Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(1/3/4)-(5/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(5/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(5/2/4/3)-(8/5/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/3)-(8/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/3)-(8/5/1/4)-(7/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (8/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4)-(8/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/4)-(7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/4)-(7/1/6)-(7/2/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(7/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(7/2/4/5)-(2/4/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/5)-(2/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-9   WIN (2/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/10)-(2/4/10/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/10)-(2/4/10/3/9)-(2/4/10/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Stallion Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATAGASAL Mar28         (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 24% 3.20    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of EXCESSIVELYBLESSED by HOLD ME BACK)
2  DON JUAN BUBBA Mar18 Feb15 Sep11 Aug28 Jul17 (eiklebe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
  (by BOCEPHUS out of COMPLIMENTARY by PORTO VARAS)
3  MARVELOUS MARK Mar28         (mccartney jac)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of CASHMERE MUFFIN by PURE PRIZE)
4  U CAN DO U Mar18 Feb15 Nov28 Aug26 Jul08 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 0.60 36% 1.80    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SAINT'S CROWN by TIZNOW)
5  BIYOMBO Mar26 Feb15 Dec12 Jul31   (eikleberry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00 ★    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MS MUMBA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
TUP-4   04/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEARTBREAK KID Mar13 Feb05 Jan12 Nov05 Oct08 (evans justin)REYES R 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
2  WHISKEY VISION Mar27 Mar18 Feb27 Feb13 Oct06 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00    
3  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Mar06 Feb13 Jan07 Sep16 Aug28 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 6.00 8% 12.20    
4  BLUES RAPPER Mar06 Feb27 May05 Apr24 Apr11 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RUSTY B CAUSE Mar27 Feb17 Feb03 Jan07 Dec16 (mo)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50    
6  PAINTED SMOKE Mar27 Mar06 Feb21 Feb13 Dec12 (diaz lui)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00    
 
TUP-5   04/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLY ESA Mar19 Mar04 Feb22 Feb06 Jan26 (matt l)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00    
2  MR. CLUTCH Mar13 Feb12 Jan06 Dec01 Nov03 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.00 25% 3.10    
3  ECONOMICAL Mar19 Mar11 Feb22 Feb06 Oct21 (whitehouse r)RADKE K 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHIP IT RED Mar13 Feb27 Jan01 Dec02 Nov11 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
5  FAR BEYOND Mar21 Mar13 Feb27 Dec16 Nov17 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  ALL THE KING'S MEN Mar21 Mar05 Feb20 Jan30 Dec17 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
7  MEANT FOR ME Mar20 Feb27 Dec20 Nov10 Oct20 (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.00    
 
TUP-6   04/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GODSEND (GB) Feb05 Jan13 Aug11 Jul04 Jan30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
2  CREATIVE BID Mar25 Mar14 Feb20 Nov06 Oct04 (hernandez migue)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
3  THE RONALD Mar20 Feb15 Dec04 Oct28 Oct01 (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00    
4  RESPECT THE UNION Mar19 Feb22 Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  RENEW Mar19 Apr22 Apr05 Mar27 Feb22 (kato akifumi)CORBETT W 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
6  SUDDENLY FAMOUS Mar05 Oct22 Sep30 Sep16 Aug04 (he)DA FAUSTO 116 12.00    
7  PLEASEUSETHEPORTAL Mar12 Feb22 Feb15 Feb06 Dec10 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 116 6.00    
8  RIVERSIDE Feb20 Feb06 Jan25 Dec17 Oct29 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 32% 2.20    
 
TUP-7   04/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASHANOVA Mar26 Mar05 Sep03 Aug16 Jul27 (asprino alf)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
2  PRIMO TOUCH Jul24 Jun28 Nov13 Oct13 Jul30 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00    
3  HOUSE OF LORDS Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 Sep23 Sep02 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00    
SCR  SAXON SAGA Oct22 Oct07 Sep23 Sep13 Aug29 (anderson gonzalo)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00    
5  KYSTONE Mar21 Mar06 Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 (hedge r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00    
6  FLY NIGHTLY Mar18 Jan11 Dec30 Nov29 Aug27 (gangidino lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
7  FALSELY ACCUSED Mar18 Feb11 Jan21 Dec31 Dec10 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
 
TUP-8   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DORITA'S HAPPY Mar25 Mar11 Feb19 Jun26 May08 (hernandez mi)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 10.00    
2  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Mar25 Mar12 Feb14 Jan31 Apr19 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 12% 7.20    
3  LADY OF THE RIVER Mar06 Feb24 Feb04 Jan19 Jan07 (perez s)RADKE K 124 6.00    
4  KAMIKAZE BLUE Mar05 Feb13 Jan31 Dec17 Nov08 (nelson amy)REYES R 124 5.00 5% 18.90    
5  LUCKY VEGAS Mar20 Feb18 Jan15 Dec10 Dec02 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLYING LADY Oct08 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 (martinez o )MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00    
7  CHRISTINA'S CANDY Jan01 Nov25 Nov19 Oct20 Aug17 (hurtado clement)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 55% 0.80    
8  RAINBOW STEW Mar12 Sep02 Jul29 Jul02 May14 (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-9   04/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOOZY SUZY Mar06 Feb21 Jan31 Jan05 Nov14 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00    
2  LA DELHOMME'S SHOW Mar26 Feb19 Feb06 Dec04 Nov07 (zi)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 58% 0.70    
3  BETSY IS THE CODE Mar20 Mar05 Feb22 Jan06 Nov23 (silva l)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★    
4  O SHUGAH MINT Mar06 Mar20 Mar28 Mar09 Jan25 (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
5  STORM CENT Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Dec20 Nov13 (valerio raymon)REYES R 118 20.00    
6  CANDIED JOULE Feb21 Aug12 Jul17 May21 May07 (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50    
7  DIVINE GIFT Mar20 Mar05 Feb13 Jan26 Dec26 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 118 8.00    
8  MEMORIES IN GOLD Mar05         (tubbs scot)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 20.00    
9  CHIRISCA Mar19 Aug26 Aug12     (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 20.00 ★    
10  CALIFORNIA DIVA Mar14 Dec02 Oct22 Sep16   (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Mar26 Mar06 Feb21 Apr22 Apr12 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 2.50    
SCR  SAL GAL Feb22 Jul09 May05     (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.