Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (10/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/1)-(10/8/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/1)-(10/8/3/2/1)-(10/8/3/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/8/1)-(4/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/8/1)-(4/3/1/7)-(3/8/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (4/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/7)-(3/8/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/7)-(3/8/5/6)-(1/7/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-3   WIN (3/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/6)-(3/8/5/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/6)-(3/8/5/9/6)-(3/8/5/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/5/6)-(1/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/6)-(1/7/5/4)-(2/6/3/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-4   WIN (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/4)-(2/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/4)-(2/6/3/7)-(5/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/10/7)-(2/6/3/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/3/7)-(5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/7)-(5/1/6)-(5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-6   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(5/1)-(8/3/6/9/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(8/3/6/9/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
DED-8   WIN (8/3/6/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/9/2)-(8/3/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/9/2)-(8/3/6/9/2)-(8/3/6/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAT'S PRINCESS         (toups brent)BIRZER E 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of INDIAN AFLEET by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  TARKINGTON GIRL Nov21 Apr12 Mar25 Feb11 Nov26 (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 ★    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of OPEN RATE by INTEREST RATE)
3  HIGHLANDER'S EDGE Nov25 Nov01 Jun25     (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.50 ★    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of GATEWAY TO GOLD by ARCH)
SCR  MYWARRIORSPRINCESS Dec01 Nov01       (nixon thomas )LOZADA CARLOS 123 10.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of UNBRIDLED SUNSHINE by UNTUTTABLE)
5  LONG SHOT LOUISE Nov21 Sep10 Aug28 Jul09 Jun04 (dodson clif)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 12.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of IN COMMAND by SIPHON)
6  PRINCESS MOCCASINS         (zenon charl)LEDET THEODRICK 123 20.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  VOTE BY MAIL         (zenon shelton)FUSILIER C 123 20.00    
  (by SABERCAT out of STATELY DEFENCE by FIRST DEFENCE)
8  GEMMY Dec28 Dec14       (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of SUNDAY SUNSHINE by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
9  RED WHISTLE         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 123 8.00    
  (by CATALINA RED out of WHISTLIN'ALONG by MINESHAFT)
10  TENSAS LU LU Dec01         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PRINCESS LU LU by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
DED-2   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY SAGEY Dec30 Dec08 May27 Apr30 Mar10 (hewitt michael)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 10% 9.50    
2  CHEROKEE SUMMER Dec16 Nov10 Oct25 Jun15 Apr30 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
3  MAGNA COLORS Dec15 Nov15 Oct26 Sep04 Jul08 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
4  CAYMAN QUEEN Dec09 Nov25 Oct28 Oct12 Sep22 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 4.50 44% 1.30    
5  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON May26 May08 Feb17 Jan21 Jan04 (de al)NEGRON LUIS 116 2.00    
6  PIPPA'S PROSPECT Dec21 Nov25 Oct21 Sep25 Sep10 (birzer bonnie)STOKES A 119 12.00    
7  INDY LOVER Dec09 Nov10 Oct25 Oct14 Aug27 (morrell cynthia)ROSIER R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  I'M ALL MIXED UP Dec30 Dec09 Nov16 Oct21 Feb09 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 111 15.00    
 
DED-3   01/11/2024 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIRCLE UP Dec08         (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of SURPRISE SQUALL by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
2  RULED BY SPIRIT Nov30 Nov04       (chatters benard)BIRZER E 120 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  PIP SQUEEK Nov30         (landry r)THORNTON G 120 3.50 41% 1.50    
  (by WHENCE out of LITTLE FACE by MAGNA GRADUATE)
4  ISLAND GOLD         (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 12.00    
  (by WHENCE out of GRACEFUL TOUCH by TOUCH GOLD)
5  TIFFANY'S FERRARI Nov22 Oct14       (johnson hen)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of LAWYER TIFFANY by PURE PRIZE)
6  LIGHT FACE         (perron gerar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTERACTIF out of LEROY'S SALTINE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
7  C C LLAM Nov22 Nov02 Aug26 Aug04 Jun03 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of FLASHY PRODUCT by RUN PRODUCTION)
8  GOOD N SASSY Nov17 Oct13       (henry eric)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CLASSY GREY LASSY by SILVER TRAIN)
9  BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY Dec27 Dec08 Nov22 Nov11 Oct14 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 120 5.00 ★    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of AWESOME DAY by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
 
