Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/1/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/9)-(3/1/7/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/9)-(3/1/7/9)-(3/1/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/9)-(2/4/9/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/9)-(2/4/9/1)-(1/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/1)-(2/4/9/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/1)-(2/4/9/1)-(2/4/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/9/1)-(1/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/9/1)-(1/2/3)-(3/2/7/11/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/2/7/11/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/2/7/11/10)-(1/2/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/2/7/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/11/10)-(3/2/7/11/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/11/10)-(3/2/7/11/10)-(3/2/7/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/7/11/10)-(1/2/3/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/11/10)-(1/2/3/4)-(2/6/8/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/4)-(2/6/8/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/4)-(2/6/8/5)-(1/8/12/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/8/5)-(1/8/12/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/5)-(1/8/12/6)-(7/2/11/6/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/8/12/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/12/6)-(1/8/12/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/8/12/6)-(1/8/12/6)-(1/8/12/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/12/6)-(7/2/11/6/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (7/2/11/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/11/6/3)-(7/2/11/6/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/2/11/6/3)-(7/2/11/6/3)-(7/2/11/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YANKEE TEA PARTY Aug19 Jul04 Jan29 Sep06 Aug08 (vitali marcu)AYALA J 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
2  NORTHERN WEIGELIA Jul30 Jul07 Nov17 Sep27 Aug23 (antus lawrence)SPIETH S 124 10.00    
3  LAST POST Aug21 Jul29 Jun25 Mar16 Feb04 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  THAT'S JUST GREAT Sep02 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Dec14 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 5.00    
SCR  FAST LEARNER Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jul04 Jun18 (rogers michael)ALLEN M 120 2.50    
SCR  HOPPERTULLIO Sep09 Jul11 Jun26 Jun11   (graci a)MARTINEZ W 120 20.00    
7  GLOBAL HYSTERIA Aug19 Jul17 Jun25 May22 Sep27 (kintz matthew)FOX CHRIS 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
8  ELUSIVE CHANGE Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
9  SOUTH OF BIRMINHAM Aug22 May31       (delong ben)MURGIA A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-2   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULTIMATE BARONESS Aug21 Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 (brooks g)RODRIGUEZ O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Aug28 Jul30 Jul10 Jun17 Jun04 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
3  LOIS Aug28 Aug05 Mar06 Feb19 Jan30 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
4  STARRY HOPE Sep05 Aug17 Jul25 Jun21 May19 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Sep02 Aug13 Jul10 May28 Oct25 (rojas eduardo )LOPEZ DERECK 115 3.00    
6  SCOOP THERE IT IS Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 Mar25 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
7  LA PANDA Sep04 Aug13 Jul27 Oct10 Oct03 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
8  SCENIC VIEW Aug28 Aug21 Jul30 Jul10 May28 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
9  MOLISE Aug12 Jul10 Oct04 Sep06 Aug21 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 10.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  TUDOR PEAK Aug27 Aug14 Aug06 Jun25 May29 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
 
PID-3   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAROLA SICURA Aug15 Jul20 Jun16 May16 Apr20 (sharp joe)MORALES PABLO 118 1.60 46% 1.20    
2  MOMENTOUS MISS Aug12 Jul11 Jun22 Oct27 Sep07 (cobb margaret)ALLEN D 122 4.00 14% 6.00    
3  INTO STARS Aug07 Jul16 Jan26 Dec16 Oct19 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 118 8.00 6% 16.90    
4  MEET IN SECRET Aug20 Jul17 Jul03 May17 Apr27 (brafford)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
5  MITOLE MAGIC Jul30 Jun17 May27 Mar30 Jan14 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 111 3.50    
6  ARGUMENTAL Nov01 Sep15 Apr30 Mar24 Feb19 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
 
PID-4   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARSAC Aug26 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 20.00    
2  AULT Jul01 Jun12 Oct18 Oct04 Sep12 (martin will)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 10.00 17% 5.10    
3  JO JO HANS Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
4  CLEMSON TIGER Aug19 Jul22 Jul03 Oct18 Sep21 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 30.00    
5  KING NATE Sep06 May04 Apr21 Mar29 Mar13 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 5.00    
6  ORAZIO Aug26 Aug06 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 4.50    
7  GREY CHARMER Aug20 Jul30 Jul17 Jul02 Jun18 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  JEN'S SONG Aug28 Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 Jun05 (depasquale k)AYALA J 122 30.00    
9  SIR TERRE Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jul08 Jun05 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
10  SIR SAHIB Aug26 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 Jun19 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  HEIRLOOM KITTEN Aug28 Aug14 Jul15 Oct24 Oct11 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 5% 17.80    
 
