Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/2/5)-(2/3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/5)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/5)-(2/5)-(2/3/1/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(2/3/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(2/3/1/6)-(1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (2/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/6)-(2/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/6)-(2/3/1/6)-(2/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/6)-(1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/6)-(1/6)-(3/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(3/1/6)-(7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(7/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(7/10)-(10/5/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (7/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/10)-(7/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/10)-(10/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (10/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/5/9)-(10/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/5/9)-(10/5/9)-(10/5/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   05/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILA CANDY Apr18         (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FILIA by FOREVER SPARKLE)
NUMBERED         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of CASSATT by TAPIT)
CARA'S CHIANTI         (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ROSIE RED by EXCHANGE RATE)
YANKEE DOODLE         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GROOM out of COME ON DOODLE by DOUBLE NEGATIVE)
SPORTING LADY Aug29 Aug03       (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SECURELY by UNCLE MO)
SHIRL'S DELIGHT Apr17 Mar23 Feb21 Jan31 May09 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00    
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
BAQ-2   05/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT TAKES HEART Mar16 Mar07 Jan25 Jan05 Nov21 (kantarmaci ilk)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
1A  GOLDCREST Apr19 Apr10 Mar28 Feb21 Feb07 (kantarmaci ilka)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
TRADE SECRET Apr04 Mar28 Feb15 Jan03 Nov22 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
FLOGE Feb21 Feb13 Jan14 Dec08 Nov30 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60    
SCR  APRIL ANTICS Apr04 Mar14 Mar07 Jan19 Jan05 (barrera os)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 111 10.00    
RAW POWER Mar14 Feb22 Jan31 Jan05 Dec14 (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
HALO CITY Apr04 Feb22 Jan19 Jan03 Nov08 (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-3   05/09/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT DRAGON         (kimmel j)SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
VERY SATISFACTORY Apr03 Mar16 Mar02 Feb06 Dec14 (rice li)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 2.00 35% 1.80    
JOHN THE BAPTIST Mar12 Feb09 Jan11 Dec14 Sep26 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
PRAIRIE DUNES Apr19 Apr05 Feb15 Feb06 Jan19 (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00 8% 10.90    
HER SUGAR BABY Apr19 Mar28 Feb22     (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 10.00 6% 15.20    
KLIMT MASTER Mar30 Mar09 Feb02 Jan26 Jan02 (jones edua)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 111 30.00    
BATTLE ANTHEM Apr19 Mar08 Feb01     (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60    
 
BAQ-4   05/09/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($88K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORWARD DEPLOYED Feb08 Jan04 Dec08 Oct06 Aug17 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
SERENDIPITY Mar23         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  POOKIE Nov17 Oct06 Aug23     (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  OBEISSANTE Apr10 Feb15       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
CAPTURING Apr05 Feb09       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  RARE ART Apr11 Mar08 Oct20 Oct06 Aug23 (dutrow anthony)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SCR  LAVENDER DISASTER Oct06 Sep15       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00    
CAT CHAT Apr10 Mar16 Aug31     (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50    
 
BAQ-5   05/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXY CARA Apr18 Apr11 Mar15 Mar02 Feb09 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 12% 7.10    
LADY ARWEN Apr26 Mar28 Feb27 Jan18 Dec27 (arriaga)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
KAREN'S HONOR Apr24 Apr03 Feb13 Jan23 Jan05 (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 13% 6.60    
DOLCE SERA Apr24 Apr03 Mar21 Feb06 Jan23 (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00    
SHEZA BERNARDINI Apr03 Mar07 Nov12 Oct15 Oct02 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00    
LOOKS FIRST May01 Mar28 Mar15 Feb27 Feb15 (samsunda)VILLA FAVINHO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
DESPO'S DREAM May01 Apr04 Mar22 Feb15 Jan23 (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 125 4.50    
 
