Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - January 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/8/2/1)-(6/7/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/2/1)-(6/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/1)-(6/7/8/2)-(2/8/6/7/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/2)-(2/8/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/2)-(2/8/6/7/4)-(4/6/1/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/8/6/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/7/4)-(2/8/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/7/4)-(2/8/6/7/4)-(2/8/6/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/6/7/4)-(4/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/7/4)-(4/6/1/3)-(10/11/6/5/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/3)-(10/11/6/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/3)-(10/11/6/5/4)-(4/2/7/5/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-6   WIN (10/11/6/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/6/5/4)-(10/11/6/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/6/5/4)-(10/11/6/5/4)-(10/11/6/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/11/6/5/4)-(4/2/7/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/11/6/5/4)-(4/2/7/5/1)-(5/1/3/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/2/7/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/5/1)-(4/2/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/5/1)-(4/2/7/5/1)-(4/2/7/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/7/5/1)-(5/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/5/1)-(5/1/3/8)-(5/6/7/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/8)-(5/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-9   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXY'S COUNTRY HIT Dec27 Dec10 Nov13 Oct26   (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of BILLBOARD HIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Dec17 Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep27 (overholt g)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
3  KELLEY JEAN         (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of PALACE MALICE GIRL by PALACE MALICE)
4  SMARTASSET Dec05 Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 Sep17 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
5  J. P INDY Dec05 Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 Sep17 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  JUSTWORTHASHOT Jan08 Dec17 Oct30 Oct07 Sep23 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 126 6.00    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
7  QUETZALY Jun17 May28 May09 Apr24 Apr08 (urieta jo)BERMUDEZ E 126 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DUNDALK DUST by MILITARY)
 
MVR-2   01/25/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BASTIEN LE BROWN Dec02 Aug20 Jun18 Dec12 Sep20 (aguirre juan )TOLEDO S 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  THE COACHMAN Jan09 Dec16 Dec02 Nov14 Nov02 (urieta)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 11% 7.80    
3  R CARDINAL PRINCE Dec26 Dec08 Sep24 Sep05 Aug20 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 5.00    
4  FOOL FOR THE CITY Jan03 Dec02 Nov19 Oct27 Oct01 (inirio carlo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
5  MILANO Jan07 Dec04 Jun03 May11 Apr15 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  OPEN OUT Dec12 Oct29 Oct11 Oct01 Aug21 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
7  MR CLINE Nov27 Nov05 Sep12 Aug22 Jul22 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
8  SUPPLY CHAIN Jun10 May13 Apr09 Mar05 Feb19 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-3   01/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY DIVISION Dec19 Nov19 Oct08 Sep10 Aug29 (juarez-mendoz)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
2  SWEET LEMON DROP Dec19 Nov19 Oct30 Oct19 Oct08 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MONSTER HUNTER Jan13 Dec26 Dec16 Nov27 Nov11 (gonzalez dona)TOLEDO S 124 4.00    
SCR  STONE COLD CAT Dec19 Dec05 Nov13 Oct26 Oct08 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00    
5  SHOW SLIDING HOME Dec19 Nov19 Aug29 Aug06 Jun25 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 8.00    
6  POWERFUL PHIL Dec19 Nov02 Oct11 Oct02 Sep10 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  WEEKEND BUZZ Dec19 Nov19 Oct30 Oct11 Sep19 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
8  WHAT A RUSH Jan08 Oct02 Sep07 Aug17 Jul26 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
MVR-4   01/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEAL THE DEAL Jan06 Dec16 Oct28 Oct16 Oct01 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
2  LIL TEMPTATION Dec23 Dec06 Oct16 Sep28 Mar14 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
3  TERRITORIALITY Dec26 Dec05 Nov07 Oct17 May02 (gowan william)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50    
4  SUMMER HOLIDAY Dec23 Nov14 Oct24 Sep26 Sep01 (robillard aly)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  GET BY Jan02 Nov24 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 (inirio carlo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
6  MALI BALI Jan07 Dec23 Nov27 Oct02 Sep12 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 11% 7.90    
7  MOONSHINING Dec19 Nov24 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 (vecchio caryn)STOKES J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  HOLIDAY LIGHTS Jan07 Dec23 Nov27 Nov04 Oct02 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
9  MORNING HOLIDAY Dec09 Oct26 Oct04 Sep01   (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-5   01/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIN DOCTOR Dec16 Dec05 Nov02 Oct08 Sep17 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
2  THE PINK Z Jan08 Dec18 Dec05 Nov02 Oct02 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
3  EL MARRO Dec19 Nov26 Apr01 Mar11 Feb21 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 8.00 7% 13.50    
4  SERENDIPITOUS Dec19 Nov26 Oct26 Oct07 Sep17 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 39% 1.50    
SCR  MUCHO PRIMO Jan08 Dec19 Dec05 Nov19 Oct29 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
6  UPGRADE AL Nov19 Oct08 Aug27 Jul04 Feb21 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
7  TAMMY'S TOY Dec23 Dec03 Nov07 Oct19 Oct08 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 126 12.00    
SCR  WEEKENDER Dec19 Nov19 Oct19 Oct02 Jul26 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 15.00    
 
