Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - April 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(3/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(3/4/2/5)-(5/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-3   WIN (3/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (5/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (6/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/1)-(8/1/3)-(8/2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-6   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/9/5)-(8/1/3/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-7   WIN (8/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-8   WIN (3/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/4/2)-(3/1/5/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/2)-(8/5/2/6)-(8/2/4/3/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FON-9   WIN (8/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/2/6)-(8/2/4/3/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
FON-10   WIN (8/2/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/3/6)-(8/2/4/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/3/6)-(8/2/4/3/6)-(8/2/4/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/13/2024 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSNOTMYJOB Mar23 Feb24 Jan05 Dec18 Nov17 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 32% 2.20    
2  PICTORIAL Mar23 Jul10 Jun17 May13 Apr16 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
3  JULIARD HONOR Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 Nov17 Oct21 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 10% 8.70    
4  DONNAS FINAL WORD Mar29 Mar10 Mar01 Feb17 Feb01 (hibdon n)DELORME L 125 8.00    
5  GURL YOU FINE Jun29 May06 Apr08 Feb25 Nov30 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  THINKITASADONATION Mar30 Mar24 Feb16 Feb04 Jan13 (gonzalez v)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
 
FON-2   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLD AS YOU Mar29 Mar10 Nov30 Oct29 Oct22 (hibdon n)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
2  TENNESSEE MOON Mar30 Mar17 Mar10 Feb15 Jan20 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 1.80 25% 3.00    
3  TRACK SMART Mar30 Mar02 Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.20 27% 2.70    
4  VIRTUALLY Mar30 Nov14 Sep09 Aug20 Jul22 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
5  RAY AREWETHEREYET Mar30 Mar17 Mar02 Nov14 Sep09 (rushton temple)DELORME L 125 12.00 22% 3.60    
6  PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Mar30 Mar17 Mar02 Feb18 Aug07 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
 
FON-3   04/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZHOTNDUSTY Mar04 Dec21 Nov24 Oct19 Sep18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
2  SIDE STREET DAVE Mar02 Sep11 Aug07 Jul25 Jul04 (sanderson bruce)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 6% 15.40    
3  BRUIN MAGIC Mar24 Mar15 Feb25 Oct27 Oct21 (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 125 4.00 48% 1.10    
4  STAGE DOOR Mar16 Mar01 Oct29 Oct21 Oct08 (thompson grad)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 15% 5.50    
5  SOUTHWESTERN HOPE Apr05 Mar15 Mar01 Oct01 Sep16 (bunn shawn)DELORME L 125 6.00 6% 16.20    
6  PERVASIVE Mar16 Oct29 Oct21 Oct08 Oct01 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
7  OUTLAW X. Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 Feb18 Feb09 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60    
 
FON-4   04/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAELY'S BROTHER Mar30 Mar16 Mar05 Feb21 Jan21 (schindler kyl)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  THUNDERSHOOK Apr07 Mar09 Nov17 Nov03 Oct14 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOLD TIGHT Mar09 Oct13 Sep10 Aug20 Aug05 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 5.00    
4  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Apr10 Mar16 Feb19 Feb16 Feb02 (gourneau jerr)BACON W 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
5  AMERICAN SMOOTH Apr06 Mar16 Feb16 Jan19 Jan06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
6  WILBERT Mar30 Mar15 Feb17 Dec07 Nov09 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
7  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY Apr06 Mar16 Feb02 Jan19 Jan05 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 125 6.00    
 
FON-5   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY DON Oct27 Sep23 Sep02 Jul30 Jul03 (mcdonald will)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HIDE THE DEMON May22 Apr21 Mar24 Mar05 Feb17 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LARCH Mar23 Oct21 Aug18 Jul19 Jun15 (mitzner ronald)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
4  MR. D'S LEGEND Sep10 Aug10 Jun25 Jun04 May19 (donlin larry )BACON W 120 6.00    
5  ARTHURIAN Mar23 Mar16 Feb20 Jan07 Nov19 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 31% 2.20    
6  MEDICINE TAIL Mar23 Mar09 Sep18 Aug25 Jul27 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 1.80 39% 1.60    
7  MISTER CHAIRMAN Mar23 Mar09 Feb24 Jan15 Dec21 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 125 3.00    
 
FON-6   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.7K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOZANTHEDESTROYER Mar23         (compton jesse)BACON W 117 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by KHOZAN out of KISS N KAREN by UNTUTTABLE)
2  CHEAT CODE Mar29 Mar17       (compton jesse)DELORME L 122 15.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S CHEEKY by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
3  BEST UP         (rivera gregori)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of BETTER AND BETTER by BODEMEISTER)
4  DUTTON'S REVENGE Mar29 Mar03 Feb18     (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 122 15.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of MANGO'S MUSE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  COLONEL PUNCH         (dieter dalton)RAMOS B 122 10.00 ★    
  (by MACHO ROCKET out of ROCKETS PHENOM by REDDING COLLIERY)
SCR  SHOTCRETE Mar17 Mar03 Feb18     (martinez kelli)HAAR NATHAN 122 12.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of KARNER BLUE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
7  PROOF OF PURCHASE Mar23 Mar03 Feb18     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHOPPER by BERNSTEIN)
8  GOIN OWEN Mar29 Mar17 Mar03 Feb18   (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 122 1.00 54% 0.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TOUGH BUSINESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  WANN BOMBER         (hines hans)MARTINEZ R 122 6.00 ★    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of SWEETEDGE by ADDED EDGE)
10  ROPE BURN Mar17 Mar03       (musquiz j)FACKLER CHRIS 122 15.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of CHANTILLY LILLY by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR)
 
