Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Saturday - January 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/7)-(8/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(8/2/1)-(5/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-2   WIN (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/1)-(8/2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/2/1)-(8/2/1/3)-(8/2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/1)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1)-(5/4/1)-(8/7/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(8/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(8/7/1/3)-(5/6/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-4   WIN (8/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3)-(8/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/1/3)-(5/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/3)-(5/6/7/1)-(4/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/1)-(4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/1)-(4/8/6)-(8/4/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6/5)-(4/8/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/6)-(8/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6)-(8/4/3/7)-(3/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (8/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/7)-(3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/7)-(3/2/7)-(10/1/3/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-8   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DED-9   WIN (10/1/3/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/3/2/6)-(10/1/3/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/3/2/6)-(10/1/3/2/6)-(10/1/3/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF MISCHIEF Mar19         (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CANDY FOR KISSES by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Oct27 Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 Oct23 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.80    
  (by WEST COAST out of SKYLAR'S PASS by THE FACTOR)
GODSEND (GB) Aug11 Jul04 Jan30     (evans justi)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MISS DEL GALLO by HENNESSY)
CAJUN BLAST Jul10 Jun30       (courville rick)THORNTON G 123 3.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CABANERO by SMART STRIKE)
BRILLIANT SPIN Dec01 Oct26       (gelner scott)ROMAN KEVIN 123 20.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of THE TEA CUPS by HARD SPUN)
SCR  RUN CARLOS Dec20 Dec02 Nov02 May04 Apr14 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of ALL AMERICAN STAR by QUIET AMERICAN)
PERFECT EDGE Nov16         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of PURRFECT DIVA by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
DED-2   01/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINISHWHATUSTARTED Dec16 Nov29 Oct21 Sep09 Aug10 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 16% 5.40    
OUR CUSTOM DARLING Nov16 Oct19 Jun26 Jun03 May13 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 8.00 23% 3.40    
MARINA Dec16 Nov21 Oct25 Aug12 Jul08 (silva walter)POMPELL L 118 3.50    
SAVANNAH'S HERE Dec18 Dec07 Nov21 Oct25 Sep12 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
BLACK ACE Dec07 Nov21 Oct25 Aug11 Jul08 (courville ri)MAGNON H 121 6.00    
SCR  HAPPY IN HEELS Nov29 Oct04 Sep14 Aug18 May12 (kennedy b)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.50    
LUNCH LADY Dec28 Nov16 Oct18 Sep02 Aug13 (zeno benjamin)ROMAN KEVIN 123 15.00    
SHACKED STATESIDE Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 May14 Apr13 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
DED-3   01/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOM STAR Dec16 Nov17       (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 11% 8.40    
SMOKEY G Dec02 Nov17       (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00    
C F HENRY Dec16 Nov29 Oct13     (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00    
THREEOFAKIND         (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 25% 3.10    
MAGNOLIA SPEED Dec28 Dec16 Nov17 Oct21   (blanchet chris)POMPELL L 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
HALF GUILTY Dec16         (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 8.00    
LEXINGTON RIVER Dec19         (bryant al)BIRZER E 120 10.00    
 
DED-4   01/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEVA Nov04 Oct19 Sep09 Aug11 Jun11 (segura kearney)STOKES J 119 6.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  FLASHING ANGELBABY Nov10 Jul15 Jul06 May27 Apr14 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 116 20.00    
EXTIRPATOR Dec20 Nov15 Oct20 Sep09 Jul22 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00 10% 9.40    
GOLDEN QUALITY Dec01 Nov18 Nov01 Oct19 Jul28 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
VETERANS DAY Nov21 Nov04 Oct14 Aug27 Jun30 (landry allen)MAGNON H 116 8.00    
SCR  SCRAPPY ARTIE Nov24 Oct25 Jun17 May06 Apr19 (landry r)THORNTON G 121 3.50    
SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Dec20 Dec09 Nov15 Oct06 Aug05 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 116 6.00 25% 3.00    
SECRET VISTA Dec15 Apr20 Mar04 Feb09 Jan15 (west henry)STOKES A 116 6.00 25% 3.00    
UPTOWN SOCIAL Dec18 Nov24 Oct25 Oct14 Aug20 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 119 15.00    
10  VIOLENT CITY Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct13 Sep02 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 2.50    
SCR  MAGAWILDTIME Dec08 Nov23 Apr21 Jan18 Dec22 (cormier winston)STOKES J 116 8.00    
 