MVR-6   01/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALMARY Dec26 May22 Apr27 Apr11 Mar14 (yoder )RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00    
2  INNER HARBOR Nov21 Oct04 Sep07 Jul05 Jun14 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 126 3.00    
3  SWEET BELEN Dec16 Nov20 Nov04 Oct02 Sep11 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
4  GIRL BYE Dec12 Nov27 Nov06 Oct20 Sep29 (fletcher j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  AWESOME SUNDAY Dec08 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (norris stephani)REYES FRANK 126 6.00 5% 18.40    
6  J P'S GLADYS Nov24 Nov11 Oct09 Aug26 Aug14 (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 126 4.50 11% 8.30    
7  GIN N SIN Nov13 Oct30 Oct14 Jun28 Jun04 (meeks )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
8  KAY BEE GEE Dec04 Nov12 Jul25 Jun06 May23 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 20.00    
9  GIRO KATE Dec03 Nov10 Oct15 Sep23 Sep11 (meeks karl)STOKES J 126 20.00    
10  CONSTITUTIONALIST Dec04 Nov14 Sep09 Aug21 Jul24 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 39% 1.50    
11  VARTON Dec26 Dec04 Oct20 May27 May08 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 126 8.00 24% 3.10    
 
MVR-7   01/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE THE BED Dec27 Dec09 Dec03 Nov26 Oct29 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SAGE RUNNER Jan06 Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 Nov07 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  EPIC KNIGHT Dec28 Dec09 Nov04 Oct08 Jul30 (garcia)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50    
4  SWEET TRAVELS Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 Jul18 Jul06 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
5  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Jan06 Dec19 Oct21 Oct08 Oct01 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Jan06 Dec19 Dec10 Nov26 Nov11 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00    
7  BREAKOUT STAR Dec11 Oct28 Oct16 Feb23 Feb08 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  THAT MAGIC MOMENT Jan06 Dec09 Nov29 Oct18 Sep22 (gotera car)LEON A 124 20.00    
9  AVAILABILITY Jan06 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Oct01 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
10  GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Jan07 Dec19 Nov20 Nov04 Oct07 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   01/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADED ONCE MORE Dec27 Nov21 Oct28 Oct07 Sep29 (bernardini)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 6.00 29% 2.40    
2  SPARKLING JEWEL Dec28 Nov02 Oct11 Jul25 Jul04 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
3  KINGDOM QUEEN Dec28 Dec06 Nov04 Oct20 Oct05 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
4  FLOWER MOUND Jan18 Dec28 Nov18 Nov02 Oct19 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.80    
5  LADY WELLINGTON Nov18 Oct21 Oct10 Aug30 Aug10 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
6  HARTFUL HOPE Dec28 Dec10 Sep04 Aug09 Jul07 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
7  SHEISTHEHERO Dec28 Dec10 Nov25 Oct01 Sep09 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
8  LOFTY COWTOWN Oct11 Sep19 Aug10 Jul15 Jun22 (fadlovich megan)STOKES J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-9   01/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETHING LUCKY Dec26 Dec05 Nov20 Nov06 Oct19 (doering )FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
2  VICTORIA COMMAND Dec26 Dec05 Nov05 Oct23 Sep17 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GIMME CLEARANCE Dec26 Nov05 Aug29 Aug14 Jun26 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
4  EMERALD EYES Jan08 Nov21 Nov05 Aug29 Aug14 (salced)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
5  DANCEHALL JUSTICE Dec26 Dec09 Jul04 Jun07   (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 116 1.60 49% 1.10    
6  MOBIL ENSIGN Jan06 Dec09 Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 116 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  PRINCESS EM Jan06 Dec18 Dec05 Nov20 Nov06 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 5% 19.00    
8  COWGIRLS HUMOR Jan08 Dec26 Dec09 Nov20 Oct30 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.