BAQ-6   05/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL CLASS Apr19 Mar22 Jan25 Dec27 Oct26 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 75% 0.30    
1A  SARIR Apr19 Mar22 Jan25 Nov29 Oct10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
SCR  PAROLA SICURA Apr18 Sep16 Aug15 Jul20 Jun16 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
SCR  CADENCIA Mar22 Jun27 Jun09 Apr20 Apr07 (morey william)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00    
THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Apr18 Mar01 Feb15 Jan23 Dec01 (chichakly ami)SILVERA RUBEN 123 30.00    
SCR  LA SALVADORENA Oct19 Aug22 Jul14 Jun16 Apr18 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
SHESINAMOOD Apr13 Aug28       (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THIENE (IRE)         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
SCR  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT Jan25 Nov17 Oct04 Jan05 Nov05 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 15.00    
MAJESTIC RETURN Apr25 Mar22 Aug16 Jun23 May26 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/09/2025 6270ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Apr13 Feb27 Feb13 Jan23 Dec28 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  MASQUEPARADE Mar28 Feb28 Dec26 Nov23 Sep28 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
CHILENO Apr13 Dec12 Nov15 Sep21 Mar29 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
GOOD SKATE Apr03 Feb27 Jun08 Apr28 Mar21 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
JACKSON HEIGHTS Apr13 Mar09 Feb23 Jan23 Dec07 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00    
MIKEALICIOUS Apr13 Mar22 Feb22 Jan25 Dec28 (martin c)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
 
BAQ-8   05/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGHESTDISTINCTION Mar22 Feb28 Nov23 Oct03 Sep20 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 124 4.00    
SCR  EQUIVOQUE Mar29 Dec15 Nov10 Oct05 May06 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
SCR  INTO IT Mar09 Jan25 Dec26 Oct12 Sep05 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CREATION Mar02 Feb01 Oct31 Sep29 Aug23 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
NOTED Apr08 Jun23 May04 Mar23 Feb03 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50    
SCR  SUMMER IN ADRIANE Apr09 Mar15 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.50    
MALARCHUK Apr13 Jan16 Apr11 Dec08 Sep28 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  BADGE OF WAR Apr12 Feb27 Jan01 Nov13 Nov08 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 126 4.00    
SCR  ROCK THE WEEKEND Apr12 Mar21 Mar01 Jan23 Dec28 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 126 6.00    
10  KOLOMIO Apr23 Feb28 Jan16 Dec08 Nov23 (baker charlton)RIDER TBA 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  THRILL OF IT Mar12 Feb23 Jan11 Jul26 Jun08 (terranova p)RIDER TBA 124 12.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER Apr24 Apr13 Feb08 Dec28 Nov14 (charlerie gre)SILVERA RUBEN 124 5.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILSBEE Sep28         (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of GRACE'S TREASURE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  FROGHOLLOWSUMMER Oct10 Aug25       (martin c)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SHOOP by UNCLE MO)
LADY DELILAH Nov02 Sep20 Sep02 Jul25   (ferraro w)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MARIE ANTOINETTE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  LACKADAISICAL         (green amelia )FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ANYTHING GOES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
OLIVIA'S GRACE         (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 15.00 28% 2.60    
  (by SOLOMINI out of GANANOQUE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  WIDDERSHINS Apr26         (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of MUCH REJOICING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  WILD MISCHIEF Feb08 Dec28 Nov22 Oct26 Sep02 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WILD BILL'S GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  JALIMAR         (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of DARBY BLUSH by DARBY CREEK ROAD)
TRULLI MAGIC Mar29 Feb22 Jan23 Dec14 Nov16 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 13% 7.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of MAKENNAS MAGIC by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
10  LONG LEGGED QUEEN Mar02 Jan31 Nov16 Oct20 Aug17 (lee joseph)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of PEACE QUEEN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
11  MISS UPROAR Mar23 Feb27 Jan16 Dec29 Nov17 (abreu )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of FOREST UPROAR by FOREST WILDCAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.