Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - December 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/2/5/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/2/5/6/4)-(8/2/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/4)-(6/4/5)-(4/6/5/3/10) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(4/6/5/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/6/5/3/10)-(8/10/4/3/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-3   WIN (4/6/5/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3/10)-(4/6/5/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3/10)-(4/6/5/3/10)-(4/6/5/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/5/3/10)-(8/10/4/3/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/3/10)-(8/10/4/3/1)-(4/2/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-4   WIN (8/10/4/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/4/3/1)-(8/10/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/4/3/1)-(8/10/4/3/1)-(8/10/4/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/4/3/1)-(4/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/10/4/3/1)-(4/2/6)-(1/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-5   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/7)-(9/4/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/7)-(9/4/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(9/4/5/8)-(4/5/9/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-7   WIN (9/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8/3)-(9/4/5/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/5/8)-(4/5/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/4/5/8)-(4/5/9/3)-(2/6/9/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-8   WIN (4/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/3)-(4/5/9/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/3)-(4/5/9/3/2)-(4/5/9/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DED-9   WIN (2/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/5)-(2/6/9/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/5)-(2/6/9/8/5)-(2/6/9/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   12/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEE'S LEGS Dec07 Nov10 Jun24 Feb25   (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 114 20.00    
ADMIRAL RISTY Dec13 Nov29 Sep14     (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50    
WINNING DANCE Dec13 Nov08 Oct11 Sep11 Aug26 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00    
LITTLE WARRIOR Dec07 Nov22       (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
WHISKEY RED Dec14 Nov21 Oct11 Aug03 Jun24 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 4.50    
JUST BECAUSE Dec13 Nov04 Aug27 Aug12 Jul30 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 6.00    
ROCKY BOY Dec13 Nov17 Oct21 Sep09 Aug27 (escobar alison)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00    
DR. SNYDER Dec01 Oct26 Aug10 Jun17 May04 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 70% 0.40    
VESTMENT Mar11         (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
 
DED-2   12/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABO COWGIRL Jun11         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00    
ANSWER THE CALL Nov14 Oct28 Sep30 Aug31   (pish danny)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 3.50    
GYPSAN Dec15 Nov21 Oct25 Sep01 Jul01 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50    
KATIES FACTOR Sep04 Jul22       (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 16% 5.10    
KATIES SPIRIT Dec14 Nov03 Sep24 Aug25 Jul04 (gelner j)POMPELL L 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
NANA'S CORN MUFFIN Dec14 Nov10 Oct11     (landry allen)MAGNON H 120 1.80 60% 0.70    
 
DED-3   12/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LYRICAL BELLE         (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 122 15.00    
  (by ELIJAH'S SONG out of BADGER BASIN BELLE by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
HALF OFF HALF         (dunn ray)NEGRON LUIS 122 15.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of VENDEUSE by MY PAL CHARLIE)
SIX STRING         (landry ray)ROSIER R 122 4.50 7% 14.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of OH WHATA HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
GEAUX MAW P         (landry r)THORNTON G 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by D'WILDCAT out of SACK O ROCKS by BUZZY'S GOLD)
CUSTOMERUNHAPPY Dec08         (ramirez edu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of SUGAR CREEK GIRL by PARADE GROUND)
GET READY GAL Nov14 Nov01 Sep22 Aug13   (jacks karen)MELANCON JANSEN 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
DR. BOO         (chatters benard)BIRZER E 122 20.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of THE CLASSICSHOPPER by REGAL CLASSIC)
F J'S CHAOS Nov30 Nov04 Oct07     (maturin chad)STOKES J 122 20.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of MYSTIC BLUE by GOLD SAGA)
SCR  SECRETLY SWEET         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 122 12.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of SOFT AND SWEET by TETON FOREST)
10  MADELYN'S HIT         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIME BANDIT out of ETBAUER'S HIT by ETBAUER)
11  BACK STREET BABY Dec18 Nov30       (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 15.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BEAT THE STREET by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
SCR  GOOD N SASSY Nov17 Oct13       (henry eric)MELANCON JANSEN 122 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CLASSY GREY LASSY by SILVER TRAIN)
 
