Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - March 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/7)-(2/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/7)-(2/6/3/4)-(1/3/8/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/4)-(1/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/4)-(1/3/8/6)-(6/7/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/6)-(1/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/6)-(1/3/8/6)-(1/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/6)-(6/7/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/6)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/3/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/1)-(6/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/1)-(6/3/4/7)-(2/8/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/7)-(2/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/7)-(2/8/7/4)-(6/8/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/4)-(2/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/4)-(2/8/7/4)-(2/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/4)-(6/8/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7/4)-(6/8/4/7)-(6/8/7/5/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/7/5/4)-(3/5/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/8/7/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/5/4)-(6/8/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/5/4)-(6/8/7/5/4)-(6/8/7/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/7/5/4)-(3/5/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/5/4)-(3/5/1/2)-(10/11/2/7/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-9   WIN (3/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/2)-(10/11/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-10   WIN (10/11/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/2/7/5)-(10/11/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/2/7/5)-(10/11/2/7/5)-(10/11/2/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/08/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD BANKER Feb15 Feb01 Jan01 Dec15 Dec08 (metivier ric)HARKIE K 121 10.00    
2  BAD LARRY Feb02 Jan18 Jan10 Dec08 Nov19 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  CO CONSPIRATOR Feb15 Jan18 Jan02 Dec14 Dec06 (jones ed)VILLA FAVINHO 121 30.00    
4  DEBATE Feb15 Feb07 Jan10 Nov13 Oct12 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 8% 12.00    
5  ICE ROAD Feb14 Jan18 Jan01 Dec12 Nov10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.60 40% 1.50    
6  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Feb15 Jan19 Dec15 Nov26 Nov16 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 5.00    
7  RETAIL MAN Jan23 Dec15 Nov19 Oct30 Oct01 (johnston)DAVIS A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   03/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN TO ROCK Feb01 Jan25 Jan04 Dec06 Nov24 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00    
1A  SELECTIVELY SWEET Feb07 Jan17 Nov24 Oct16 Sep13 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 8.00    
2  ROSHIELL MY BELLE Nov17 Sep12 Jul28 Jun28   (abreu r)COA J 120 1.20 46% 1.20    
3  POWER DRIVER Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 Nov09 Oct03 (potts wayne)CEDENO CAROL 122 12.00 5% 17.30    
4  YAYI NIKOLLE Feb09 Jan17 Dec29 Nov29   (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  NO FACTOR Feb07 Jan17 Nov18 Nov06 Oct22 (toscano t)VIVES SOFIA 122 6.00    
6  BROOKLYN RHAPSODY Jan30 Jan13 Dec01 Nov11 Oct02 (d'alessandro r)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  WILDCAT ANNIE Feb15 Jan25 Jan01 Oct26   (miceli )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 8.00    
 
AQU-3   03/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIVE THRU Jan24 Jan02 Dec12 Oct17   (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 125 1.80 ★    
1A  SOLO FLIGHT Feb15 Jan26 Jan02 Dec12 Nov18 (d'alessandro r)COA J 125 1.80 29% 2.50    
2  GUNMAN JAYVO Feb08 Jan26 Dec07 Nov23   (bhigroog chetr)BROWN DALTON 118 15.00    
3  ROCK STAR REBEL Feb14 Jan11 Oct31 Oct06 Sep02 (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  BRACA Feb02 Jan24 Nov22 Nov02 Sep19 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 15.00    
5  MAGIC BEACH Feb28 Jan17 Dec12 Nov22 Oct27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 4.50    
6  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Jan24 Oct28 Jan14 Dec08 Nov11 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  DREAMALONGWITHME Jan24 Dec29       (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 125 20.00    
8  TWIRLING VINE Feb14 Jul27 Apr26 Mar21 Feb23 (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
AQU-4   03/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Maddie May Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOWLING WIND Feb01 Jan17 Dec14 Nov22   (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of TYPHOON TERI by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  BOSTON'S PHINEST Feb08 Dec14 Oct27 Sep20 Aug04 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of ALL IN TIME by CURLIN)
3  STORM CHANGER Feb08 Dec14 Nov16     (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of STORMIN SISTAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  BERNIEANDTHEROSE Feb08 Nov24 Nov03 Oct05   (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 123 3.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
5  LADY WISDOM Jan30 Jan05 Dec01 Oct20 Aug08 (morey william )LUZZI J 118 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MYSELF by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  ARMY GAL Mar02 Jan23       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 36% 1.70    
  (by ARMY MULE out of RENEE'S QUEEN by AFTER MARKET)
7  LOTTIE MARGARET Feb01 Jan05 Nov22     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of PASSIONATE DIVA by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
AQU-5   03/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY TOBY Jan31 Dec28 Nov27 Nov11 Oct25 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00    
2  SENEGAL Feb15 Jan11 Dec15 Oct31 Oct01 (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00    
3  WILLINTORISKITALL Feb15 Jan26 Dec14 Sep29 Aug24 (ferraro james)OLVER MADISON 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  LEO'S REWARD Feb14 Jan05 Dec29 Jul27   (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PROVISION Feb15 Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 Jun20 (shivmangal lol)LUZZI J 121 15.00    
6  LIBERTY CENTRAL Jan17 Dec08 Nov23 Oct25 Sep29 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.40 46% 1.20    
7  SHARED SUCCESS Nov27 Nov13 Jan11 Dec17 Nov08 (bond ja)COA J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   03/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST CHEESY Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 Dec03 Nov25 (velazq)GONZALEZ JR 120 10.00    
2  STIMULI Feb08         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  DAMAGE Feb02 Jan10 Nov29 Oct27 Sep28 (miceli michael)COA J 120 6.00    
4  DAYTONA MOONSHINE Feb23 Jan26 Jan10 Nov15 Sep22 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARVELOUS RICHARD Feb23 Dec28       (sciacc)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
6  STATE PARK Feb21 Nov17       (lauer michael)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
7  CAPT JAX PARROW Jan25         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  PLAY THE GRAY Jan18 Nov20 Nov04 Oct19 Aug20 (velazquez danie)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
9  FINES CREEK Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 Nov23   (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
 