PID-5   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEARLY COPPER Aug24 Jun20 Mar09 Feb02 Dec21 (ramsey n)MARTINEZ A 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  CANDY REWARD Aug26 Aug14 Feb21 Oct25 Oct16 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  VICTORY BADGE Aug26 Aug07 Jun25 Jun08 May05 (trombett)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 10% 9.40    
4  ROZAY SUMMER Aug26 Aug07 Jul24 Jun28 Jun09 (rice kevin)MARTINEZ W 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LIFE ADVICE Aug28 Jun24 Jun06 May14 Apr18 (sharp joe)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00    
6  CAT ONE Aug28 Aug13 Jul19 Jun17 May22 (barron rory)SPIETH S 118 3.50    
7  VACCINA Jul17 Jun25 Jun03 Oct17 Oct04 (judd cas)RODRIGUEZ O 122 12.00    
 
PID-6   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNE ROAD Aug21 May09 Feb25 Jan07 Dec08 (rice lin)RODRIGUEZ O 118 6.00    
2  WORLD FACTOR Aug30 Aug03 Nov04 Oct13 Aug11 (cobb margaret)ALLEN D 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  MAC'S CAT Sep03 Aug14 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 115 10.00    
4  HERONEANDONLY Jul24 May20 Oct19 Sep04 Aug19 (goodwin gabrie)LOPEZ DERECK 115 8.00    
5  MARINARA SAUCED Sep03 Aug14 Jul31 Jun26 Jun18 (antus lawrence)SPIETH S 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIZZY KITTY Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 Aug12 Jul22 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  UNCLE CAESAR Aug26 Aug13 Jan27     (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 1.80    
8  EXPRESS STAR Sep03 Aug14 Jul22 Jul09 Jun18 (miller henry)AYALA J 118 15.00 18% 4.50    
 
PID-7   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRISCILLA'S COVE Aug12 Jul15 Jun11 May04 Apr05 (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  NEXT DOT Aug21 Aug05 Jul24 Jun03 May28 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00    
3  FOLLOW THROUGH Sep03 Jul04 Jun17 Oct11 Oct02 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 30.00    
SCR  FIREBALL EXPRESS Aug21 Jul31 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (albright ge)CALDERON OLIVER 122 12.00    
SCR  CLASSIC JULIA Aug19 Jul30 Jun11 Apr25 Sep06 (mckinley r)BAYS BROOKE 111 20.00    
6  MY JANNET Aug28 Aug14 Aug05 Jul09 Jun26 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SAVE THE MISCHIEF Aug21 Aug07 Jul05 Jun16 May18 (crook-de)MARTINEZ A 118 6.00    
8  DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE Aug13 Jul30 Jun11 May27 Apr16 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
9  MAMA LONGLEGS Sep02 Jun19 Jun04 Apr29 Apr05 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 30.00    
SCR  MOONSHINE WARRIOR Aug29 Jun27 Jun12 May17 May03 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
SCR  EQUINAMOUS Aug28 Aug19 Jul16 Jul02 Jun04 (bourke john)MARTINEZ W 118 12.00    
12  EASY SEVEN Aug27 Jul31 May27     (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 11% 8.50    
 
PID-8   09/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIGN AND SEAL Aug13 Jul29 Feb24 Feb09 Dec29 (hamm timothy)AYALA J 122 10.00    
2  UPPITY UP Aug27 Aug07 Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 (bourke w)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 27% 2.80    
3  ORPHAN EXCHANGE Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  READY SHE IS Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul17 Jul03 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
SCR  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Sep04 Aug26 Jul30 Jul11 Jun22 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00    
6  SWEET NOLA Aug28 Aug07 Jul23 Jul03 Jun17 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00 7% 14.30    
7  SHE'S GOT RHYTHM Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 Jun17 May27 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 117 3.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  LADYNESS Sep04 Aug21 Jul18 Jul05 Jun12 (boyer j)WALKER M 122 30.00    
SCR  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul08 Jun18 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
10  WARRIOR BERNICE Aug30 Jul10 Jun25 Feb22 Feb01 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 118 12.00    
11  DOMINANT STRANGER Jul29 Jun26 Jun11 May22 Sep19 (judd cas)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00 7% 12.50    
12  CARMEL SUNRISE Aug28 Aug13 Jul08 Jun18 Feb11 (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.