Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/5/6)-(4/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(4/5/2)-(12/6/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/9/2)-(4/5/9/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(12/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(12/6/7)-(2/4/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-4   WIN (12/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/6/7)-(12/6/11/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/6/7)-(12/6/11/7/9)-(12/6/11/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (12/6/7)-(2/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (12/6/7)-(2/4/1/8)-(12/8/11/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (2/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/8)-(12/8/11/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/8)-(12/8/11/7)-(2/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-6   WIN (12/8/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/8/11/7)-(12/8/11/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/8/11/7)-(12/8/11/5/7)-(12/8/11/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/8/11/7)-(2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (12/8/11/7)-(2/6/7)-(6/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-7   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(6/5/4)-(11/14/1/4/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CNL-8   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(11/14/1/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CNL-9   WIN (11/14/1/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/14/1/4/2)-(11/14/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/14/1/4/2)-(11/14/1/4/2)-(11/14/1/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BETSYLICIOUS Jul05 Apr20 Mar27 Feb28 Dec02 (ochoa gerard)KARAMANOS A 118 3.00    
2  LOU ANNA Dec08 Nov12 Oct26 Sep08 Aug31 (mccutchen jaso)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00    
3  CHIEF LADY Jul13 Jun28 May04 Apr10 Mar03 (bowersock )SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 31% 2.30    
4  DIVINELY BOLT Jul03 Jun05 May09 Apr11 Mar15 (simms mark )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 1.60 41% 1.50    
5  GENUINE PERIL Jul18 Jan13 Dec02 Nov11 Oct28 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MORENA DANCER Jul18 May31 May10 Apr27 Apr14 (marrero)BRAVO MISAEL 117 20.00    
7  DIAMOND'S CABARET Jul11 Jun21 May31 Apr21 Mar22 (jones )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 12.00    
 
CNL-2   08/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Jul21 Jun15 May26 Apr26 Mar28 (bedard alan)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00    
2  SAKE (FR) May28 Apr26 Apr07 Feb15 Dec21 (correas ig)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50 27% 2.80    
SCR  BOW DRAW Jul13 Apr27 Apr04 Mar08 Feb18 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00    
4  THISNAMEISOKAY Apr19 Mar30 Feb24 Dec09 Nov04 (hernandez cano)ROCCO S 123 3.00    
5  NEXT EPISODE Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 Apr25 Apr07 (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 125 8.00 20% 4.00    
6  SENECA ROCKS Jul13 Jun22 May27 Apr13 Mar23 (godsey denn)HO WESLEY 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  INANNA'S QUEST Jul19 Jun27 Jun01 Mar30 Feb24 (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 125 4.50    
8  STELLAR LADY Jul06 Aug22 Jul08 Jun06 May05 (correas )GALLARDO A 123 4.00    
 
CNL-3   08/03/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YANCEY         (libertini jas)SILVERA RUBEN 124 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CHALICE BEARER by VICAR)
2  MR CLAUSE Jul13 May30       (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TRES CHARMANT by FREUD)
3  NA PALI JOE         (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 119 4.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of NA PALI SPIRIT by DIALED IN)
4  READIER Jun01 Apr30 Mar14 Jan07 Oct15 (lightner)GALLARDO A 124 2.00 66% 0.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TALAAQY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  CONTEMPLATION Jun26 May21 Mar30 Mar01   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 3.00 8% 12.30    
  (by STREET BOSS out of TOO COMPLICATED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  HOLLY LOVES STOOPS Dec04 Nov21       (garza hector)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 30.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of SHE LOVES ME NOW by CHIEF SEATTLE)
7  HOBBS         (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 119 12.00    
  (by ASTERN out of GYPSY LASS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
8  LORD OF MISCHIEF Oct20 Sep30 Sep08 Aug19 Aug04 (munoz carlos)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of TENACIOUS HEART by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  WATCH OUT WORLD Jul12 Jun07 May12 Sep04   (hohlbein kerry)BOYCE FOREST 119 5.00 ★    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of MISTY ON POINTE by MUNNINGS)
 
