Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - August 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (6/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/5)-(6/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/5)-(6/9/8/5)-(6/9/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/8/5)-(1/8/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/9/8/5)-(1/8/5/9)-(1/8/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/9)-(1/8/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/9)-(1/8/5/9)-(1/8/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/5/9)-(1/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/9)-(1/8/10)-(4/9/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/10)-(1/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/10)-(1/8/10)-(1/8/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/10)-(4/9/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/10)-(4/9/2/8)-(5/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/9/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/8)-(4/9/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/8)-(4/9/2/8)-(4/9/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/2/8)-(5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/2/8)-(5/4/7)-(3/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   08/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FED CHAIR Aug04 Jul20 Jul07 Jun09 Apr26 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00    
SCR  TUDOX OPPORTUNITY Jul27 Jun30       (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 118 10.00    
HOLY MOLY MOSES Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 May23 Mar13 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
CONDITION ONE Aug04 Jul20 Jun21 May31 May10 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
SACHMO Aug04 Jul20 Jul07 Jun21 May29 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 6% 15.90    
SILK WAR Aug04 Jul15 May29 Oct14 Jul30 (graham edward)CORA D 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
BAVARIA Aug10 Aug04 Jun22 Mar29 Mar17 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 30.00    
ECONOMIC POWER Jun29 Jun01 May12 Mar16 Mar02 (ramirez ric)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 7% 13.60    
SAKETUMI Aug04 Jul19 Jun09 May06 Oct11 (dowling wil)INIRIO J 120 2.50 9% 9.80    
 
PEN-2   08/23/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NITRO TIME Aug11 Jun19 Mar30 Feb11 Jan21 (comi ralph )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  NAUTICAL NATURE Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 Mar23 Mar02 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 50.00    
FLASHINTHENIGHT Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 May28 May07 (salvaggio jr)CORA D 120 6.00    
KING ECLIPTICAL Aug14 Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 Oct25 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
UNSOCIABLE May14 Apr16 Mar19 Jan14 Nov25 (kelly blake)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  GONE INZANE Aug08 Aug03 Jul05 Jun21 Nov12 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
KASIM Jul05 Mar11 Feb17 Jan22 Dec15 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
GRAB THE GOLD Aug08 Jul12 Jun21 May18 Apr28 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
CASH IN A FLASH Aug08 Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 May31 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  STANHOPE Aug08 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May17 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 20.00    
SCR  MERU Aug05 Jul24 Jul10 Jun13 May29 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 20.00    
 
PEN-3   08/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANFORD Jul26 Jun29 May26 Nov04 Oct21 (bennett juanit)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40 38% 1.70    
SCR  HE'S SO FUNNY Jul28         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 20.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SIR STEELE Jul28 Jul19 Jun28 May26 May05 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.00    
UPTOWNJACOB BROWN Aug08 Jul26 Jun29 Jun14 Oct06 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
NORTHERN VIRGINIA Aug02 Jun14       (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 12.00    
MONEY MAKING KAZ May05         (synnefias panag)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
SCR  TWIST OF FAITH Jul19 Jul06 Jun17 Jul10 Jun22 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
BOOK RUNNER Aug02 Jul21 Jun29 May26 Mar31 (salinas jose)CORA D 122 12.00 9% 10.70    
FIFTH ELEMENT Jun29 May26 Mar08 Feb01 Jan19 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00    
10  BEJUCO Aug02 Jul21 Feb24 Feb10 Jan12 (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  ICANDOTHAT Jul14 Jun18 Jun02 Nov05 Oct21 (mcdermott)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  HENDERSON May31 Mar04 Nov05 Oct21 Sep17 (rubley ke)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00    
 
PEN-4   08/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN EXPRESS         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ANOTHER LIKE YOU by JUMP START)
CONTEMPTUOUS MISS         (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of CONTEMPTUOUS by GOLD TOKEN)
WILD CREATION Jul28 Jul18 May23     (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 6.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of WILD ORATION by ORATORY)
UNIVERSAL DESIGN         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by FLASHBACK out of OVIDIENNE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
CHEERFUL TROUT         (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 8.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of BUCK TROUT'S NIECE by WAQUOIT)
SCR  LETTERFROMTHEQUEEN         (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of METEORIC MATRON by MINESHAFT)
MARY'S REWARD         (crane clovis)CORA D 118 8.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
WAC IS FAST         (perez ernesto)CECIL Y 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WAC by LOST SOLDIER)
KAZ' ROSE         (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by BRETHREN out of DARBY ROSE by RED BULLET)
 
PEN-5   08/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ MUSIC Jul28 Jul06 Jun16 May25   (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50    
DIVINARY Jul11 Jun26 May09 Apr12 Mar07 (caban e)CASTILLO A 120 3.00    
BUNNY BONUS Jul11 Jan17 Nov21     (preciado)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.00    
WILL OR WON'T Jul28 Jul03 Jun13 May31 May12 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
DRY HUMOR Jul06 Feb01 Jan04 Oct08 Sep17 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
LET'S GO MO Aug04 Jul12 Jun20 May18 Apr21 (miller a)CORA D 122 20.00    
INTRO Aug05 Feb17 Jan11 Dec10 Dec02 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 8% 11.00    
 
PEN-6   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZILLION Jul03 May31 May10 Apr19 Mar15 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  CARGO SHIP Aug08 Jul20 Jun20 May31 May17 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50    
JUMPMASTER Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May17 Apr27 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 38% 1.70    
SON OF A BEAST Jul27 Jul06 Jun09 May18 May04 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
CAERUS Apr20 Mar26 Mar10 Mar04 Feb12 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00    
MAGIC SPIN Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun09 Mar15 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
SHANGHAI CANDY Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May19 May04 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 8.00 6% 16.80    
MY BLUE EYES Jul27 Jul13 Jun25 May18 May04 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 118 12.00    
 
PEN-7   08/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRECHMO GIRL Aug08 Jul07 May25 May05   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00    
MISS MIA LIA Aug08 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 May19 (miller a)CORA D 122 5.00 7% 12.90    
MAKE A SPLASH Mar10         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 1.00 59% 0.70    
CHIMING IN Jul21         (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00    
TICK ALERT Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 May12 Oct24 (crane clovi)INIRIO J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
TRAJEC HOLIDAY Aug08 Jul07 Jun16 May11 Apr27 (albright r)FLORES E 122 10.00    
SCR  PRIDEFUL VILLANO Jul19         (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.