AQU-7   03/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLOY JOY         (donk david)CEDENO CAROL 120 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of BARREL OF JOY by DISCO RICO)
2  FEDUPWITHTHEFED         (donk david)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MOSTESS HOSTESS by TALK IS MONEY)
3  LADY OF MERCIA Feb22 Feb13 Jan30 Nov16   (keithan )VILLA FAVINHO 120 30.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of TACTFUL SUSAN by HONOR CODE)
4  FULL POUR         (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of EXTRA IMPACT by HONOUR AND GLORY)
5  LUPINE         (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FLOWER MART by STREET SENSE)
6  LIGHTNING STRIKE         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of EVER AWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  CALISA         (flores-coba f)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of QUITE DRAMATIC by UNUSUAL HEAT)
8  GIULIANA'S DREAM Jan23 Jan10       (engleha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of BULLISH SENTIMENT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  WILL OF A WOMANNE         (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 120 8.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of ANNIE GO LIGHTLY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
 
AQU-8   03/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPECTED VALUE Feb08 Jan12 Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
SCR  TWO EAGLES RIVER Jan31 Jan05 Dec07 Nov15 Nov06 (maker j)VIVES SOFIA 121 15.00    
3  GENERAL BANKER Feb08 Jan12 Dec29 Nov23 Oct12 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
4  WINIT Jan04 Nov24 Oct26 Sep26 Aug23 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 7% 13.00    
5  CLASSIC LEGACY Feb08 Dec29 Nov23 Aug07 Jul13 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 8% 11.90    
6  MAGICAL WAYS Feb07 Jan12 Dec12 Nov17 Oct26 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00 31% 2.30    
7  CASCAIS Feb08 May04 Apr06 Jan13 Dec02 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 14% 6.10    
8  DOC SULLIVAN Feb15 Dec28 Nov23 Sep21 Aug25 (miceli)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00 14% 5.90    
9  RUNGIUS May05 Mar30 Mar01 Feb02 Jan12 (levine )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 15.00    
10  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Feb07 Jan12 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00    
 
AQU-9   03/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gander Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIVEMEMYTHEMEMUSIC Jan25         (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of JACKPOT JOANIE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  SKYTOWN Feb08 Nov23 Sep22 Aug21   (terranova john )DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of TROUBLE FOR SKYLAR by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  MO PLEX Oct27 Oct05 Aug25 Jul13 Jun20 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of MO JOY by UNCLE MO)
4  SOONTOBEKING Feb08 Jan12 Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SWAYED by FREUD)
5  NATIONAL IDENTITY Feb08 Dec14 Nov02 Oct06   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.40 27% 2.70    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CHEYENNE AUTUMN by FOUR SEASONS (GB))
6  CORVUS Feb01 Jan02 Dec06 Oct18 Sep21 (jimenez l)VIVES SOFIA 118 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DOLORES WESTWORLD by SCAT DADDY)
7  RESILIENT HERO Feb01 Nov30 Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 (jimenez l)CEDENO CAROL 118 30.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ESPIRITU by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  GRAND CASH Feb21 Jan25       (bhigroog chet)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SPEIGHTSTOWN LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  SWIFT MAGIC Jan04 Oct31 Aug25 Aug16   (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HELEN SUNG by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  SUNDAY GILT Jan04 Nov30 Nov02 Sep21   (englehart )RIVERA R 118 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SATURDAY BLISS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
AQU-10   03/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY TRAVEL Feb13         (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
2  SWEET LILAC Jan25 Jan01       (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 19% 4.10    
3  INSTANT VISION Feb07 Dec06       (bhigroog che)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
4  JOEVIA'S DIVA Jan23         (giglio g)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
5  SHOCK Oct14         (hills)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROYAL EVENT Feb01 Jan23 Nov30     (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
7  ELENI Feb22 Dec07 Nov03 Oct05   (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 9% 9.70    
SCR  MOONTOWN Feb22         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
SCR  SPUN SIZE Jan01 Dec26 Dec01     (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
10  GRACIE GIRL         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 120 8.00 24% 3.10    
11  AWESOME ROBERTA Feb15 Jan25 Dec29 Nov30 Nov09 (de hor)RIVERA R 120 8.00 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.