CNL-4   08/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THATSMYBOXER Jul10 Nov10 Sep21 Jul09 Jun18 (morris nei)SANCHEZ J 124 20.00    
2  ANNIE'S KINGDOM Jul20 May25 Sep06 Aug25 Aug17 (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00    
3  MIZTERGRANDCENTRAL Jul07 Jun07 Dec31     (brion ke)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
4  MAINTAIN Jul13 May11 Apr19 Oct22 Sep07 (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00    
5  NIPPY FITZ Jul18 Jul07 Oct18 Sep04   (cooney susa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
6  VOY Y VENGO Aug11 Jul02 Jun03 Apr29 Oct02 (hemingway mic)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00 8% 11.70    
7  DIAMONDHARD STONE Oct24 Oct05 Sep27 Aug22 Aug16 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  EL BAILADOR May12 Jan17 Sep01 Aug02 Jan08 (vigil jaime)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 124 30.00    
9  MOTION GRANTED Jul11 Jun12 Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 3.00 ★    
10  STREET OUTLAW Jul26 Jul11 Jun22 Jun01 Sep20 (zook w)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00    
11  BOURBON STRAIT Jul18 Aug25 Aug10 Sep07   (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 124 6.00 ★    
12  WORLD FACTOR Nov04 Oct13 Aug11 Jul07 Nov18 (wyatt j)KARAMANOS A 124 3.50 70% 0.40    
 
CNL-5   08/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Keswick Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHKHARA FIRE Jun07 May25       (corrales)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 8% 11.50    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of RYSY by LANGFUHR)
2  SAFE TRUST Jun01 May04       (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by MOSLER out of ANNIE TRUST by SUPER NINETY NINE)
SCR  BONNE FILLE Jul11 Jun21       (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 120 5.00    
  (by CUPID out of RUN LIKE THE BOSS by SCAT DADDY)
4  DIAKONISSA Jul18         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of FLORID by LEMON DROP KID)
5  SPORTING LADY         (devaux cherie)RUIZ JORGE 120 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SECURELY by UNCLE MO)
6  RAPIDO ROSA May27 May04       (corrales )CARRASCO R 120 8.00    
  (by MOSLER out of TRIPSCAR by STROLL)
7  WINFINITY         (ortiz ale)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WINTER by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  SAIL THESEVEN SEAS Jun22         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of IN THE NAVY NOW by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  LET THESUNSHINE IN Jul11         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 10.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of SKY COPPER by SKY MESA)
 
CNL-6   08/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hickory Tree Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPYFLYER Jun30 Jun08 Apr10     (ramsey nolan)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LIFEFLIGHT by LIVELY ONE)
2  DADSNUMBRONEHELPR Jul19 Jul04       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
3  CANDYCRUMBS Jun08         (lightner ma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of CRUMB by GRAEME HALL)
SCR  STORMY FLIGHT Jun23         (smith ham)CARRASCO R 120 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SUBURB by CITY ZIP)
5  RE MARKABLY Jul03         (ashby lynn)ROCCO S 120 8.00 ★    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of A DICEY DAME by COLONEL JOHN)
6  SUMMERINTHECOUNTRY Jul20 Jun30 Jun07     (mcmahon i)NO RIDER 120 15.00    
  (by UPSTART out of SUMMER KISS by SUMMER FRONT)
7  DO IT FOR MICHAEL Jun30         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of GRACIE'S HERO by GREAT NOTION)
8  TAP THAT MAGIC Jul09         (lecesse )GALLARDO A 120 6.00 31% 2.30    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of TAP THE MAGIC by SIGNAL TAP)
SCR  BREWMASTER         (robb j)NO RIDER 120 10.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of BAROUCHKA by NOT FOR LOVE)
10  THIS JUICE B LOOSE Jul04         (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of JACKY JUICE by FRIENDS LAKE)
11  AUDIBLE THE PLAY Jun28 Jun01       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MANTEKILLA by LEMON DROP KID)
12  TOJO'S MOJO Jul14 Jun23       (salzman e)RUIZ JORGE 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of BARBARA'S BEAUTY by BANDINI)
 
