Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Friday - April 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(2/5)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(6/7/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/7/3/4)-(4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/4)-(4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/4)-(4/6/1)-(9/3/5/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(9/3/5/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(9/3/5/2/8)-(5/6/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-5   WIN (9/3/5/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/2/8)-(9/3/5/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/2/8)-(9/3/5/2/8)-(9/3/5/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/5/2/8)-(5/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5/2/8)-(5/6/7)-(5/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(5/3)-(6/4/5/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(6/4/5/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/4/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/10)-(6/4/5/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/10)-(6/4/5/7/10)-(6/4/5/7/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAVEN'S HONOR Mar18 Mar06 Feb05 Jan24 Jan06 (holton a)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
2  SMARTASSET Mar24 Jan25 Dec05 Nov06 Oct21 (cline c)RIVERA R 126 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
3  J. P INDY Mar24 Jan25 Dec05 Nov06 Oct21 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  CARMEL ROSE Mar20 Dec11 Oct23     (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 118 0.60 47% 1.10    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BEAUTIFUL WIFE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
5  DOLLAR DANCE Mar24 Feb27 Feb04 Aug07 Jul04 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
 
MVR-2   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINCENZINO Mar29 Oct15 Sep24 Sep02 Aug20 (dixon jr)AVILES YAN 124 3.00    
2  BEACH FRONT Mar26 Dec17 Nov19 Nov02 Oct05 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 53% 0.90    
3  TAPSOLUTION Mar26 Mar10 Feb05 Jan16 Dec26 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50    
SCR  CLASS ACTOR Mar26 Mar04 Jan29 Jan09 Dec23 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 2.00    
5  SALTA Mar10 Feb05 Jan23 Nov21 Oct28 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR LAOBAN Dec17 Nov14 Oct23 Sep24 Sep05 (szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-3   04/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIME TREE Mar25 Mar03 Feb05 Dec26 Nov19 (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 126 6.00    
2  KATNAPPING Mar25 Feb05 Dec26 Nov18 Nov03 (aguirre jua)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 126 20.00    
3  SILVER MATY Mar03 Feb13 Feb05 Dec01 Jun10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 8.00 9% 10.40    
4  GRAN CONQUISTADORA Mar17 Feb27 Feb13 Jan01 Nov23 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  UAINTRIGHT Mar25 Mar17 Feb27 Jan29 Nov09 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 118 2.00    
6  G'DAY LADY Mar13 Feb27 Jan31 Jan15 Dec18 (adams l)BRACHO A 126 1.60 43% 1.30    
7  CAME UP ROSES Mar25 Mar03 Dec18 Nov11 Oct22 (musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
MVR-4   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKET LIST Mar27 Mar13 Feb08 Jan13 Dec11 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 8% 11.50    
2  BIG BUCKSALOT Mar30 Mar12 Feb27 Feb06 Jan28 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00    
3  DR SCHUSTER Mar26 Mar17 Mar06 Feb26 Feb13 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 126 12.00    
4  GAME BOY BENNY Mar19 Mar01 Feb03 Dec16 Nov26 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  STOMPING MOON Mar22 Mar12 Mar03 Jan18 Dec12 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00    
6  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Mar30 Mar20 Mar10 Feb11 Jan07 (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 126 1.80 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-5   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLA E VELOCE Mar25 Mar17 Feb12 Jan17 Dec07 (vazquez ivan)STOKES J 116 5.00    
2  EMM ESS EH Mar17 Feb28 Jan15 Oct10 Aug04 (stansbury julie)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 14% 6.00    
3  NIGHT NURSE Mar17 Mar04 Feb12 Jan08 Dec11 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 116 12.00 17% 4.90    
4  LADLE Feb26 Feb01 Oct05 Sep20 Sep11 (miller jerome )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00    
5  YOUR TROPHY GIRL Mar17 Feb19 Feb04 Jan07 Dec23 (poole jami )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 16% 5.10    
6  WANDA SUSIE DOOZY Mar20 Feb23 Oct30 Jan31 Dec19 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50    
7  WIZ THE BOMB Apr01 Mar21 Feb13 Dec11 Oct25 (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 116 8.00    
8  GRACE IN EXCESS Mar13 Feb12 Jan06 Dec10 Nov25 (musarro jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  THEHILLONWOODSIDE Mar12 Feb14 Jan04 Dec22 Nov24 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 116 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
MVR-6   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Mar27 Mar10 Feb28 Dec04 Nov19 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
SCR  LUMIERE Mar14 Feb22 Feb13 Dec21 Nov13 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00    
SCR  IRON TAP Mar29 Feb26 Jan19 Jan08 Nov03 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40    
4  ROYAL DECADENCE Mar27 Feb03 Sep14 Sep05 Aug22 (short travis )CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
5  PHOTO HOP Apr05 Mar27 Feb28 Jan23 Jan02 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.20 37% 1.70    
6  SWEET TRAVELS Feb03 Jan25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 33% 2.10    
7  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Apr05 Mar27 Mar20 Mar11 Feb03 (gonzalez dona)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00 7% 12.90    
 
MVR-7   04/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL BEACH Apr03 Mar04 Jan27 Jan08 Dec27 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 3.00    
2  MISS SHADY Apr02 Mar12 Feb12 Jan28 Jan09 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 126 4.00    
3  CASTLE MAGIC Feb03 Jan15 Dec03 Nov20 Oct21 (gorham m)RIVERA R 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  OOPSIE DOOPSIE Mar31 Mar12 Feb28 Jan15 Dec26 (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 5.00 ★    
5  REDWHITEANDTACOS Mar19 Jan15 Dec12 Nov13 Oct29 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  BIG GINGER Mar18 Feb26 Jan13 Nov22 Oct31 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
7  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Apr03 Mar22 Mar13 Mar04 Feb08 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   04/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEE SPOT RUN Apr03 Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Jan27 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00    
2  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Apr03 Mar27 Feb27 Feb04 Jan27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00    
3  DR JACK FLYER Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 Jan24 Jan06 (reed lar)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50    
4  CORONA GRANDE Mar22 Mar04 Feb06 Jan27 Dec16 (spiess m)RIVERA R 126 4.00 13% 6.90    
5  SMASH Mar26 Mar12 Feb27 Feb11 Jan13 (lopez e)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  EXALTED JOY Mar22 Feb27 Feb06 Jan24 Dec23 (clouston edwar)DIAZ I 124 6.00 56% 0.80    
7  KADESH Mar26 Mar06 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 ★    
8  BIG POPPER Mar26 Mar01 Jan29 Dec28 Dec09 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 126 15.00    
9  NIGHT TIME RULER Mar27 Feb27 Dec23 Dec03 Nov14 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
10  STAR SHOPPING Apr03 Mar27 Feb28 Jan30 Jan01 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.