Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - May 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/2)-(3/2/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/8)-(3/2/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/8)-(3/2/5/8)-(3/2/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/5/8)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/8)-(6/3/2)-(8/2/4) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(8/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4)-(8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/2/4)-(5/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/3)-(8/2/4/6)-(8/7/6/2) 64 $2.00 $128 
MNR-7   WIN (8/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/6)-(8/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/6)-(8/7/6/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (8/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2)-(8/7/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   05/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROADWAY RED May06 Apr06 Mar06 Feb08 Dec29 (blankenship don)NEGRON LUIS 116 4.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of BROADWAY DINER by TAPIZAR)
DANELAND May06 Apr18 Mar10 Feb17 Jan31 (viands gregory)VEGA L 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of DARNAVA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
PERFECT MOON May04 Mar17 Mar08 Feb16 Feb02 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 9% 9.80    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of SWIFT SWORD by WAR FRONT)
INCITATUSWAY May14 Dec27 Dec14 Oct03 May07 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 109 15.00    
  (by DESTIN out of HAPPY RETREAT by FEEL THE POWER)
ZINFATUATION Oct03 Sep20 Sep06 Aug07 Jul22 (norris stephani)LEON A 123 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of SKY LADY by SKY CLASSIC)
STAYINYOURLANE May04 Apr12 Jul13 Jun10 May18 (binning matthew)AVILES YAN 123 1.20 35% 1.90    
  (by ACCELERATE out of INFRACTION by TAPIT)
SCR  MAGNETIC APPEAL Feb18 Jan31 Jan14 Dec30   (viands grego)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 20.00    
  (by ENTICED out of MYSTIC MAMA by SCAT DADDY)
SINALOA May06 Feb12 Dec10 Nov22 Nov06 (blankenship)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CHATILLON by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
MNR-2   05/20/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EQUAL JUSTICE May05 Oct23 Oct08 Sep20 Aug27 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00    
ROYAL MAHOGANY May13 Apr23 Jan15 Dec01 Nov02 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
QUARKY May05 Apr23 Apr02 Feb26 Feb12 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 5.00 29% 2.50    
SUTTON VALLEY May07 Apr23 Nov14 Oct28 Oct11 (boyd t)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00    
KICKSTARTER Dec10 Nov27 Nov14 Oct24 Oct04 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
DEBDURITE Dec27 Dec06 Nov21 Nov01 Oct13 (ortiz-ruiz c)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00    
YOU ARE AWESOME May06 Feb07 Jan03 Oct03 Sep14 (gilbert timothy)LEON A 123 6.00    
OFFUTT COLE May05 Nov01 Oct22 Aug27 Aug07 (barker james)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-3   05/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK BULL Nov15 Nov06 Oct25 Oct15 Oct02 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 30.00    
ANTHONY'S ROCKET Apr30 Jan25 Dec23 Dec10 Nov18 (blankenship )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
AMAZING JUSTICE Apr23 Apr04 Mar14 Mar02 Jan31 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 6.00 9% 9.80    
GET OFF MY CLOUD Apr19 Mar28 Mar13 Mar07 Feb15 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00    
SCR  BIG WAY May14 May06 Apr30 Mar19 Mar06 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 120 6.00    
CONRAD THE RED Apr22 Mar19 Feb27 Feb05 Dec12 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 0.60 62% 0.60    
STRATEGIC (AUS) Feb29 Feb08 Dec04 Nov11 Oct15 (clouston edward)NEGRON LUIS 120 12.00    
 
