Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/5)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(4/6)-(2/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(2/6/3)-(6/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(6/7/5)-(8/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(8/7/6)-(2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (8/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/6)-(8/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/6)-(8/7/6)-(8/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6)-(2/6)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(3/1/7/5)-(8/3/7/6/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/5)-(8/3/7/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/3/7/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/6/4)-(8/3/7/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/6/4)-(8/3/7/6/4)-(8/3/7/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   10/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAWARD Sep14 Aug16 Aug05 Jul26 Jun22 (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 121 5.00    
2  LIVE IT UP Sep21 Aug05 Jul21 Jul08 Jun21 (shifflett cheryl)MCKEE J 121 4.00    
SCR  COMMAND POINT Sep03 Aug23 Jul27 Jun18 Jun04 (block chris)COLON H 121 3.50    
4  UNWHIRLED Aug19 Jul25 May31 Mar24 Feb24 (reed r)FELIX E 121 6.00    
5  TAPERINEA Sep03 Aug19 Jul27 Jun21 May29 (meraz antonio)MOJICA JR 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  SUM KINDA PRETTY Sep20 Sep09 Aug30 Aug11 Jul27 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 8.00    
7  DICHOTOMY Sep18 Sep06 Aug23 Jul19 Jun21 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
BTP-2   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAKER'S MAN Sep09 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul19 (lauer michael)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
SCR  OVER CALENDARED Sep22 Aug23 Aug09 Aug01 Jul12 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 117 4.50    
SCR  MONKEY ZONE Sep23 Sep14 Aug12 Jul19 Jul07 (curtsinger mar)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00    
4  HENDRIX Sep20 Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 May20 (alvarez nery)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  GIVE GOD PRAISE Aug31 Aug03 Jul19 Jun23 Jun07 (bush s)BUSH V 119 3.00    
6  JOHNNY'S MOMENT Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 Jun08 May12 (warpool shane)MOJICA JR 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
BTP-3   10/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRERY TALE Sep01 Jul13 Jun18 Jun04 May14 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
2  SUPREME SONG Sep14 Aug23 Aug03 Jul14 Jun16 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 2.50 53% 0.90    
3  NO HANG CHARLIE Sep08 Aug23 Aug12 Jul22 Jul07 (woodbury jud)MARCANO Y 115 6.00 7% 12.90    
4  NOT YET CHARLIE Aug31 Aug03 Jul13 Jul01 Jun12 (cline rob)CORREA L 120 5.00    
5  SONO GRATO Aug30 Aug15 Jul19 Jul04 Apr15 (watkins m)FELIX E 120 4.50    
6  RIVER BOY Sep15 Aug30 Aug17 Jul08 Jun15 (claire alexis)MCKEE J 116 3.00 14% 6.10    
 
BTP-4   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANCIENT BROWN Sep16 Aug23 Jul21 Jul10 Jun07 (donjuan sergi)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 6.00    
2  SHEZA HOOT Sep16 Aug23 Aug12 Aug03 Jul21 (roque elis)CANUTO THIAGO 124 10.00    
3  C V THUNDER Sep16 Sep07 Aug19 Aug12 Jul21 (hernandez javi)REYES R 124 8.00    
SCR  ROYAL TO BE Jul12 Jun24 Jun14 May24 May11 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 119 3.00    
5  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Sep16 Aug10 Jul07 Jun21 May13 (haehn r)BUSH V 124 4.50 8% 11.70    
6  SUMMER STORM Aug12 Jul25 Jul05 Jul10 Jun18 (rice anthony)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 3.50 49% 1.00    
7  MY ROSIE Sep14 Aug10 Jun14 May11 Apr27 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
BTP-5   10/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED CHEEKS Sep23 Jul13 May31     (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00    
2  MUD PUDDLE Nov06         (waltz brian)ACHARD ALEX 124 12.00    
3  UNUSUAL ACTIVITY Jul29         (thomas jonathan)HEARD TYLER 120 2.50    
4  RAGING WHIRLWIND Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 Jun30 (chain pearl)BUSH V 124 20.00    
SCR  THE POINT ROAD Sep20 Aug31 Aug15 Aug03 Jul06 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00    
6  LIAMS LAD Sep23 Sep06 Aug04 Jul12 Jun20 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
7  DRAMA CRITIC Aug29 Jul31 Jun21 May30 May09 (asmussen st)STILLION BROOKE 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
8  SOUTHERN BREEZE Sep23 Sep01 Aug16 Oct16 Jul17 (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
BTP-6   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSE IMA ROSE Aug31         (guida antho)STERRITT KENDAL 121 8.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROSE KNOWS SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
2  IMAGE OF LOVE Sep06 Aug03 May27 Apr09 Mar04 (margolis s)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BRUSHED BY A STAR by EDDINGTON)
3  SKI SLOPE Sep16 Mar25 Feb09 Dec07 Nov22 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 121 4.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of HER MAJESTY'S FLAG by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  STORMINATOR         (bennett r)CORREA L 124 8.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
5  ROLO BOLO Apr27 Mar31 Feb23 Feb01 Jan01 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  UNREGRETTED Sep03 Aug16       (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 3.00 15% 5.70    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of RAMBLING RHONDA by TAPIZAR)
 
BTP-7   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD LIGHTING Sep15 Aug18 Aug04 Jul13 Apr21 (mendieta alej)PANAIJO JORGE 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
2  VENICE BEACH Sep16 Aug23 Jul29 Jun29 May22 (esquivel )CORREA L 122 4.50    
3  CUT GLASS Jul21 Jun15 May27 May18 Apr27 (howard d)REYES R 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  PARKER Sep21 Sep09 Aug30 Aug26 May30 (melancon paul)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
5  I'M EVER READY         (haehn r)BUSH V 122 5.00 12% 7.00    
6  WHEREWEGOIN Sep21 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jun01 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 122 3.50    
7  NYOMAN Aug30 Aug06 Jul05 Jun18 May31 (villa francisc)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
8  LOCK ON Sep07 Aug09 Jul29 Jul13 Jun23 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00    
 
BTP-8   10/03/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS EASY Sep20 Sep05 Jul13 Jun20 May31 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50    
1A  MOTOWN MISCHIEF Sep07 Aug10 Jun21 Mar29 Jan22 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50    
SCR  SWEET OUTLOOK Oct12 Sep12 Aug10 Jul07 Jun20 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 123 20.00    
3  BALI DOVE (FR) Aug31 Jul13 Jun08 Apr30 Feb11 (west m)MCKEE J 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  MY HEAD HURTS Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 (alessi james)HESS SARA 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  MS. THE LAW Aug10 Jun20 May25 May10 Apr18 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
6  JUSTA SIMPLE GIRL Sep14 Sep05 Mar23 Feb25 Feb02 (claire alexis)OUZTS W 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
7  BLEST LIFE Sep16 Aug12 Jul21 Jun29 Jun01 (haehn r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 18% 4.60    
8  MORNIN' BOSS Sep07 Aug31 Aug10 Jul16 Jun24 (hernandez)CORREA L 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
9  CRYSTAL SNOW Aug31 Aug17 Aug02 Jul12 Jun14 (cristel mark)MARCANO Y 118 8.00    
10  WHISKEY DIAMOND Sep16 Aug31 Aug03 Jul05 Oct29 (bush s)BUSH V 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.