Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (4/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/5)-(7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/5)-(7/6/8)-(10/3/5/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (7/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/8)-(7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/8)-(10/3/5/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8)-(10/3/5/6/8)-(9/8/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (10/3/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/5/6/8)-(10/3/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/5/6/8)-(10/3/5/6/8)-(10/3/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/5/6/8)-(9/8/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/5/6/8)-(9/8/1/5)-(3/7/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (9/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/5)-(9/8/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/5)-(9/8/1/4/5)-(9/8/1/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/8/1/5)-(3/7/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/5)-(3/7/9/1)-(7/9/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-5   WIN (3/7/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/9/1)-(3/7/9/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/9/1)-(3/7/9/10/1)-(3/7/9/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/9/1)-(7/9/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/9/1)-(7/9/8/4)-(10/6/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-6   WIN (7/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/4)-(7/9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/4)-(7/9/8/4)-(7/9/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/8/4)-(10/6/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/8/4)-(10/6/8/4)-(5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (10/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/4)-(10/6/8/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/8/4)-(10/6/8/1/4)-(10/6/8/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/8/4)-(5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/6/8/4)-(5/6/7)-(6/8/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(6/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3)-(6/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   10/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED ON THE HEAD Aug10 Jul27 Jun23 May13 Feb16 (courville )ALBERT S 118 5.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  PALLATON Jun23 Jun01 Apr29 Feb28   (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00    
3  HALF CRAZY Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May10 (boxie s)FUSILIER C 117 15.00    
4  GROSSE TETE IAN Sep09 Aug03 Jul22 Jun30 Jun02 (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  WAUCHULA         (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 120 20.00 6% 14.70    
6  STRIKE A BARGAIN Sep02 Jul24 Jun24     (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00    
7  INGLIS Sep05 Aug12 Jul28 Jul15 Jun30 (patt roland)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
8  ARKANSAS ZONG Aug10 Jul21 Jul07 Jun17 Jun01 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.00 16% 5.10    
9  KNIGHT OF HONOR Sep05 Aug14 Jun10 Feb09 Nov30 (nelson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00    
10  LOVELY SASSICAIA Aug10         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 117 8.00    
SCR  CATALINA DAY         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 117 12.00    
 
DED-2   10/07/2023 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYOU BEAUX Sep04 Aug13 Jul29 Jul04 Jun16 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00    
SCR  FULL IMPACT Sep12 Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 12.00    
3  GENTLEMAN'S SECRET Sep13 Sep04 Aug20 Jul26 Jul13 (broberg k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 4.50    
4  JUSTIN SPEIGHT Jul23 Jul15 May27 May05 Apr01 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 117 5.00    
SCR  LAUNCHED Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 Mar19 Mar04 (hibdon n)EDWARDS JAVIS 115 8.00    
6  PRIZELESS Feb22 Feb04 Jan07 Dec17 Dec01 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  OIL MONEY Jul07 Jun11 Mar26 Feb26 Jul08 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 3.50 32% 2.20    
8  WILD BERT May26 May06 Feb25 Jan27 Dec22 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
DED-3   10/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARION ROSES GIRL         (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 120 8.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of D D'S DELIGHT by HALF OURS)
2  BETONYA Jun11 May30       (venzor j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of SLEW CITY LOU by SLEW CITY SLEW)
3  MOLTO VINO         (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SPECIAL BLESSING by FLAT OUT)
4  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Aug26 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25   (villafranco mart)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of TIZ A' GREELEY by TIZNOW)
5  BUCKSKIN JERRY Sep10 Aug04 Jul14     (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BUCKSKIN DOLL by DIXIE UNION)
6  CUSTOM SUNSHINE Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 May13   (pomier de)ROSIER R 120 6.00 6% 16.70    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of SYNAPSE by SYNASTRY)
7  ASTROLOGY GIRL Aug04 Jul07       (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of SPICY ABBY by WITH DISTINCTION)
8  F J'S CHAOS         (maturin chad)STOKES J 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of MYSTIC BLUE by GOLD SAGA)
9  RACHEL'S GEM         (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of RACH'SLASTSCARF by HALF OURS)
10  GIRL LIKES BLING Aug05 Jul07 Jun25     (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by EL DEAL out of MOONLIT BAYOU by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  GOOD N SASSY         (henry eric)MELANCON G 120 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CLASSY GREY LASSY by SILVER TRAIN)
SCR  TAKE HER AWAY Jul17 Jun25 Jun11     (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of WALK AWAY RULER by ROMAN RULER)
 
