Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(5/4)-(2/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(2/5)-(6/8) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/8)-(6/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/8)-(6/2/3)-(5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(5/2)-(5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/4)-(1/5/11/10) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/5/11/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/5/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/11/10)-(1/5/11/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/11/10)-(1/5/11/10)-(1/5/11/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Jul15 Jun07 May26 Mar21 Mar06 (tooley jenn)PETERSON FERRIN 120 4.00    
2  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Jul13 Jun24 Jun02 May05 Apr06 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 115 1.80 43% 1.30    
3  ROAD TO MUSIC CITY Aug11 Jun24 Jun09 May18 Jul26 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 4.50    
4  MURRY SPUR May24 Apr13 Apr04 Mar09 Feb13 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.50    
5  LUCK OF THE CAT Oct07 Jul26       (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
BTP-2   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I SAID HEY Aug10 Jul26 Jul05 Jun03 Apr28 (lopez a)REYES R 120 4.00    
SCR  LADY MECHANIC Aug28 Aug15 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 (lopez e)PANAIJO JORGE 120 8.00    
3  SUPORB Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 Jun03 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 3.00    
4  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Aug10 May02 Apr06 Mar28 Feb14 (gorham ro)CORREA L 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
5  ROLLESTON Aug02 Jul08 May19 May04 Feb24 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  MERRY OF SOUL Aug10 Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 122 3.50    
 
BTP-3   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ELIANA Aug09 Jul27 Jun30 Jan12 Dec16 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 122 3.50    
2  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Jul27 Jun30 Aug13 Aug02 Jul14 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  TIZ MORNING LIGHT Jul22 Jul05 Oct04 Sep21   (howard d)REYES R 122 4.00    
4  ZACHS GOLDEN OLDIE Aug04 Jul20 Jul08 Jun23 May18 (hernandez d)JIMENEZ J 122 6.00    
5  MIZZEN THE POINT Aug09 May17 Mar30     (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
BTP-4   08/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARMY SCOUT Jul07 Jun11 May19 Apr27 Mar16 (olivo k)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
2  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Aug05 Jun17 May27 May16 Apr26 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
3  SILENT CHAOS Aug01 Jul08 Jun23 May12 May06 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
SCR  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Jun09 May06 Apr22 Apr02 Mar17 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 30.00    
5  AMENDED Jul27 Jun09 May18 Mar31 Mar10 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
6  OVER THE CHANNEL Feb08 Jan12 Dec16 Nov20 Mar27 (caramori caio)REYES R 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  SMOKEY LEE Aug11 Jul16 May31 Apr19 Mar31 (cundiff wayl)MARCANO Y 115 10.00    
8  COME SEE ABOUT IT Jul19 Jun24 May17 Mar14 Feb23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  BASTIEN LE BROWN Aug12 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 Jun22 (donjuan serg)MARCANO Y 115 15.00    
SCR  HEZA HANDFUL Jul18 Jun22 May29 May08 Apr04 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
 
BTP-5   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPETITIVE FIRE Aug10 Jul26 Jun24 May25 May05 (tomlinson )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 4.50    
2  BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB Aug04 Jul20 Jul07 Jun14 May04 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  BEACH KITTEN Aug10 Jul06 Jun16 May18 May02 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 120 2.50 12% 7.30    
4  MARKET OF STOCKS Aug10 Jul26 Jun10 Dec10 Nov23 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00    
5  SPICY SOMMELIER Dec10 Nov25 Nov07 Sep17 Aug29 (catalano w)MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 6.00    
6  MY TOMMY LEE Aug03 Mar11 Jan25 Jan05 Dec09 (sands shane)CANUTO THIAGO 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
BTP-6   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEAUTYATITSBEST Aug26         (clark robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 8.00    
2  K S GERALDINE Jun13 Jun22 May30     (douglass devarus)HESS SARA 115 12.00 12% 7.40    
3  TRANQUIL TIMES Aug05 Jul21 Jun30     (fernandez ke)MARCANO Y 119 4.00    
4  KINGMAKING (GB) Jul27 Jul08 Jun29 Jun10 May22 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS null      
5  PROUD PERFORMER Aug01 Jul08 May04 Apr06 Feb15 (king l)OUZTS W 120 4.50 45% 1.20    
6  SOUTHERN MESA Aug05 Jul21 Sep14     (royal madelyn)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 6.00    
7  SHORT ON THE SUGAR Aug11 Jul21       (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50    
 
BTP-7   08/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING RUTH Aug12 Jul21 Dec15 Oct04 Aug09 (thomas mark)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00    
2  BELIEVING (IRE) Jul29 Jun24 Jun09 May17 May04 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 1.60    
SCR  NORTHERN DIAMOND Aug16 Jan25 Dec29 Sep28 Sep02 (hartman chris)MCKEE J 120 3.00    
4  DESTINY'S DARLING Jul29 Jun24 Jun09 May17 Jan28 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
5  WAVE SKIPPER Oct28 Sep14 Aug10     (greenhill jef)LEBRON VICTOR 116 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
BTP-8   08/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIE'S KITTEN Aug05 Jul29 Jul12 Apr16 Mar10 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 120 4.50 34% 2.00    
2  LADY BIRD KISSES Jul27 Jul14 Jul05 Jun23 Jun01 (royal madelyn)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 30.00    
3  DARTIGA Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 Mar31 Mar15 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00    
4  BIRD SET FREE Aug05 Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 Apr18 (pitts c)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00    
5  SWIGERT Aug16 Aug03 May17 Mar23 Feb11 (caramori eduar)REYES R 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  CAPTIVE STAR Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 May12 Apr26 (cline robert)MARCANO Y 115 30.00    
SCR  BLOSSOM DIVA Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 Jun01 (galindo-t)CORREA L 120 20.00    
8  UNCOMMON GRACE Jul29 Jul03       (minnock g)OUZTS W 120 12.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT XO Aug26 Aug01 Jun08 Mar18 Feb18 (hancock dan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 30.00    
10  ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Jul29 Jul12 Jun17 May26 May11 (bush s)MOJICA JR 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
11  SATIS Jul27 Feb16 Jan25 Dec07   (beck rowena)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  FASHION IDOL Jul20 May19 Aug19 Jul22   (molloy thomas)HEARD TYLER 120 2.50    
SCR  MACI'S GEMSTONE Aug17 Jul29 Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 (short thomas)MARCANO Y 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.