CNL-7   08/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOLOMIO Jun29 Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 (desormeaux kei)CURTIS BEN 123 20.00    
2  MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE) Mar21 Feb03 Oct01 Sep16 Aug12 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 66% 0.50    
3  OTAGO Jun25 May23 Apr27 Mar24 May06 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  WEST COAST CRUISER Jul13 Jun23 Jun06 May21   (jarvis kathy)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00    
5  CONMAN Jun15 May11 Sep03 Aug06 Jul20 (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 123 5.00    
6  SCRIPT Jul06 Jun07 Feb04 Jan01 Nov02 (motion h )CARRASCO R 123 4.50 6% 15.50    
7  GRATEFUL BRED Jul05 Jun07 Apr28 Nov18 Oct14 (meyers madi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BRING ME A CHECK Jul13 Jun07 May04 Apr20 Jan07 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00    
9  JUNGLE BEAST Jun27 Apr12 Mar22 Dec07 Nov18 (godsey denn)HO WESLEY 123 30.00    
 
CNL-8   08/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNA MAST Jun14 May26 Oct12 Aug26 Aug12 (fout douglas)ASHTON GAVIN 121 15.00    
2  GRAFT Jul06 May26 Jan24 May17 Apr23 (nagle sarah)BOYCE FOREST 125 12.00    
3  MONEY IN MOTION Jul13 Jun13 May28 Apr05 Mar13 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 5.00 ★    
4  MR SCATTER Jun07 May19 Mar07 Jan12 Dec08 (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHITING FIELD Jun28 May23 Apr21 Mar31 Feb18 (crichton ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  FRANK JR Jun06 May04 Apr06 Mar09   (danner k)GALLARDO A 120 4.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  WIRED IN Jul13 Jun14 May26 Nov18 Oct21 (white ale)CARRASCO R 121 30.00    
SCR  HAWKS CREEK Jul20 Jun14 May12 Apr26 Feb17 (desormeaux kei)CURTIS BEN 120 2.50    
9  FLYING HOUDINI Jul20 Jun21 May29 May05 Apr12 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 123 10.00    
10  SILVER FRONT Jul27 May24 Sep09 Aug25 Aug17 (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
 
CNL-9   08/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AKAYLA (IRE) Jun28 Jan14 Dec08 Nov05 Sep16 (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 124 3.50 5% 17.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of POST PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
2  FOREVER AGAIN Jul13         (schuh tim)ALLEN D 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FOREVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  REDO Jun27 May27 May04 Apr05 Mar08 (ortiz al)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNDO by FLATTER)
4  H M LEGACY Jun27         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CONQUEST STRATE UP by NOT BOURBON)
5  AMENDMENT         (devaux che)SANCHEZ J 118 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MO'S LOVE by UNCLE MO)
6  INTO BLOOM Jun06         (devaux cherie)PEREZ XAVIER 118 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLOSSOM SPECIAL by INTELLO)
7  TOFFEE APPLE Apr21 Feb21 Jan17 Dec14   (oliver victori)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DABINETT by BLAME)
8  LOYAL ROYAL Jun18         (clement chris)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DON'T TRICK HER by MAZEL TRICK)
9  ASPEN DAWN Jul11         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ASPEN LIGHT by BERNARDINI)
SCR  VOLTA D'ORO Jul08 Aug24 Jul05 Mar11 Feb12 (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 124 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of OVER THE EDGE by THUNDER GULCH)
11  PEACEFUL KINGDOM Jan31 Jun10       (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 118 5.00 40% 1.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of KINGDOM'S QUEEN by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
12  ACQUALINA Jul11 Apr28 Mar29 Feb10   (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LUCEVAN by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  SISTER SOLA Jul08         (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SISTER IN ARMS by COLONEL JOHN)
14  STRATOSPHERIC Jun28 Jun05       (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by SKY MESA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.