MNR-4   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BUDDY MICAH Nov21 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 (bird danny)WHITACRE B 123 30.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
DOC B         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 4.50 26% 2.80    
  (by GIRVIN out of TELL TONTO by ISTAN)
SCR  GOLDEN DORO May04         (cuttino l)YARANGA Y 123 10.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of HOT DUDETTE by COWTOWN CAT)
WILDCAT HAGRID Nov14 Nov01 Oct22 Oct08 Nov20 (smith r)LEON A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WESTOVER WILDCAT out of FIRST ROSE by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
SCR  MAKE THE BED May06 Mar27       (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 116 8.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SOLDIER GIRL by LOST SOLDIER)
PIVOT TO THE POWER (GB) Jun14         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 5.00    
  (by PIVOTAL out of VASHTI by SHOWCASING)
BE ON NOTICE Dec01 Nov12 Oct20 Sep17 Aug27 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 116 1.60    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of POCO UNO by E DUBAI)
FREE RAMBLING MAN May06 Jan05 Dec17 Oct26 May27 (godsey)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 33% 2.10    
  (by BERNARDINI out of NAUGHTY LITTLE NUN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
MNR-5   05/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISPER ME A SONG Apr28 Apr21 Nov26 Oct09 Sep26 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
DON'T LOOK UP Dec03 Nov20 Nov12 Oct29 Oct15 (sipp k)LEON A 120 8.00    
AGUILA DEL RIO May13 Mar21 Feb26 Feb13 Jan20 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 116 2.50    
CONNECT IT Sep26 Aug23 Jul23 Jun25 Sep29 (logston christop)WHITACRE B 120 20.00    
FREEDOM'S ALLURE Oct04 Sep26 Sep04 Aug09 Aug01 (ramgeet ti)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 3.50 26% 2.80    
HOT TAKE May13 Apr22 Dec04 Jul23 Jun21 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 1.80 24% 3.20    
S S ALTERNATE May13 Oct25 Aug22 Aug03 Jun26 (brown t)VEGA JOSE 120 10.00 20% 4.10    
 
MNR-6   05/20/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONYA'S MAGIC May05 Dec03 Nov12 Oct17 Oct04 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
RUN AWAY FEVER Dec06 Nov21 Nov05 Oct24 Oct01 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 30.00    
BIG AMBITION Jan08 Dec12 Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 (ortiz-ruiz c)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY ROAD Mar25 Mar12 Feb26 Jan30 Jan15 (ortiz-ruiz ca)TOLEDO S 120 8.00    
GLORY DIA Apr30 Dec05 Nov13 Oct23 Sep23 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 0.80 42% 1.40    
SILVER STICK STAIR May05 Dec05 Oct01 Aug28 Aug09 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 12.00 7% 12.90    
HIDDEN IDENTITY May05 Apr23 Dec10 Nov20 Nov12 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.60 26% 2.80    
 
MNR-7   05/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SECRET SANCTUARY Apr30 Dec05 Nov19 Sep03 Aug08 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
CRAFTY CONQUEST Apr23 Jan18 Jan03 Oct21 Sep25 (pizzur)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
MOON OVER DUBAI Apr30 Mar19 Mar04 Feb12 Feb05 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 12.00    
MAJESTIC PHAROAH Apr30 Mar08 Feb04 Jan14 May26 (poole a)VEGA L 120 3.00 10% 8.80    
FAR WEST Apr30 Feb21 Feb07 Jan19 Jan05 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 10.00    
RED GUN May07 Apr22 Mar20 Mar06 Feb08 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
WHOOP GONE May06 Nov05 Oct18 Sep17 Aug29 (cluley denni)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
TREPAT Apr23 Dec01 Oct25 Oct06 Sep19 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
MNR-8   05/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDWAY QUEEN May05 Apr06 Oct15 Sep06 Aug13 (blankenship dona)AVILES YAN 123 1.00    
BEE WINGS Dec06 Nov22 Nov12 Oct25 Oct16 (noland a)VEGA L 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
WOLF EYES Mar28 Mar12 Jan30 Jan15 Dec30 (ortiz-ruiz ca)TOLEDO S 123 5.00    
DIXIE'S DANCE Nov12 Oct17 Oct04 Sep11 Aug21 (witherow w)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 20.00    
SCR  DOUBLE D'S REVENGE Apr30 Apr21 Jun26 Sep22 Aug23 (brown t)LEON A 123 30.00    
CAPTAIN ANNE Apr30 Dec10 Nov20 Oct25 Oct02 (cox g)WHITACRE B 123 6.00 17% 5.10    
CLAIRE'S DARLING Apr30 Dec03 Nov20 Oct30 Oct08 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
WAY TO FIRE May05 Apr21 Dec14 Dec03 Oct23 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00 25% 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.