 Mar18 Aug03 Jul17 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRAISE N GLORY Apr24 Mar31 Mar06 Dec26 Nov25 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 117 6.00    
 
TDN-4   05/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRULY INCLUSIVE Jan24 Dec18 Nov18 Sep09 Jul04 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.00    
2  POWER BANKER Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 Jan24 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.00    
3  PANAMANIAC Apr28 Sep18 Sep09 Aug01 Jul03 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 44% 1.30    
4  TWERK Apr28 Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Jan29 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 123 3.50 14% 6.40    
5  FABULOUS CLOWN Apr22 Oct29 Oct11 Aug29 Aug07 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
SCR  DANCE DRAMA Apr23 Mar03 Jan28 Jan13 Dec02 (flores christi)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
7  DANZA MAGIC Mar24 Mar10 Feb28 Feb10 Jan24 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   05/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE AGENT Dec27 Nov21 Oct29 Sep26 Aug31 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00    
2  REIGNING DREAM Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 Jan30 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 1.80 38% 1.60    
3  ROMANIAN PRINCE Apr23 Mar18 Dec09 Nov13 Sep23 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  CLEAN MACHINE Sep05 Aug10 Jul08 Jun26   (hamm timothy)STOKES J 115 3.00    
5  WIN HERBIE WIN Oct26 Oct10 Aug14     (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  IVORY SKY Apr08 Mar19 Feb08 Jan07 Aug05 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   05/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVEBUG Apr12 Mar30 Mar12 Jan29 Dec05 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 117 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  REDWINEANDWHISKEY Apr24 Dec23 Oct22 Aug26 Aug01 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  STELLA E VELOCE Apr11 Mar25 Mar17 Feb12 Jan17 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 115 12.00    
4  G'DAY LADY Apr24 Apr11 Mar13 Feb27 Jan31 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 121 4.50    
5  SHE'S SO SEXY Jan02 Dec12 Sep27 Aug17 Jul14 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  DOWN IN THE BAYOU Apr24 Apr13 Mar13 Feb26 Jan31 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FROTHY Apr24 Apr02 Mar17 Jan29 Jan05 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
 
TDN-7   05/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL SPECTRUM Apr22 Oct26 Oct10 Sep18 Aug28 (jackson r)RIVERA R 115 4.00    
2  HIDDEN RANSOM Apr22 Oct29 Sep23 Aug29 May13 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 52% 0.90    
3  STRIKE PLATE Apr30 Apr10 Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 (langley josh)TAVARES JAVIER 119 10.00    
4  GONE WILD Nov27 Nov12 Oct10 Aug30 Jul27 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SADIE'S SILVER KID Jul15 Jun26 Jun08 May21 Oct28 (rettele richard)STOKES J 119 12.00    
SCR  LIVE A LITTLE Dec19 Nov27 Oct10 Sep20 Sep05 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 10.00    
7  SGT YORK Oct02 Aug24 Oct31     (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 ★    
8  BIGPICLITTLEPIC Apr22 Apr03 Mar03 Jan15 Dec02 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 6.00 20% 3.90    
9  KICKSTART Apr22 Feb27 Oct10 Sep18   (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00    
 
TDN-8   05/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLORYOUREGGS Apr21 Jul01 Jun17     (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
2  BOLD RUBY Dec05 Nov06 Oct19 Oct02 Aug26 (tu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
3  COME ON ARLENE Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 Aug07 Jul04 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 12% 7.00    
4  VICTORIA COMMAND Apr09 Jan25 Dec26 Dec05 Nov05 (lopez jacinto)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CATTY REMARK Apr21 Mar20 Feb26 Feb10 Sep24 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 13% 6.70    
6  VERTISALUTE Apr30 Aug07 Jul18 Jul01 Jun17 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 20.00    
SCR  SPECIAL COLLETTE Apr09 Mar20       (pappada julie)BRACHO A 117 5.00    
SCR  NAKSU Feb26 Feb05 Jul24     (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
SCR  VAMONOS PIACENTE Apr28 Jul24 Jun17 May29 Apr10 (casalinova tina)PEREZ A 119 30.00    
10  MAYBETHEONE Apr24 Apr09 Mar25 Mar06 Jul24 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.