DED-4   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THISONESFORLOVE Dec04 Nov17       (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 114 6.00 6% 17.20    
2  CINCY'S ANNA Aug12 May20 Apr15 Mar24   (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 12.00    
3  WA WA WEE WA Sep03 Aug05 Jul09 Aug04 Jul23 (silva )GUERRERO ANDRES 114 20.00    
4  LOUISIANA COWGIRL Sep02 Mar09 Dec10 Nov22 Nov05 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 5.00 ★    
5  CRYSTAL D'ORO Jul22 Jul08 Jun03 May05 Apr15 (landry ray)STOKES J 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LAST OF THE NILE Jul08 Jun02 May11 Apr27 Apr08 (castille carrol)MELANCON G 114 8.00    
SCR  BOARDWALK QUEEN Sep02 Jul27 Nov24 Oct30 Sep25 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 114 10.00    
8  MALIBU TOAST Jun23 Apr28 Mar24 Feb25 Dec31 (noel dane)ROSIER R 117 4.00 28% 2.60    
9  FORGOTTEN FORTUNE Sep04 Aug12 Jul08 May20 Dec30 (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 114 2.50 39% 1.50    
10  LA VILLANA Sep12 Jun09 May11 Mar24 Mar01 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 12.00    
SCR  RING TWICE Sep08 Apr08 Mar25 Feb19 Feb05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 6.00    
SCR  TEASE ME NOT Aug12 Jul21 Nov26     (bourgeois keit)THORNTON G 114 12.00    
 
DED-5   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE NIGHT CRUISER Sep13         (bryant)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of UNBELIEVABLE DREAM by KITALPHA)
2  DREWMANIA Sep07         (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of COWGIRL LASS by THE BIG BEAST)
3  PURE MALICE Sep28 Sep16 Sep01 Jul04   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PURE CLAN by PURE PRIZE)
4  PAPA FLEW BOMBERS Sep12 Aug21 Aug12     (husak j)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LA BOMBA by MENIFEE)
5  EL PAJARO LOCO Sep12         (silva walter)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SUNDY SUNFLOWER by SUNDARBAN)
6  STRONG DIAMOND Aug21 Jul28 Jul04 Jun15   (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SORENSTAM by SLEWDLEDO)
7  NOT LISTENING         (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PAY ATTENTION by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
8  BABY'S LAST DANCE Jul20 Jun17       (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 117 20.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of DANCE BY EM by TAPIT)
9  DEFIANT MALICE Sep23 Aug14 Jul31     (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of YOU FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
10  FREE DROP ROB         (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 120 6.00 ★    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of ONE SHARP LADY by SHARP HUMOR)
 
