Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - November 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/4/1)-(1/8/2/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(1/8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/8/2/9)-(4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/9)-(1/8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/9)-(1/8/2/9)-(1/8/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/9)-(4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/9)-(4/6/2)-(5/4/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(5/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(5/4/9/2)-(7/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/9/2)-(5/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/9/2)-(5/4/9/2)-(5/4/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/9/2)-(7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9/2)-(7/5/6)-(4/2/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(4/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(4/2/5/1)-(1/3/5/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/1)-(1/3/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/3/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/8/10)-(1/3/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/8/10)-(1/3/5/8/10)-(1/3/5/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE WAY FARRIOR Oct21 Sep29 Sep14 Sep02   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 27% 2.60    
  (by RACE DAY out of MORE STORMYWEATHER by MORE THAN READY)
2  HAMMER Oct20 Sep14       (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AURORA'S RIDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  RAINBOW DAY Oct20         (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of ALTER RHYTHM by ALTERNATION)
4  SILVER REDESDALE Oct20         (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of SILVER SANDS by EL PRADO (IRE))
5  REV PARKER Oct20         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
  (by ASTERN out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
6  SISYPHUS Oct20 Sep14 Aug25 Aug02   (rose j)MONTANO JOSE 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by WEST COAST out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
7  CATALINA KID Oct27 Sep14 Aug25 Aug04   (simone v)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SACRED HEART by SUPER SAVER)
 
CT-2   11/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO FOOLING DUDE Oct21 Sep14 Aug17 Jul20 Jul07 (stahlin john)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  MOTIVATED SPEAKER Aug17 Jul28 Jul14 Apr14 Feb16 (covello andr)BATISTA A 122 50.00    
3  BUFFALO SHUFFLE Oct28 Aug23 Jul20 Jun27 May23 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 1.80    
4  GRAND FIBER Oct13 Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jul27 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
5  MISCHIEVOUS JESSE Feb16 Jan25 Nov26 Nov09 Sep01 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
6  BE BE BOP Oct13 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
7  MACY'S BOY Apr21 Feb17 Feb02 Dec17 Sep25 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
8  JAZZ MAN DO Oct04 Sep09 Aug20 Jul28 Jul21 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
SCR  WIZARD OF ODDS Sep29 Aug31 Jul20 Jun09 May19 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 50.00    
 
CT-3   11/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT Oct21 Sep18 Aug24 Aug02 Jul11 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 19% 4.30    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of THIRSTY MADAM by STAY THIRSTY)
2  BELLAFLEET         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 11% 8.30    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of BRIAN'S MARK by BENCHMARK)
3  P B FOXY Oct19 Sep28 Sep14     (venham d)BATISTA C 120 20.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of POSEIDON'S BLUFF by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  BAYTOWN BAMA GIRL Oct24 Sep13 Aug30 Aug18 Jul19 (mcentee pa)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of STREET SURRENDER by STREET BOSS)
5  NOBLE OBSESSION         (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
  (by MITOLE out of JUNOON by STREET SENSE)
6  MIDCENTURY MODERN Oct19 Sep28 Sep01     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 6.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of CLEOPATTY by CAIRO PRINCE)
7  CAUSETOWIN         (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 10.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of NEVER GO BACK by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
8  CONTINGENCY         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
  (by FLATTER out of INSPEIGHTOFYOU by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  SOPHIE'S CANDY         (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00 11% 8.30    
  (by TAPRIZE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
CT-4   11/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIMETIME JET Sep28 Jul14 May26 Apr21 Apr01 (patterson kev)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50    
2  TIMMY Sep27 Aug11 Jul25 Jun27 Apr22 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00 11% 7.70    
3  CAJUN FUN Oct19 Sep28 Aug26 Jun27 Apr21 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
4  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Oct12 Sep07 Aug17 Jun22 May11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
5  GUN FACTOR Sep07 Aug09 Jul12 May16 May07 (ceciliano misae)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
6  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Jul29 Jun15 (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
7  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Sep07 Jul29 Jul08 May26 Apr21 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
 
CT-5   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY SPARROW Oct07 Aug26 Aug04 Jan20 Nov09 (conn linda )MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
2  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Oct26 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Jul13 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 8% 11.70    
3  WAGER WORTHY Oct19 Sep16 Aug26 Jun16 May26 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
4  PEARLY GHOST Oct07 Aug26 Jul20 Jun16 May12 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
5  ELLIES AT WINDSOR Oct07 Sep16 Aug24 Aug11 Jul20 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
7  GLOBAL EMPRESS Oct21 May19 Apr21 Jan19 Nov26 (couchenour lee)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
8  APPEALING ROAD Oct26 Oct07 Sep16 Aug19 Jul13 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 1.60    
9  SNEAKY LYNK Oct26 Sep16 Aug24 Jul01 Jun10 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 10% 9.10    
 
CT-6   11/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABENDEGO Oct19 Sep07 Aug04 Jul15 Jun03 (greaves vernon)REAP E 120 12.00    
2  REATA'S CASTLE Oct16 Sep28 Sep08 Jul29 Jul08 (collyer jami)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
3  PINNACLE REEF Oct16 Aug31 Aug04 Jul13 May26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 113 5.00    
4  ONE CANDY CASTLE Oct28 Oct07 Aug26 Jul13 May26 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
5  JUBA BOUND Oct21 Sep28 Sep15 Aug25 Aug17 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  DE'S CASTLE Oct27 Oct05 Aug31 Aug04 Jul15 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.50 9% 10.30    
7  RIVER WARRIOR RVF Oct21 Mar31 Jan19 Jun09 May13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
CT-7   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLETE SURPRISE Oct26 Sep20 Aug12 Jul08 Jun10 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 11% 8.20    
2  DULCIMER DAME Jun10 May09 Mar30 Mar23 Mar04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
3  TUNSTALL Aug31 Jul16 Jun18 May02 Nov23 (dollinger-st)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
4  SUPER RENEE Oct06 Sep17 Aug17 Jul13 Jun17 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
5  FULL MOON LOVER Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 Jul01 Jun03 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 15% 5.60    
6  SIDESWIPED Oct26 Oct05 Sep18 Aug18 Jul27 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50    
7  CAJUN COUSIN Sep14 Aug24 Jul12 Jun18 May23 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
8  LACE REVOLUTION Oct26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun10 May05 (shanley mark)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   11/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. CELLULAR Mar22 Feb16 Jan27 Jan08 Dec11 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.40 38% 1.60    
2  SURF CITY GOLD Oct19 Oct06 Sep16 Sep07 Sep01 (mckenzie danie)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
3  VOICE OF NOW Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 Jun09 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
4  FOR HONOR AND LUCK Oct25 Oct07 Sep22 Aug19 Aug06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
5  SEIZE THE BREEZE Oct19 Oct06 Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 14% 6.20    
6  DANNY'S WINKSTER Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 Jul27 Jul08 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
7  SILVER R Oct27 Sep29 Sep16 Aug12 Aug02 (luqueno )RODRIGUEZ L 122 20.00    
8  DISTANT FIRE Sep02 Jul30 Jul07 Jun09 Apr30 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 10.00 9% 10.00    
9  SAAFEN Oct20 Oct06 Jul15 Jun01 Mar16 (rodriguez je)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
10  MISS YOU AJAX Oct19 Sep28 Sep08 Aug24 Aug11 (knoblauch-perez m)LARROSA G 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLAME B B Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Aug02 Jul12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.