Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Friday - April 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $9.80 $5.80 145%
    DD (4/2/3)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5 $15.60 $3.60 30%
MVR-3   TRI (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-7-4 $30.60 $18.60 155%
    DD (2/5)-(6/7/3/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00  5-6 $21.80 $5.80 36%
MVR-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $16.40 $10.40 173%
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $31.60 $19.60 163%
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-6-4 $29.55 $26.55 885%
    DD (6/7/3/4)-(4/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-1 $25.40 $1.40 6%
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/7/3/4)-(4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-6-1 $57.05 $45.05 375%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:154 1:292   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARMEL ROSE 4 3 1nk 11 1 1 1 (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 118 0.60 47% 1.10 0.05 W
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BEAUTIFUL WIFE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
DOLLAR DANCE 5 1 3 3 2 2 2 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50 9.80  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
J. P INDY 3 4 43 4 3 37 310¼ (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00 33.60 S
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SMARTASSET 2 2 2nk 21 410½ 410½ 419¼ (cline c)RIVERA R 126 3.00 24% 3.20 5.60  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
RAVEN'S HONOR 1 5 5 5 512 514½ 524¼ (holton a)DIAZ R 126 20.00 30.90  
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
 
MVR-2   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTA 4 1 2 2nk   1½ 1 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
TAPSOLUTION 3 2 1 1nk   2½ 2 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 0.60  
VINCENZINO 1 4 410 412½   4 3 (dixon j)BRACHO A 124 3.00 3.00  
BEACH FRONT 2 3 32 3   3 4 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 53% 0.90 5.00  
SCR  CLASS ACTOR               (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 2.00    
SCR  MR LAOBAN               (szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-3   04/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:231 :474       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G'DAY LADY 6 4 5 5¾   1 19 (adams l)BRACHO A 126 1.60 43% 1.30 0.80 W
CAME UP ROSES 7 1 3½ 2nk   3 29 (musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 4.50 21% 3.70 2.50 P
GRAN CONQUISTADORA 4 5 4 4¾   2 310¾ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.30 S
UAINTRIGHT 5 2 2½ 3.2   57 412½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 118 2.00 3.90  
SILVER MATY 3 3 1½ 1nk   4 513½ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 8.00 9% 10.40 15.70  
LIME TREE 1 7 65 6   6 618 (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 126 6.00 13.40  
KATNAPPING 2 6 717 716¼   714¼ 723¼ (aguirre jua)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 126 20.00 55.40  
 
MVR-4   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:232 :471 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKET LIST 1 6 4 4   32 1 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 8% 11.50 7.20 W
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 6 2 1nk 1nk   22 2 (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 126 1.80 19% 4.30 0.80 P
GAME BOY BENNY 4 4 6 5   5 3 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 30% 2.40 4.60 S
BIG BUCKSALOT 2 5 2nk 2nk   12 4 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 2.40  
STOMPING MOON 5 1 5 3.2   4 5 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 15.80  
DR SCHUSTER 3 3 3.2 6   6 614 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 126 12.00 27.40  
 
MVR-5   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WANDA SUSIE DOOZY 6 1 1 1   15 110¼ (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 1.80  
STELLA E VELOCE 1 5 3 2   35 210¼ (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 116 5.00 7.40  
NIGHT NURSE 3 9 7 3   25 311 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 116 12.00 17% 4.90 11.90 S
EMM ESS EH 2 7 6 6   510½ 412¼ (stansbury julie)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 14% 6.00 9.40  
GRACE IN EXCESS 8 2 5 7   612 516 (musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00 5% 19.00 38.10  
YOUR TROPHY GIRL 5 6 2 4   49 618 (poole jami )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 16% 5.10 17.60  
WIZ THE BOMB 7 8 8 9   814 718¼ (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 116 8.00 4.30  
LADLE 4 4 9 8   713 819¾ (miller jerome )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 10.10  
THEHILLONWOODSIDE 9 3 4 5   916 925¾ (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 116 3.00 17% 4.80 3.60  
 
MVR-6   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:254 :50 1:16 1:29   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHOTO HOP 3 4 21 21 1½ 17 114¼ (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.20 37% 1.70 0.10 W
SWEET TRAVELS 4 1 11 11 2½ 27 214¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 33% 2.10 4.50 P
LT'S JACKNTHEBOX 5 3 4 3 3 311 317¼ (gonzalez dona)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00 7% 12.90 8.70 S
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 1 2 32 4 4 412½ 419¼ (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00 18.50  
ROYAL DECADENCE 2 5 5 5 58 515½ 523 (short travis )CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 38.20  
SCR  IRON TAP               (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40    
SCR  LUMIERE               (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:003     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OOPSIE DOOPSIE 4 4 31 2nk   1nk 12 (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 5.00 4.00  
SPECIAL BEACH 1 5 4 3   3 22 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 5.10  
CASTLE MAGIC 3 2 21 5   5 3 (gorham m)RIVERA R 124 4.50 25% 3.00 3.40 S
REDWHITEANDTACOS 5 6 52 42   4 43 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 34% 1.90 2.90  
MISS SHADY 2 3 11 1nk   2nk 5 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 126 4.00 5.10  
PRINCESSOFTHENORTH 6 1 6 6   6 6 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 8.00 3.50  
SCR  BIG GINGER               (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
 
MVR-8   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:134 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR JACK FLYER 2 2 21 2 22 32 1 (reed lar)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50 3.70  
KADESH 6 4 6 4 3 2nk 2 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 1.00 P
SMASH 4 1 11 1 12 1nk 32 (lopez e)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 21.20 S
BIG POPPER 7 5 810¾ 814½ 79 6 4 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 126 15.00 21.40  
SLIPPERY WHEN WET 1 8 7 7 5 5 56 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 14.00  
EXALTED JOY 5 9 913¾ 915 913 88 6 (clouston edwar)DIAZ I 124 6.00 56% 0.80 7.50  
CORONA GRANDE 3 7 53 66 6 7 710 (spiess m)RIVERA R 126 4.00 13% 6.90 9.00  
10  STAR SHOPPING 9 6 43 5 45 45 811 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
NIGHT TIME RULER 8 3 3 3 812 920 938¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 60.60  
SCR  SEE SPOT RUN               (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.