Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - October 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (3/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/4)-(3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/4)-(3/1)-(1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/4/8)-(4/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/8)-(1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8)-(4/8/7)-(7/8/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/7)-(4/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/7)-(4/8/7)-(4/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7)-(7/8/6/1)-(1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/1)-(1/3/2)-(5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(5)-(1/8/2) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
BTP-7   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(1/8/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   10/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIGERT Sep21 Aug29 Aug16 Aug03 May17 (caramori eduar)REYES R 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
2  CANCERFREE KIDS Sep16 Aug30 Aug04     (hester hale)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 10.00    
3  CASINO ANNIE Sep21 Aug31 Mar19 Jan20   (brafford michelle)OUZTS W 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  VOGELSANG Sep08 Jul29 Jun27 Jun06 May24 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 2.00 6% 14.70    
5  ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Sep16 Aug29 Jul29 Jul12 Jun17 (bush s)MOJICA JR 124 5.00 18% 4.40    
6  AMATTEROFPRINCIPLE Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13   (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
7  BONITA D'ORO Aug24 Aug13 Aug02 Oct13 Aug26 (brafford michelle)FELIX E 121 6.00    
8  FELLA'S SISTER Sep21         (kendall elise)LEBRON VICTOR 121 8.00    
 
BTP-2   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROSECUTION Sep24 Aug18 Jul14 Nov15 Sep16 (claire alexis)MCKEE J 118 1.80 17% 4.80    
2  JACKPOT BOY Sep16 Sep04 Aug17 Jul13 Jul05 (perez manny)COLON H 121 4.00    
3  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 (roberson denn)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
4  GOOD SOUL Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 Jul14 Jun30 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 118 3.50    
SCR  SOLOS HONOR Aug31         (anderson susa)CANUTO THIAGO 118 10.00    
6  ALY STONE Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 (holton rebe)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 6.00    
 
BTP-3   10/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINKY TUSCADERO Sep22 Aug10 Jul05 Jun10 May31 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  GRANADICA Sep13 Aug18 Jul19 Jul06 May20 (sandy steph)PETERSON FERRIN 123 4.00    
3  MORNING LINE NEWS Sep23 Sep02 Aug15 Jul27 Jul01 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 123 5.00    
4  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Sep20 Jul05 Jun10 May05 Apr26 (hernandez)CORREA L 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  SENTIMENTALJOURNEY Sep23 Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jun24 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.50    
SCR  JILL BABE Jul16 Jun21 Jun01 May17 Sep04 (stephen antho)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00    
SCR  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Aug29 Aug10 May02 Apr06 Mar28 (bates l)COLON H 123 8.00    
8  WARIS Sep27 Jul08 Jun21 May25 May04 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 123 10.00 6% 14.40    
 
BTP-4   10/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHOTGUN PRO Aug26 Jun04 May13     (james gerald)PANAIJO JORGE 120 20.00    
  (by UPSTART out of FAST FRANNY by FREUD)
2  REVENGE TOUR Sep23 Aug26 Aug18 Jul29 Jul12 (short travis)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 10.00    
  (by TOURIST out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  KING BUKELE Sep16 Sep02 Jul30     (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 120 12.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUPER CUB by OLD TRIESTE)
4  GAPPER Sep23 Sep13 Aug26 Aug15   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TAKE CHARGE GIRL by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
5  UNION RUN Sep14         (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 115 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CLICK YOUR HEELS by PULPIT)
6  CROWNED JEWEL Sep05         (harty eoin)MOJICA JR 120 4.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRIDE'S GOLD by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
7  THREEWHITESOLDIERS Aug26 Jul20       (morey e)FELIX E 120 2.50 16% 5.10    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of QUALITY ROSE by QUALITY ROAD)
8  TWO MORE SHOTS Sep16 Jul29 Jul03     (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ROYALLY FLUSHED Sep23 Sep05 Aug18 Jul12 Jun23 (short travi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
BTP-5   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Sep15 Aug12 Jul08 Jun08 May19 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 5.00 9% 9.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT J J Sep23 Sep06 Aug04 Jul07 Jun13 (brownfield claude)OUZTS W 124 4.00    
3  FIRING RANGE Sep23 Sep13 Aug23 Jul12 Jun17 (esquivel jesu)PANAIJO JORGE 124 12.00    
4  DUDLEY Sep15 Aug23 Aug05 Jul19 Jun30 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00    
5  BIG BLUE Sep13 Sep03 Aug13 Jul26 Jul09 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
6  HIGH POWERED Sep15 Aug05 Jul22 Jul07 Jun08 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 8.00 11% 8.10    
7  TOPPING Sep16 Aug23 Aug09 Jun23 Jun09 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
8  CAPPY HOUR Sep21 Sep02 Aug12 Aug04 Jul07 (adams l)HESS SARA 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
9  GENERATOR Sep11 Aug04 Jul05 Jun07 May06 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 6.00    
SCR  GET CLEAR Sep15 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Aug18 (sands sh)STRANDBERG MALLORY 121 20.00    
 
BTP-6   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEVER TALE Sep14 Aug16 Jul26 Jun09 May13 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
2  OLIVIA'S JOY Sep20 Sep03 Aug10 Jul26 Jun10 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 120 3.00 6% 16.60    
3  JOAN'S WAY Sep15 Aug22 Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 (silva carlos )LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  YOU'RE A DANDY Sep21 Sep08 Aug30 Aug15 Aug04 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 8.00    
5  LITTLE LUCERITO Aug26 Jul31 Jun21 Jun01 Nov28 (fernandez)CORREA L 120 4.50    
6  MY ANGELICA Sep22 Sep09 Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 (pinzon maria)MARCANO Y 115 4.00    
 
BTP-7   10/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN ALLIANCE Sep21 Aug23 Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 (rodriguez hugo)LEZCANO ABEL 121 8.00    
2  ELLIE DELI Sep13 Aug31 Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 (danner do)CORREA L 117 3.50    
3  CELESTIAL SPIN Sep21 Sep02 Jul30 Jun04 May18 (cristel mark)MARCANO Y 116 6.00    
SCR  GOOD MONGOLIA Sep04 Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 Jun11 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
5  TRAUMARAMA Sep23 Aug16 Jul21 Jul01 Jun21 (patrick gary)MCKEE J 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  LUCKY ROAD Sep11 Feb01 Dec20 Nov29 Nov14 (gotera juan )TERRAZA GERMAN 116 8.00    
SCR  FORGLO Sep23 Aug05 Jul08 Jun22 Jun08 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00 9% 10.10    
 
BTP-8   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMBA TWENTY FOUR Sep17 Sep01 Aug12 Aug04 Jul16 (stephen antho)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
2  HEY RAY Sep01 Jul26 Jun22 May19 Apr27 (sandy steph)PETERSON FERRIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  KEEN ON YOU Sep27 Sep10 Aug18 Aug09 May19 (cundiff wayl)MARCANO Y 117 6.00    
4  TORNADO BOY Sep20 Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 (melancon paul)BUSH V 122 12.00    
5  TOMAHAWK KITTEN Sep20 Sep02 Aug18 Aug01 Jul13 (jarvis ka)CORREA L 125 4.00 ★    
SCR  LOOK AWAY Sep14 Aug30 Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 (jones s)COLON H 122 5.00    
7  MONEY PIT Sep23 Sep13 Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 122 10.00    
8  FAITHFUL KING Sep23 Sep09 Aug05 Jul19 Jun06 (watkins m)MCKEE J 119 2.50 12% 7.50    
9  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Sep06 Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 Jun01 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.