FON-7   04/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANDOM AFFAIR Oct21 Oct08 Sep03 Aug13 Jul31 (burns dale)DELORME L 125 12.00    
2  MASTERPIECE DAY Mar29 Mar15 Oct27 Oct21 Sep30 (muckey john)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 23% 3.30    
3  TIGER THE MAN Apr07 Mar23 Mar15 Mar01 Oct27 (hawley joe)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 10% 9.20    
4  GONE PREACHIN Mar15 Mar01 May14 May06 Apr22 (sorensen mike)BACON W 120 20.00    
5  GINGER RULES Mar29 Mar09 Oct27 Oct21 Sep16 (schutz pam)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
6  DILLON ROCKS Mar16 Mar02 Feb25 Sep24 Aug13 (bunn shawn)BETHKE A 125 4.50 15% 5.70    
7  NOT ROCKET SCIENCE Mar29 Mar15 Feb09 Nov25 Oct08 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
8  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Apr06 Aug13 Jul10 May28 Apr15 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
FON-8   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR CLOVER GAL Mar30 Mar16 Feb23 Jan25 Dec18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  PLUM ROSE Mar30 Mar16 Mar02 Jul17 May05 (sanderson br)BETHKE A 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  RIGHT OF REFUSAL Mar30 Mar16 Mar02 Feb18 Oct22 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60 26% 2.80    
4  WINZE Mar15 Oct01 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 ★    
5  ANGIE'S REVRAC Mar24 Mar10 Oct28 Oct21 Oct07 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 12.00 18% 4.50    
6  POPS GIRL ALEXA Mar30 Mar16 Mar10 Feb18 Oct29 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
7  FLYWHEEL EFFECT Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 Feb18 Oct22 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00    
8  BLOOMING HILLS Mar30 Mar02 Feb18 Oct22 Sep22 (arceo salvado)BACON W 120 15.00    
9  TAP THE HEART Mar30 Mar16 Mar02 Sep26 Sep11 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
 
FON-9   04/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Baxter Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOMANYNAMES Mar30 Mar02 Nov20 Nov04 Oct21 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 118 5.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GREATEST SHOW by STORM CAT)
2  MAGNOLIA SPEED Mar17 Mar09 Feb22 Feb08 Jan13 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 118 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of MAJOR ASHWORTH by COLONEL JOHN)
3  HOG HEAVEN Mar30 Mar16 Mar06 Dec14 Oct24 (lemburg mark)BACON W 116 8.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of REBA'S CAT by CONSOLIDATOR)
4  TAPITBOY Mar22 Feb17 Jan25 Jan04 Dec08 (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 116 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of SPECIAL GAL by TAYLOR'S SPECIAL)
5  FIRESPITTEN KITTEN Mar30 Mar17 Feb18 Aug28   (compton jesse)DELORME L 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HIGH WIRE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  HAT TRICK JACK Sep09 Jul20       (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 12.00 5% 18.80    
  (by FIRING LINE out of ROYAL CLASS by REGAL SEARCH)
SCR  MY BUDDY MEL Apr07 Mar17 Jan27 Dec15 Oct27 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 120 3.00    
  (by TONALIST out of TILDE by SWISS YODELER)
8  LEGEND OF GOLD Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 Feb18 Dec08 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SAFETY NET by A.P. INDY)
 
FON-10   04/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKEND IN COURT Mar23 Feb15 Jan31 Jan10 Dec14 (stivers ryan)DELORME L 125 15.00    
2  SCREENPLAY Apr06 Mar23 Mar15 Mar01 Oct21 (gourneau )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 10% 9.40    
3  ITS A BOY Mar01 Sep12 Jul11 Jun26 Aug31 (sanderson bru)BACON W 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FERRARI ROAD Mar29 Mar16 Oct29 Oct22 Oct07 (muckey john)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 8% 10.90    
5  OH BE ONE Apr06 Mar16 Mar01 Oct01 Sep08 (bunn shawn)GARNETT G 125 15.00    
6  A. K. SAFARI Mar29 Mar16 Oct29 Oct22 Oct01 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PODEROSO EQUS Mar30 Mar16 Sep10 Aug06 Jul23 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00    
8  COWORKER Mar24 Mar15 Mar01 May19 May13 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 3.50 55% 0.80    
9  EL CENTENARIO Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 Jul16 Jun23 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.