DED-4   12/29/2023 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Boyd Rewards Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE CHEESE Dec08 Nov15 Jun03 May05 Apr13 (breaux samuel)BIRZER E 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LEMONDROPKISSES by LEMON DROP KID)
AVAILABLE STAR Dec13 Nov24 Jun03 May13 Apr30 (jacks karen)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CHARGED COTTON by DEHERE)
JACK BOB AND LARRY Nov21 Feb25 Dec22 Nov17 May08 (johnson b)POMPELL L 118 10.00 5% 18.50    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of CRYPTO NOTE by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
BALLINONABUDJET Nov21 Nov03 Oct13 Aug11 Jul22 (reeves jeffe)MAGNON H 118 5.00 7% 13.90    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of HEIR TO GLORY by WILDCAT HEIR)
WICKED ROSE Nov17 Jul17 Jun03 Mar04 Feb20 (johnson henry)VARGAS P 118 6.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of PALOMA ROSE by CITY ZIP)
BAYOU JAM Dec09 Nov10 Oct26 Aug11 Jul08 (fuselier jonah)FUSILIER C 118 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ZIPPITY GOOMBA by CITY ZIP)
PLAY MO Nov09 Aug04 Jun23 Jun11 May19 (delhomme j)MARQUEZ L 120 4.00    
  (by MO TOM out of MY QUEEN OLIVIA by HALF OURS)
OAK HILL LG Dec16 Nov10 Oct26 Oct14 Sep02 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by BLOFELD out of OMINOUS CAT by STORM CAT)
GUITAR SLIM Dec09 Nov21 Oct26 Jul23 Jun12 (bryant a)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ZAAFIRA by A.P. INDY)
10  VENN Nov21 Jun23 May19 Apr13 Mar12 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of I'MAVIKINGPRINCESS by I'MA HELL RAISER)
SCR  MUFFIN NUTS Dec16 Dec08 Nov02 Oct12 Aug04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 5.00    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of MUFFIN by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  REDDINGANDLEE Dec13 Nov15 Oct20 Oct07 Aug21 (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 115 20.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of INAWORD by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
DED-5   12/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIND FAITH Nov10 Oct18 Aug12 Jul07 May19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 116 2.50    
SWEET RACHEL Dec14 Nov11 Oct20 Jul09 Feb28 (ramirez e)STOKES J 116 6.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  SPECIAL OPERATOR Dec14 Nov11 Oct25 Aug12 Jun23 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50    
SHUT UP MAN Dec15 Nov08 Oct19 Sep25 Sep11 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
DOUBLE TRAP Dec06 Nov18 Oct20 Sep11 Jul02 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 8.00    
TAPALIST Dec14 Dec02 Nov22 Nov01 Oct18 (ladner j)STOKES A 119 20.00 8% 11.50    
WESLEYAN Dec19 Nov18 Oct25 Sep11 Aug26 (johnson b)BOREL H 119 12.00    
BREW CREW Dec15 Nov21 Nov03 Sep09 Jul09 (jacks karen)MELANCON JANSEN 119 5.00    
HONORARIAN Dec14 May04 Apr08 Feb23 Feb02 (charles jonatha)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00    
 
DED-6   12/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUFFIN NUTS Dec16 Dec08 Nov02 Oct12 Aug04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00 68% 0.50    
PAYNT BATTLE Dec01 Nov04 Oct14 Sep12 Aug28 (zenon shelto)DEL-CID MARLON 114 12.00    
CHAOSMOS Dec02 Nov17 Nov03 Aug12 Jun17 (richard russell)POMPELL L 121 6.00    
BIRTHDAY PARTY Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 Oct27 Dec28 (west henry)STOKES A 119 6.00    
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Dec07 Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 Aug04 (evans justi)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50    
SEIZE THE TREASURE Dec06 Nov17 Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 (bryant a)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00    
ELUSIVE D'ORO Dec06 Oct27 Jul31 Jun25 Jun05 (fogarty desm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE BRAD Dec08 Nov24 Oct19 Sep10 Aug19 (ward ronnie)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
 