DED-5   01/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAUCY SIX Dec21 Nov30 Sep04     (arey anthon)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 8.00 12% 7.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of CHAMPAGNE GAL by YES IT'S TRUE)
HAYAI UMA         (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CONKATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
BACK STREET BABY Dec29 Dec18 Nov30     (dixon tim)POMPELL L 117 20.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BEAT THE STREET by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
MARIAH (CHI) Dec13 Nov16 Oct21 Jul22 Jul08 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 120 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BUSTED AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  SIMULTANEITY         (amoss m)THORNTON G 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LOTTIE by ARCH)
LYRICAL PARDON Dec13 Oct19 Sep02 Aug09 Jun16 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 17% 5.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TREBLE by MACHO UNO)
TAYLORS MAGIC Dec08 Nov10 Sep13     (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of MS MAGIC by MAGICIAN (IRE))
SAINT ISABEL Nov25         (antwine michae)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of RAVEN FLYER by BIRDSTONE)
 
DED-6   01/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYFRIENDSAWINNER Dec28 Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 Aug06 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50    
D'WILD MUFFIN Dec28 Dec16 Nov30 Oct14 Sep11 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 119 4.00    
BRAVE CITY GIRL Dec15 Oct26 Aug11 Jun29 Jun10 (zenon shelt)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00    
SERAPE Dec28 Dec09 Nov11 Oct12 Jul27 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 4.50 51% 1.00    
COMMERCIAL FLASH Dec13 Oct21 Jul01 May20 Mar23 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 3.50    
TRACK SMART Dec28 Dec09 Nov11 Oct14 Aug26 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 8% 11.80    
SUZY DOLL'S READY Dec13 Oct26 Jul27 May21 Feb23 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 15.00    
DOLLY'S GUITAR Nov11 Oct26 Oct12 Aug12 Jul20 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 8% 11.60    
 
DED-7   01/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPECTOR ED Dec21 Nov24 Oct11 Sep12 Sep03 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00    
JEFFROW Dec14 Nov15 Oct07 Jun08 Apr21 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50    
THROWIN' SHADE Nov15 Oct06 Aug13 Aug05 Jul09 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 7% 13.80    
SEEHOSS Dec14 Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 Oct06 (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 5.00 13% 6.90    
JOEY'S LIGHTENING Dec01 Nov09 Oct18 Jul28 Jul13 (averett ronnie)STOKES J 119 12.00    
SCR  MO CREDO Nov30 Nov15 Oct14 Aug10 Jul23 (arnett g)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
MANLY DEEDS Dec13 Nov24 Nov02 Aug11 Jun30 (chatters benard)BIRZER E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN EDDIE Dec29 Oct21 Oct12 Sep02 Aug05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
BLEEP BLEEP Dec14 Oct27 Jul13 Jun15 May18 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
 
DED-8   01/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAGOON Oct19 Feb05 Jan18 Jan07 Dec02 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.50    
RITHM NIC Dec21 Nov04 Feb24 Dec31 Dec14 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 36% 1.70    
BERTIE'S GALAXY Dec09 Jun03 May06 Mar25 Dec10 (terre david)ROSIER R 116 2.50 37% 1.70    
DOUBLE EDGE SWORD Dec31 Nov04 Jul29 May12 Apr08 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 5.00    
JANETS JAY JAY Dec09 Nov03 Oct13 Sep05 Aug07 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 116 8.00    
SCR  CUSTOM DEELITE Mar26 Mar02 Feb17 Feb02   (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 116 10.00    
COPTER Nov30 Nov04 May12 Apr08 Mar10 (landry r)THORNTON G 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
AHIMAAZ Jul22 Jun22 Jun04 May14 Feb15 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 119 15.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN COOL Dec01 Dec02 Nov11 Oct05 Jan20 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 121 15.00    
 
DED-9   01/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARKANSAS ZONG Dec27 Dec13 Nov29 Nov04 Oct07 (dison ma)FUSILIER C 123 6.00 14% 6.00    
WORK ALL DAY Dec27 Mar23 Mar12 Feb04 Jan21 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
RED ON THE HEAD Dec13 Oct07 Aug10 Jul27 Jun23 (courville rick)THORNTON G 123 5.00 13% 6.90    
QUICK ZONG Dec27 Nov29 Oct27     (dison ma)STOKES A 123 15.00    
GLORIA'S BOY         (kirkland willie)STOKES J 120 6.00    
WILDCATS'S MEOW Dec29 Dec15 Dec01 Oct18 Aug11 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
CRAFTY ONE Oct18 Jun01       (torres jesu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 8.00    
TOAST TO THE GIRLS Nov29 Nov17 Jun02     (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
A BRAVE RIDE Jun30         (torres jesu)MELANCON JANSEN 123 10.00    
10  COUNTRY CAT JAKE Dec27 Dec07 Nov22 Apr13 Feb28 (nelson r)POMPELL L 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.