DED-6   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEO D'OR Aug21 Jul23 May15 Mar10 Feb28 (dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 117 10.00    
2  JOEY'S GAME Aug21 Aug12 Jun22 May19 Apr22 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 114 12.00    
3  JEFFROW Jun08 Apr21 Mar15 Mar03 Jan11 (brinkman brett)NEGRON LUIS 117 3.50    
4  MAIN DUDE Jul10 Jun26 May06 Apr21 Mar22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Aug29 Jul29 Jul17 Jun26 Feb17 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 4.50    
SCR  PARTY LITTLE BOY Sep12 Aug28 Aug05 Jun29 Jun02 (pennino frank)STOKES J 117 15.00    
7  PINCH ME A PENNY Aug12 Jul27 Jun25 May28 Feb19 (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  BUCK DOLL TAYLOR Aug28 Aug11 Jul27 Jul15 Jun17 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 10.00 9% 9.70    
9  REDDINGANDLEE Aug21 Jul01 Jun03 May14 Mar25 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 112 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
DED-7   10/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKE THE BAND MAN Sep10 Aug13 Jul24 Jul08 May30 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 2.50 ★    
2  MORRICONE Sep10 Aug12 Jul04 May30 May08 (villafranco m)EDWARDS JAVIS 115 20.00    
3  SLITHER Aug21 Aug12 Jul29 Jun05 May15 (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
4  HOSTILE AFLEET Aug13 Jun24 May20 May08 Apr15 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MUCHO MARVIN Aug13 Aug04 Jul14 Jun16 May11 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 117 15.00    
6  SMOOTH COLLIERY Aug13 Jun24 May18 Apr21 Mar15 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 13% 7.00    
7  LAUGHINGSAINTSSONG Aug12 Jun19 Jun03 May20 May07 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.50    
8  BIG BELLA BROWN Sep02 Jun19 Jun10 Apr29 Apr15 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 112 12.00 7% 13.80    
9  LION HEART LEGEND Jun16 Apr29 Mar11 Feb25 Jan18 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
10  DOUBLE BARREL MAN Jul14 Jun09 May11 Nov30 Oct13 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 57% 0.70    
SCR  WAITIN' ON A WOMAN Aug03 Jun22 May26 Apr14 Feb11 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00    
SCR  FAREWELL TIME Sep02 Aug13 Jun30 May12 Apr21 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 8.00    
 
DED-8   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS RED BEL Sep05 Feb25 Feb11 Jan16 Dec09 (payne w)MELANCON G 117 20.00    
2  TWO MINUTE DRILL Sep11 Aug05 Jul07 Dec26 Dec02 (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
SCR  BROKE FINANCING Aug12 Jul21 Jun22 May11 Apr27 (jackson dway)MAGNON H 117 20.00    
4  MISS TULSA Jun04 May06 Mar26 Mar01 Feb03 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 2.50 ★    
5  BIRDIE CALL Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 May28 Sep25 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 114 6.00 47% 1.10    
6  WUPKAR Jun03 May05 Mar18 Mar01 Feb04 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 114 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  CARSON'S PRINCESS Sep05 Mar23 Jan15 Dec09 Sep25 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  HAMAZING DEBATE Sep05 Jul30 May29 May04 Apr01 (gonzalez jaime )POMPELL L 117 10.00    
9  MARINA'S GOLD Jul17 Jun17 Jun03 Apr28 Feb12 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50    
10  CAVE CREEK Aug12 Aug03 Jul01 Jun23 Jun02 (dussette a)ALBERT S 112 12.00    
 
DED-9   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYOND THE HYPE Aug26 Jun19 Jun05 Feb11 Dec09 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00    
2  MIDNIGHT TRIP Aug21 Jul09 Jun24 May26 May05 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 12.00    
3  BEAUX TOX Aug26 Jun12 May22 Feb28 Feb15 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 109 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  GUEST IN MY HEART Sep09 Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jul08 (altamirano eleu)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00    
5  ANN'S STORM Aug26 Jul07 Jun10 May04 Apr21 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 10.00    
6  CARPE HORSESHOE Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 Jun09 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.00 38% 1.60    
7  MY ALIBI Aug28 Aug14 Jul17 May21 Mar15 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
8  HONORARY GUEST Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 May28 Apr28 (delany sarah)MAGNON H 117 4.00 30% 2.40    
9  FASTED Jul03 Apr28 Apr13 Mar12 Feb11 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 4.50    
SCR  FINNLEYS ENCORE Apr29 Apr07 Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 (segura kearney)STOKES J 114 15.00    
SCR  SHE'S MY PRIORITY Aug26 Jun29 Jun09 May27 May05 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.