Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - January 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(6/5/4)-(1/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(1/4/5)-(3/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(3/1/6)-(1/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(1/8)-(7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/8)-(7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/8)-(7/5)-(9/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/5)-(9/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(9/1/6)-(5/2/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/6)-(9/1/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/6)-(9/1/6/2)-(9/1/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/1/6)-(5/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT CAT Dec15 Jul01 May06 Apr22 Jun04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Dec29 Dec13 Nov18 Oct28 Aug13 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  TAPPIN ROYALTY Dec06 Jul25 May14 Oct09 Sep27 (cuttino marion )PELTROCHE F 124 6.00    
SCR  DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Dec08 Sep14 Jul06 Jun03 Mar31 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00    
5  LOKOYA ROAD Nov15 Nov01 Sep29 Aug11 Jul27 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00    
6  MAGNETRON Dec27 Dec16 Nov22 Nov01 Oct09 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
 
CT-2   01/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JEFFERSON SECURITY Nov11 Nov02 Oct19 Aug19 May20 (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 12.00    
2  ROCKING TO HOME Nov16 Oct27 Oct05 Aug31 Aug04 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
3  BEAR'S ESTATE Nov02 Oct16 Aug19 Jul08 Jun20 (garrido r)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
4  KING OF LUCK Dec01 Nov16 Oct27 Oct05 Sep28 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PINNACLE REEF Dec01 Nov09 Oct16 Aug31 Aug04 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 2.00 14% 6.20    
6  DEVIL'S CANYON Nov07 Oct31 Oct11 Aug18 Jul06 (meyers shan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 62% 0.60    
7  JOOBY DOOBY DOO Jan04 Nov24 Oct27 Sep09 Sep01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50    
 
CT-3   01/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARK DID IT Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06 Sep15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
2  BLUEMOON JUSTICE Dec13 Oct04 Aug16 Jul29 Jul11 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
3  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Dec13 Dec06 Oct21 Oct12 Sep01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 ★    
4  FIRST HOMESTEAD Nov01 Sep05 Aug22 Jul25 Jul05 (meyers sha)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 13% 7.00    
5  POLAR WIND Jan05 Dec13 Dec06 Nov07 Sep20 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
6  MOON OVER MONTANA Jan04 Dec27 Dec06 Nov22 Nov01 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
7  HONOR THE FLEET Dec13 Nov01 Oct20 Sep04 Aug11 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
 
CT-4   01/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANAROLA Oct14 Aug10 Jul01 May13 Apr13 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
2  SHUTUPN'KISSME Dec13 Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 Jul27 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
3  ALPINE MOON May05 Apr15 Feb02 Jan12 Nov19 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 4.00 34% 1.90    
4  CEDAR'S WISH Dec06 Oct25 Sep15 Aug26 Jul27 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 6.00    
5  FULL MOON LOVER Dec16 Nov09 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80    
6  COACH RUBE Jan10 Dec16 Nov24 Oct14 Oct02 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
CT-5   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISYPHUS Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 Sep14 Aug25 (rose d)ARAUJO VICENTE 116 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by WEST COAST out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  SHARP STYLE Dec14 Nov22 Nov03 Sep22 Jan25 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 124 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  LET'S EAT Jan10 Dec13 Nov22 Oct05 Aug23 (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
SCR  ARCH EGO Dec06 Nov12 Oct23 Sep25 Sep01 (jackson l)LARROSA G 124 20.00    
  (by BLAME out of ONE FAST FROG by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  LANIE'S FIRST DUDE Dec27 Dec19 Nov30     (penaloz)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 12.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of SAILING FREE by MIZZEN MAST)
6  TEMPESTIVO Nov22 Nov01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun16 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 ★    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of AFFEZIONAMENTE by FLATTER)
7  FAST FORWARD Dec30 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Jul26 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 4.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  GLOBAL PRIDE Jan02 Dec18 Oct25 Sep27 Apr01 (meyers sha)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HAMSIN by DYNAFORMER)
 
CT-6   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 Jul28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
2  TOUGH ENOUGH Jan03 Nov16 Oct18 Sep30 Sep22 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
3  LADRO DI FICHI Nov29 Nov03 Oct21 Sep26 Aug19 (caison l)MAWING A 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  CHURCH KEY Dec13 Nov20 Nov07 Oct16 Sep14 (harriso)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
5  RIVER REWARDS RVF Dec13 Nov22 Oct26 Oct13 Sep15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 20% 4.10    
SCR  CASTLE REVIEW Dec12 Nov15 Aug16 Jun26 Jun13 (shuler r)HO WESLEY 124 6.00    
7  DIALHERUP Dec08 Nov13 Oct11 Sep22 Jul29 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
CT-7   01/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY DAY DREAMS Dec14 Nov29 Oct28 Oct14 Jun17 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 10% 9.20    
2  AMIDSHIPS Dec14 Nov16 Aug17 May19 Apr07 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  TAP SECRET Dec16 Nov29 Oct07 Sep21 Aug31 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00    
4  BAYTOWN FROSTY Oct21 Aug17 Jun11 Jan12 Dec05 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00    
SCR  ROCKET APPEAL Dec14 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May19 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
6  PRIMAL DESTINY Nov17 Oct21 Sep21 Aug06 Jul13 (patterson kev)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 8% 10.80    
7  GOLDEN G Jan10 Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 Oct20 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 113 8.00    
8  PIT STOP MAN Jan10 Dec14 Oct06 Sep09 Sep02 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
9  STORM BOARDER (CHI) Nov03 Oct21 Sep21 Aug06 Jul13 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 4.50 56% 0.80    
 
CT-8   01/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTLE TOY Jan03 Dec14 Oct13 Sep28 Sep14 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
2  WITNESS THE ENERGY Dec06 Oct26 Jun02 May14 Apr29 (lucas ant)BOCACHICA J 115 4.50 17% 4.80    
3  LINDA'S TAJ Dec14 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep21 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
4  ICY STARE Aug24 Aug18 Jul15 Jun15 May18 (jones royland)CHILO JACINTO 120 20.00 12% 7.60    
5  SING A LULLABYE Nov16 Oct21 Aug05 Jul20 Oct21 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.20 25% 3.00    
6  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Dec14 Nov08 Oct21 Sep07 Aug11 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
SCR  ASUE Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 Oct06 Sep07 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00    
8  PURE NONSENSE Jan03 Dec14 Nov22 Nov02 Sep15 (gillespie a)MAWING A 122 8.00    
9  WINDSOR'S PLAY Jan03 Dec13 Nov25 Nov03 Oct18 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.