Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (3/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/6)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/6)-(3/5/1)-(2/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(2/4/1)-(4/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(4/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(4/7/6)-(7/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-4   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(7/6/3)-(2/5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-5   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(3/1/8) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
IND-6   WIN (2/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/3)-(3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/3)-(3/1/8)-(7/10/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-7   WIN (3/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/8)-(3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/8)-(7/10/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
IND-8   WIN (7/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/10/9)-(7/10/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/10/9)-(7/10/9)-(7/10/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   07/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN ANNS         (west m)SANJUR SANTO 119 12.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  VICTORY WALTZ         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)
3  WINTER WAVES         (harty e)DE CRUZ 119 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by FROSTED out of MAGDALENA BAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  I SAY TOO         (chapman j)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of PRET SAY EYE by READY'S IMAGE)
5  TIZNTSHELOVELY Jun28 May24       (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SENSE OF GRACE by STREET SENSE)
6  MARY LOVES LOUIE Jun28         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of LAWANDA by PIONEERING)
7  THEHILLONWOODSIDE         (maker mic)BERMUDEZ E 119 4.00 7% 12.90    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of HEAVENLY HILL by CITY ZIP)
8  DON'T MISS OUT Jul05         (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 116 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by GORMLEY out of NITTA YUMA by QUALITY ROAD)
 
IND-2   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY CITY Jun19 Jun08 May21 May13 Oct18 (gonzalez )CORREA L 117 5.00 7% 14.10    
2  MOR KOKOMO May29         (demerit)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
3  TAP TAP COMIN THRU May22 May07 Oct31 Oct09 Jun24 (douglass de)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  DREAMING BRO Jun11 May29 Apr17 Mar30   (davis d)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.50    
5  BUCKET LIST May22 May07 Apr24 Nov02   (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
6  AMATEUR DAY Nov15 Nov02 Sep25 Sep06   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
 
IND-3   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED BEAUTIFUL Jun17 Jun04 May08 Apr24 Nov30 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  GALADINI Jun19 May31 Apr27 Mar24 Feb09 (shirer matt )BARBOSA CARLOS 113 6.00 28% 2.50    
3  PERCEPTIVE May30 May03 Apr07 Mar03 Feb16 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.00    
4  PITTORE D'ORO Jun24 May24 May02 Apr11 Mar06 (michael brian)PRESCOTT R 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  MISCHIEF JAC Jul02 Jun17 May28 May07 Mar15 (richardvi)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
6  MISS SUSAN B Jun05 May14 Apr25     (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 120 2.50    
SCR  BELIVE N THE DREAM Jun02         (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
 
IND-4   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORABLE WOMAN Jun22 Jun04 May16 Apr25 Mar09 (acevedo israel)SANJUR SANTO 122 5.00 ★    
2  HUNTINGCOCO May12 Apr13 Jul10 Jun02 Jan08 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50    
3  OPPOSITE THE CROWD Jun25 May25 Apr28 Mar22 Feb25 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00    
4  MARMALADE SKYE Jun19 May18 Apr17 Mar14 Feb15 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 122 1.40 60% 0.70    
5  STARLIT SOFI Jul02 May26 May03 Apr07 Mar20 (sanchez)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
6  TROTTER Jun08 May09 Apr14     (west m)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  INTO STARS Jan26 Dec16 Oct19 Sep16 Aug10 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 6.00 11% 7.90    
 
IND-5   07/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J'S NAUGHTY BOY Jun10 Jan04 Nov30 Nov13 Oct30 (elliott m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00    
2  INDOCUMENTADO Jun20 May29 Dec13 Nov29 Oct26 (jura)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 6.00    
3  HIGHEST MEMORIES Jun20 Jun10 May22 Oct28 Oct11 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BACKYARD JUSTICE Jun26 Jun10 May08 Oct28 Sep21 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 119 3.00    
5  SAKIC Jun18 Jun08 Jun10 May06 Apr18 (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 119 20.00    
6  SARGENT HULKA Jun10 May04 Dec07 Nov16 Nov09 (holden )DE CRUZ 119 8.00 16% 5.20    
7  BLACK WHITE N GOLD Jul06 Jun10 May22 Apr25 Mar08 (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  JAILHOUSE JUSTICE Jul06 Jun08 Feb28 Dec22 Nov14 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 115 4.50    
 
IND-6   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET AS SIN Apr26 Sep22       (asmussen ste)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 4.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of GIANT MOVER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  ACCIDENT Jun30 Jun13 May18 Apr24 Apr11 (short tho)BEALMEAR C 117 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
3  ZAPPING STRIKE Jun26 May30       (sanchez j)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of STRIKING BEAUTY by CURLIN)
4  MAESTRO         (mackey wayne)ELLIOTT JANE 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  METALHEAD         (morey w)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 12% 7.50    
  (by TONALIST out of DANZIG GIRL by HARD SPUN)
SCR  KNICKS HERO Apr19         (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of A CHANGE OF HEART by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  JIMMY RULES         (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of ZENA RULES by A. P. WARRIOR)
8  BISCUITARIAT Jun17         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of AWESOME STORY by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
IND-7   07/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY LOST Jun28 Apr21 Oct07 Jun24 May13 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
SCR  OGEMA BAY Dec30 Nov08 Sep02 Apr01   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 124 5.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MADAME DU LAC by LEMON DROP KID)
3  GENETICS Jun22 May25 Nov11 Oct13 Sep03 (mott william)TORRES A 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by TAPIT out of POINTS OF GRACE by POINT GIVEN)
4  UNDERCOVER Jun17         (mackey wa)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of NIGHT TIME LADY by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  ELLE'S DANCER Jun25 Jun04 Apr17 Mar27   (brownfield claud)PRESCOTT R 120 30.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of GYPSY ANGEL ROW by FIRST DEFENCE)
SCR  MUCHO MACHO CHICK Mar14 Feb22 Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 (toye lin)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 30.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of IVANKA by FARMA WAY)
7  ITS SATISFACTUAL Mar28 Jan26 Nov29     (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of YES ITS FACTUAL by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  FAITHFUL STEPS Jun26 Jun04 Apr04 Mar20 Mar05 (preston ran)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of THIRTY EIGHT PLUS by CATIENUS)
SCR  MISCHIEF LILY Jun04 Sep26 Aug29 Aug01 Jul20 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GILDED LILY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MISHKA Jun25 May17 Nov25 Oct11   (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GOLD DUST WOMAN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
IND-8   07/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($49.68K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS Feb17 Dec22 Sep15 Jul11 Jun20 (van berg )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 12.00    
SCR  RISK MANAGER Jun19 May02 Mar23 Mar02 May19 (maker mic)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.00    
3  TIDE OF THE SEA Jan11 Nov11 Sep21 Aug23 Jun09 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Jun27 May30 Apr19 Jan04 Dec16 (jarvis kathy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 30.00    
SCR  NOBRAG JUSTFACT May13 Feb13 Aug25 Aug17 Jul21 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 20.00    
6  TIWANAKU Jun15 May30 Apr25 Dec10 Nov11 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00    
7  NIP N TUCK Jun20 Jun08 May04 Mar30 Feb25 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  OTAGO Jun25 May23 Apr27 Mar24 May06 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.50    
9  MIDNIGHT WEST Jun25 Jun04 May01 Mar14 Oct23 (medina tomas)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  HANDY DANDY Jun23 Oct21 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 (ewing an)PARKER L 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  SILVER QUARTERS Jun23 Jun04 May13 Mar30 Mar07 (manley steve)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.