DED-4   01/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE VISION Dec19 Nov25 Oct18 Aug11 Jul27 (giangrosso )MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  HOPESHECANRUN Dec19 Nov22 Nov02     (west henry)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00    
3  GAP DADDY Dec27 Dec09 Nov21 Jul31 Jul10 (nelson eric)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 6.00    
4  TDZ CORRIENDA STAR Nov25 Nov02 Jul29 Jun24 May19 (roberts roy)FUSILIER C 119 10.00 6% 16.10    
5  CAJUN CATALINA Nov25 Aug03 Jul20 Jun17 Apr13 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 119 15.00 14% 6.00    
6  RUN BAMBI RUN Dec09 Nov21 Jul30     (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50    
7  SHEZA SALTY GAL Nov25 Nov02 Oct12 Jul22 Jun12 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
8  MY LITTLE MIA Jul27 Apr14 Feb18 Feb05 Jan04 (perron gera)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.50    
 
DED-5   01/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTA GO Dec28 Dec16 Nov18 Oct13 Aug12 (henry eric)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00    
2  PAYDAY TOO Dec21 Oct27 Sep10 Jul21 Jul01 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
3  INCORRIGIBLE Dec21 Nov09 Oct13 Jul31 Feb04 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  TAKEN BACK Dec14 Nov29 Jun22 May25 May03 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 12.00    
5  APPLEWOOD Dec21 Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 Oct27 (matthieu ronald )STOKES A 123 12.00    
6  TAPIT'S SPIRIT Dec08 Nov04 Jul30 Jun17 May27 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 10.00 29% 2.50    
7  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Dec18 Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 Oct13 (romero j)POMPELL L 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST Dec01 Oct06 Jul31 Jun12 May18 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00    
9  HONOR MY SPEED Dec18 Dec08 Nov16 Oct06 Jul21 (landry allen)MAGNON H 123 4.00    
10  VERRAZANO FIRST Dec21 Dec08 Jul05 Jun28 May09 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00 ★    
 
DED-6   01/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SPEEDY ONE         (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  LEGENDARY DRAGON Dec06 Nov15       (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 3.00    
3  WHATDIDWEDO         (noel dane)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
4  RUMPUSINTHESKY Dec08 Nov24       (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 5.00 ★    
5  MR. SHORTY Nov15 Oct20 Sep12 Aug29 Jul04 (johnson hen)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 1.80 59% 0.70    
6  RITE ON SAM Dec06 Nov24 Oct12 Jul28   (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FRENETIC DAY Dec19 Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 Oct21 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00    
8  MR RAMIREZ Dec02         (del erick)ROSIER R 120 4.50    
 
DED-7   01/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON CARLOS Dec28 Nov09 May22 Feb15 Feb02 (dunn ray)STOKES J 116 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  MAYFIELD STRONG Dec18 Dec01 Sep01 Jun02 Apr28 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 3.50    
3  TRIPPLE D RULLER Dec30 Dec02 Nov02     (toups brent)POMPELL L 116 15.00    
4  BRAZEN BULL Dec01 Aug26 Jun23 May20 Apr23 (evans justi)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00    
5  AUX ARCS Dec01 Oct19 Aug20 Jul31 Jun26 (borel renay)BOREL H 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  ZOEY'S HIPPIE Dec01 Nov09 Oct12 Nov04 Oct12 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 10.00 ★    
SCR  GRAPHENE CASSOCK Jun03 May20 Mar22 Mar03 Feb18 (arnett g)VARGAS P 119 8.00    
 
DED-8   01/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. NUMERO UNO Dec01 Nov08 Oct18 Dec28 Dec08 (roberts roy)ROSIER R 120 5.00    
2  FLYING IN HOT Dec07 Aug27 Aug12 Jun18   (morrell cynt)DEL-CID MARLON 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY UNCLE BILLY Dec21 Dec07 Nov21 Nov08 Jul15 (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 123 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  FLATTERSOLUTION Nov10 Aug10       (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
5  MUSTBELIEVE Dec21 Dec07 Nov08 Oct27 Jul21 (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 4.00    
6  BELLAMY BROTHER Dec02 Nov22 May13     (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 120 5.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  D'FESTIVE CAT Nov08 Aug05 May25 Apr27 Jan07 (bourque warren)STOKES J 120 15.00    
8  SAUCY ARGUMENT Jun29 Jun01 May18 Apr19 Mar08 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
9  DOCE DE LA NOCHE Dec13 Oct27 Aug12 Jun24 Jun10 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 10.00 5% 18.50    
10  ZAPAWAY Jul30 May06 Feb28 Feb04   (lara jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00    
SCR  GLORIA'S BOY         (kirkland willie)STOKES J 120 4.00    
SCR  EGOR OTAY Sep09 Jul24 Jun24 May15 Dec17 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.