Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Wednesday - April 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $4.00  
TDN-2   Win (1/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-3   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.20  
TDN-4   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-5   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
TDN-6   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-7   Win (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-8   Win (6/3/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MO DONT NO 3 3 32½ 32   31½ 1½ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 1.00  
1  MUTINY 1 5 21 1nk   1½ 2½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 6.10 DQ↓3
6  QUIET AMIGO 4 2 11 2nk   2½ 32¾ (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 22% 3.70 1.70 P
7  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN 5 4 65 64¼   66 46¼ (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 119 12.00 11% 8.40 28.30  
8  SAMMY'S SMILE 6 1 44 54   55½ 57½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5.70  
4  SUSIE'S KID 2 6 54 43½   45½ 68 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 10.00 21% 3.70 18.80  
SCR  DARK VADER               (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 3.00    
SCR  PARTY POOPER               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50    
 
TDN-2   04/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVID 1 6 1½ 1nk   11 12 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 2.00 47% 1.10 0.50 W
8  SOULLESS 7 2 2½ 31   31 22 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.00 7% 13.70 3.80 P
7  SMOKIN JOE 6 5 41½ 43½   45 33 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 3.00 20% 4.10 4.20 S
4  STRIKE PLATE 4 3 3½ 2nk   21 45½ (langley josh)TAVARES JAVIER 119 5.00 6.30  
5  MOONSHINE JOE 5 1 55 57½   57½ 58½ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00 25.70  
2  SOL OF VAQUERO 2 7 66 69½   612½ 614¾ (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 15.00 87.50  
3  WHY KENNY WHY 3 4 77½ 711½   716½ 721¼ (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 91.50  
SCR  MR. REDLEGS               (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:001     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME THE AVENGER 1 3 31½ 22½   22½ 12 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 1.80 1.10  
2  CAPTURE MI 2 1 11½ 12½   12½ 22 (vlaun manu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 14% 6.20 9.50 P
6  RUN FOR REAGAN 6 4 42 34   36 37 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 2.50 51% 1.00 2.40 S
4  BANG A RANG 4 2 21½ 45½   46 47 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 4.10  
5  CLOAK AND DAGGER 5 5 52½ 56½   57 58¼ (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
3  EL BANDIDO 3 6 67 610½   611 611¾ (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00 58.80  
 
TDN-4   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRING OCTET 1 4 11 2nk   11 15½ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.60 38% 1.60 0.50 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TO BE DETERMINED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  MOR STORMY 3 3 21 3½   33½ 25½ (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 11.90 P
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
2  FINALLY FRIDAY 2 6 31 1nk   21 37¾ (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00 29.60  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BROOKLYN BITES by GRAYDAR)
4  RUNAWAY POWER 4 5 41¼ 44½   56 48½ (cline c)RIVERA R 119 2.00 6.10  
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
6  FAST AND FRIENDLY 6 1 66¾ 56   45½ 59¼ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 8.00 3.70  
  (by VEKOMA out of MY FAST FRIEND by FRIENDS LAKE)
5  A VAN ON THE RUN 5 2 55¼ 67   68½ 611 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 123 3.50 37% 1.70 8.30  
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
 
TDN-5   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CITY SCENE 3 3 1nk 1½   13 12¾ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 35% 1.90 2.40 W
6  RED HOT LASS 6 2 2nk 2½   23 22¾ (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 123 2.50 1.70  
1  GOLDENEYE MAGIC 1 5 41¼ 31½   35 33½ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 24% 3.10 2.00 S
2  LUCKY COUGAR 2 4 51¾ 41½   45 46½ (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 10.50  
5  LADY WELLINGTON 5 6 63¼ 52½   59½ 59½ (madrigal rod)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 16.00  
4  COMMAND STRIKE 4 1 3.2 67½   615 617 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 6.00 14% 6.10 10.30  
SCR  THE SWEATY FOX               (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
 
TDN-6   04/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:002     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS 6 1 31½ 31   1½ 12¼ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 1.80 21% 3.80 1.20 W
2  AKIMBO 1 3 21 2½   2½ 22¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.00 1.80  
4  MERGER 3 6 52½ 53   43 34¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 5% 19.00 3.60 S
6  MY HOMBRE 5 4 42½ 42   31 45½ (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 42.20  
5  BE AN EDDIE 4 5 63 65   55½ 56½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 117 2.50 50% 1.00 4.80  
3  SEEKING FREEDOM 2 2 11 1½   66 611¾ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 58.10  
SCR  VERNON'S BEST               (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00    
 
TDN-7   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHANNEL FURY 1 4 21 1nk   11½ 11 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 2.50 35% 1.90 0.70 W
6  JOHN'S ROCK 4 5 64¼ 51¾   41¾ 21 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 39% 1.50 2.30 P
3  STOMPING MOON 2 6 54 31   21½ 31¼ (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 20.00 47.70  
8  TIME TO SHOOT 6 1 44 41¼   51¾ 42¼ (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
7  I WANNA WIN 5 2 31½ 2nk   31½ 52¾ (jackson r)FELICIANO R 123 5.00 6.60  
5  AYE AYE SIR 3 3 11 63¾   69¾ 622¼ (rettele richard)PEREZ A 123 8.00 9.00  
SCR  FAT DADDY               (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 123 15.00    
SCR  MORE LOVE               (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 4.00    
 
TDN-8   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT 6 1 2nk 11   11 11¾ (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 2.00 31% 2.20 1.50 W
5  CREDIT CHECK 5 3 33½ 31   21 21¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 11.90  
7  TOASTMASTER 7 2 54¼ 52¼   34 31¾ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 15.00 16% 5.30 15.90 S
4  LA ARTISTA 4 7 64¼ 73¼   45 42¾ (huffman canda)BRACHO A 115 10.00 24.90  
9  EXALTADA 8 6 86¾ 62¾   56 56½ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 10.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
1  VERTISALUTE 1 8 74¾ 42   66 610 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 20.00 62.40  
2  FUNNYSTASTIC 2 4 1nk 21   78 719½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 115 15.00 63.20  
3  HOLLABACK 3 5 43¾ 87¼   815 824¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.00 28% 2.60 1.50  
SCR  FLASHY N               (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 115 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.