Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - October 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(4/6/7/8)-(8/2/3/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/8)-(8/2/3/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/8)-(8/2/3/9/6)-(3/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (8/2/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/9/6)-(8/2/3/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/9/6)-(8/2/3/9/6)-(8/2/3/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/3/9/6)-(3/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/9/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(3/6)-(5/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(5/2/1)-(4/9/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(4/9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/5)-(4/9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/5)-(4/9/1/5)-(4/9/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWSER Sep22 Jan12 Dec28 Nov30 Nov22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 11% 8.50    
2  SWEET BEAUTY Sep21 Aug04 Jul15 Jun25 May13 (kreiser timo)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.00    
3  PEACE OUT Sep30 Sep09 Aug05 Nov21 Oct20 (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00    
4  NAIL POLISH Oct11 Sep08 Aug31 Aug03 Jul07 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  UNION FOLLY Sep15 Aug31 Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 (arnold pamela)CORA D 122 6.00    
6  ARROGANTE Sep15 Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 5.00 14% 6.30    
 
PEN-2   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Sep27 Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 Jun14 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
2  ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE Sep08 Aug16 Jul21 Jun28 Apr27 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00    
3  PHANCY PHILLY Oct09 Sep20 Aug29 Aug01 Jul24 (stites w)CORA D 122 12.00    
4  QUEEN ROSEMARY Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 Jun22 Jan19 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
5  DAILY BRIEFING Sep20 Aug19 Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 (maymo jorge)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
6  WILL TAKE ROSES Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 Jun16 May26 (bobadilla)HERNANDEZ F 120 6.00 12% 7.40    
7  JEANETTEO Oct09 Feb22 Jan27 Dec28 Nov29 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 9% 9.80    
8  KATY THE CAT Oct06 Aug17 Jul27 Jun24 May25 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULLET BREEZE Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul06 (murillo ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00    
2  JUMPING RAINBOWS         (caiazzo corby)CONNER TYLER 123 15.00 8% 10.90    
3  GURT'S WARRIOR Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 Jul13 Jun15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.50 8% 10.90    
4  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE Sep22 Sep07 May26 May05   (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00    
5  ON THE CHILL Sep15 Jul28 Oct07     (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 8.00    
6  MOMENT AT SEA Sep03 Aug25 Jul15 Jun28 May30 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRALINESALLSHOOKUP Sep22 Sep01       (stites w)CHIAPPE R 123 10.00    
8  BANJO Sep22 Sep01 Aug09 Jul13 Jun30 (arnold pamela)CORA D 123 2.50 54% 0.90    
9  BEST EVER         (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 121 12.00 5% 17.30    
10  BEJUCO Sep15 Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 Feb24 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 123 5.00    
 
PEN-4   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWWA OF LOVE Oct11 Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 Jul18 (caban carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00    
2  EARLY FROST Sep13 Aug18 Jul26 Jul14 Jun16 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
3  SHATTER ME Sep22 Aug17 Jul14 May17 Apr21 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
4  QUEEN'S DREAM Oct14 Sep22 Aug16 Jul14 Jun21 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  PEAK OF CHIC Sep25 Jun12 May25 May04 Mar27 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 2.00    
6  BILLIEANNE Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jun30 May31 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 5% 17.90    
7  POSITIVE FORCE Sep22 Aug17 Aug08 Jul14 Jun28 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   10/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  P JS SILVER DUKE Sep14 Apr20 Mar22 Feb17 Dec28 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
2  MY REDEMPTION Oct10 Aug31 Jul27 Jul12 May03 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
3  DR. STEVE Sep26 Aug18 Jun28 Jun01 Apr20 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 1.40 76% 0.30    
SCR  TRENDING UP Aug18 Jul26 Jun29 Jun02 May17 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00    
5  NOBLE JON Oct06 Aug02 Jul12 Jun18 Jun01 (moreno ti)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00    
6  BEE BY THE SEA Oct04 Sep23 Aug26 Aug06 Jul28 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  CARGO SHIP Sep07 Aug08 Jul20 Jun20 May31 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   10/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPINNING MUSICIAN Oct09 Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.00 11% 7.80    
2  BLUEBERRY MASH Sep15 Jul06 Jun15 May17 Apr26 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 14% 6.00    
3  MIDNIGHT STRIKES Oct07 Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 Jul19 (lucas bonnie)HIRALDO JOHN 119 6.00    
4  TEMPESTUOUS Oct17 Feb15 Jan16 Jan04 Dec07 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 6.00    
5  BE ONBOARD Sep28 Jan07 Dec06 Nov09 Aug23 (kreiser timo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  SWEEPIN HARD Sep15 Aug09 Jul06 Jun15 May17 (jacklin theod)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
SCR  MERCURY TEN Sep15 Aug30 Aug09 Jul06 Jun11 (shuman ma)HERNANDEZ A 118 8.00    
 
PEN-7   10/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A J'S TOWN Sep22         (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 4.00 9% 9.70    
2  MADISON COUNTY Oct04 Sep22 Sep06 Jul13 Jun27 (harigeorgiou kons)BAKER J 123 15.00    
3  PRIDEFUL VILLANO Jul19         (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 20.00    
4  WISE CHOICE Sep14 Aug25 Jul19 Jun16 May25 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  FAIRVIEW Sep22 May24 May11 Apr26 Mar10 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISSING A SOCK Oct18 Sep29 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00    
7  FIRE EYE Sep13         (carpio erin)INIRIO J 124 20.00    
8  DANCEWITHTHEBAND Sep06         (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00    
9  DOCTOR TEE Sep22 Sep14       (kreiser c)CORA D 123 1.80 31% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.