DED-7   12/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTS OF TIME Dec06 Oct13 Aug04 Jun10 May26 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00    
INDIA INK (ARG) Jun30 Jun05 Feb22 Dec31 Dec01 (wilban)RODRIGUEZ ARIEL 119 10.00    
JAZZY JUSTIN Nov18 Nov04 Oct12 Apr26 Feb15 (toups brent)BIRZER E 119 15.00    
LODE OF BLARNEY Jun10 May12 Apr29 Apr15 Jan19 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 28% 2.50    
CARBON STRYKER Nov18 Nov04 Oct12 Aug26 Jul16 (bryant a)POMPELL L 119 15.00 7% 13.10    
SAILOR CHOW Dec06 Sep18 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 (guillory he)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00    
SCR  FAR BEYOND Dec16 Nov17 Oct28 Oct12 Aug28 (evans justi)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00    
HIS GIANT Dec15 Nov30 Oct20 Jul04 Jun05 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
IN THE ARCH Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Nov03 Oct19 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
10  GENTLEMAN'S SECRET Nov18 Nov03 Oct20 Oct07 Sep13 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 2.50    
 
DED-8   12/29/2023 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rosewater Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURTLY DOC Nov29 Nov03 Jun03 May06 Mar15 (nelson r)POMPELL L 118 20.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of LIKE A DOC by MAUK FOUR)
MUCHMORETHANREADY Dec06 Nov24 Oct12 Sep03 Aug12 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 4.50    
  (by TOM'S READY out of ASTARTE by STREET SENSE)
OLIVIA G Dec09 Nov17 Oct19 Mar25 Feb25 (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 10.00 8% 11.50    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of ADRIANNE G by INDYGO SHINER)
BASALT STREET Dec09 Jul15 Jun03 May13 Apr22 (scherer gary)THORNTON G 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of SHIRLEY STREET by STORMY ATLANTIC)
WORLD WAR Nov18 Oct25 Aug20 Jul27 Jun16 (landry allen)MAGNON H 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of SPARKLING DIAMOND by FINEST HOUR)
MO CLASSY Nov01 Jan25 Dec18 Oct05 Aug21 (nixon thomas )LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00    
  (by MO TOM out of TENSAS CIEL by LEESTOWN)
A WISH FOR MADELYN Nov18 Nov02 Oct11 Jun25 Apr15 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00    
  (by GREELEY'S GALAXY out of A WISH FOR TRAVIS by MOONLIGHT DANCER)
TINCANDANCE Dec09 Mar15 Feb24 Feb04 Nov02 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
  (by SILENT PLEASURE out of TINCAN TOO by BARKERVILLE)
ALLIACEOUS Nov18 Nov01 Oct21 Jul27 Jul01 (bryant a)ROMAN KEVIN 118 5.00 8% 11.20    
  (by LIAISON out of RUNAWAY SUZANNA by RUNAWAY GROOM)
 
DED-9   12/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORTE Dec14 Nov08 Oct11 Sep09 Aug20 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00    
BENISSIMO Dec15 Nov24 Aug21 Jun25 Jun02 (arey anthony)THORNTON G 123 1.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  ADMIRAL HALSEY Aug26 Apr02 Feb20 May08 Mar20 (evans justin)BIRZER E 123 3.50    
SLEW CITY HENRY Sep12 Sep03       (jarvis rober)DEL-CID MARLON 114 20.00    
ROYAL DE BE Dec07 Nov04 Sep11 Aug26 Jul22 (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOBBY MERLOT Dec13 Oct26 Oct06 Sep06 Aug27 (ramsay-bank)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 27% 2.70    
WILDCATS'S MEOW Dec15 Dec01 Oct18 Aug11 Jul27 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
RED OCTOBER Dec15 Nov17 Sep11 Aug26 Jul13 (escobar aliso)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
BUFFETT Dec13 Oct27 Oct06 Aug11 Jul22 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00 7% 13.50    
10  LISA'S GUY Dec01 Nov04       (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 20.00    
SCR  EGOR OTAY Sep09 Jul24 Jun24 May15 Dec17 (nelson eric)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.