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Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley
Friday - April 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

MVR-2			WIN	(2/5)						2	$2.00	$4.00	5		$9.80			$5.80				145%
			DD	(4/2/3)-(2/5)						6	$2.00	$12.00	4-5		$15.60			$3.60				30%
MVR-3			TRI	(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)						24	$0.50	$12.00	6-7-4		$30.60			$18.60				155%
			DD	(2/5)-(6/7/3/4)						8	$2.00	$16.00	5-6		$21.80			$5.80				36%
MVR-4			WIN	(4/6/1)						3	$2.00	$6.00	1		$16.40			$10.40				173%
			EXA	(4/6/1)-(4/6/1)						6	$2.00	$12.00	1-6		$31.60			$19.60				163%
			TRI	(4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1)						6	$0.50	$3.00	1-6-4		$29.55			$26.55				885%
			DD	(6/7/3/4)-(4/6/1)						12	$2.00	$24.00	6-1		$25.40			$1.40				6%
			PK3	(2/5)-(6/7/3/4)-(4/6/1)						24	$0.50	$12.00	5-6-1		$57.05			$45.05				375%

Simulator Race results


MVR-1			04/11/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	MUDDY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($31.8K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	CARMEL ROSE									(stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 118						0.60		47%		1.10		0.05	W
		(by CINCO CHARLIE out of BEAUTIFUL WIFE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
5	DOLLAR DANCE									(go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118						3.50						9.80
		(by BROKEN VOW out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
3	J. P INDY									(cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126						10.00		5%		19.00		33.60	S
		(by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2	SMARTASSET									(cline c)RIVERA R 126						3.00		24%		3.20		5.60
		(by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
1	RAVEN'S HONOR									(holton a)DIAZ R 126						20.00						30.90
		(by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)

MVR-2			04/11/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	MUDDY	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($15.4K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	SALTA									(radosevich justin)STOKES J 124						8.00		5%		19.00		3.90	W
3	TAPSOLUTION									(bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124						2.50						0.60
1	VINCENZINO									(dixon j)BRACHO A 124						3.00						3.00
2	BEACH FRONT									(haehn r)PAUCAR E 124						4.00		53%		0.90		5.00
SCR	CLASS ACTOR									(poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126						2.00
SCR	MR LAOBAN									(szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 124						12.00

MVR-3			04/11/2025		3630ft	DIRT	RC4	MUDDY	Maiden Claimer ($5K)					Purse ($10.5K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:11
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	G'DAY LADY									(adams l)BRACHO A 126						1.60		43%		1.30		0.80	W
7	CAME UP ROSES									(musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126						4.50		21%		3.70		2.50	P
4	GRAN CONQUISTADORA									(mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118						15.00		5%		19.00		24.30	S
5	UAINTRIGHT									(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 118						2.00						3.90
3	SILVER MATY									(poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126						8.00		9%		10.40		15.70
1	LIME TREE									(vazquez ivan)STOKES J 126						6.00						13.40
2	KATNAPPING									(aguirre jua)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 126						20.00						55.40

MVR-4			04/11/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC9	MUDDY	Starter Allowance ($5K)					Purse ($17.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	BUCKET LIST									(mahan p)PAUCAR E 126						6.00		8%		11.50		7.20	W
6	NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO									(urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 126						1.80		19%		4.30		0.80	P
4	GAME BOY BENNY									(bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126						3.00		30%		2.40		4.60	S
2	BIG BUCKSALOT									(sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126						2.00						2.40
5	STOMPING MOON									(pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124						10.00						15.80
3	DR SCHUSTER									(schuster robin)DIAZ I 126						12.00						27.40

MVR-5			04/11/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	MUDDY	Claiming ($7.5K)					Purse ($14.6K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:07
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	WANDA SUSIE DOOZY									(reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124						2.50						1.80
1	STELLA E VELOCE									(vazquez ivan)STOKES J 116						5.00						7.40
3	NIGHT NURSE									(poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 116						12.00		17%		4.90		11.90	S
2	EMM ESS EH									(stansbury julie)PAUCAR E 124						10.00		14%		6.00		9.40
8	GRACE IN EXCESS									(musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124						20.00		5%		19.00		38.10
5	YOUR TROPHY GIRL									(poole jami )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124						15.00		16%		5.10		17.60
7	WIZ THE BOMB									(urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 116						8.00						4.30
4	LADLE									(miller jerome )HOUGHTON D 124						4.00						10.10
9	THEHILLONWOODSIDE									(trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 116						3.00		17%		4.80		3.60

MVR-6			04/11/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	MUDDY	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($12.1K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	PHOTO HOP									(farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124						1.20		37%		1.70		0.10	W
6	SWEET TRAVELS									(da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124						10.00		33%		2.10		4.50	P
7	LT'S JACKNTHEBOX									(gonzalez dona)SIMPSON JASON 124						15.00		7%		12.90		8.70	S
1	C C'S CLEAR CREEK									(schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124						20.00						18.50
4	ROYAL DECADENCE									(short travis )CEDILLO MAURO 124						20.00						38.20
SCR	IRON TAP									(farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126						1.40
SCR	LUMIERE									(cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124						8.00

MVR-7			04/11/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC9	MUDDY	Starter Allowance ($5K)					Purse ($17.5K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	OOPSIE DOOPSIE									(bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126						5.00		★				4.00
1	SPECIAL BEACH									(mahan p)PAUCAR E 124						3.00						5.10
3	CASTLE MAGIC									(gorham m)RIVERA R 124						4.50		25%		3.00		3.40	S
5	REDWHITEANDTACOS									(bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124						3.50		34%		1.90		2.90
2	MISS SHADY									(trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 126						4.00						5.10
7	PRINCESSOFTHENORTH									(rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124						8.00						3.50
SCR	BIG GINGER									(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126						8.00

MVR-8			04/11/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC9	MUDDY	Starter Allowance ($5K)					Purse ($17.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	DR JACK FLYER									(reed lar)FERNANDEZ R 124						2.50						3.70
7	KADESH									(sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126						3.50		★				1.00	P
5	SMASH									(lopez e)CEDILLO MAURO 124						8.00		5%		19.00		21.20	S
8	BIG POPPER									(romero a)VIGIL NOEL 126						15.00						21.40
2	SLIPPERY WHEN WET									(bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124						12.00						14.00
6	EXALTED JOY									(clouston edwar)DIAZ I 124						6.00		56%		0.80		7.50
4	CORONA GRANDE									(spiess m)RIVERA R 126						4.00		13%		6.90		9.00
10	STAR SHOPPING									(rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124						10.00		5%		19.00		6.40
9	NIGHT TIME RULER									(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124						20.00						60.60
SCR	SEE SPOT RUN									(trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 124						15.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.