Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - August 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (3/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/11/4)-(3/11/4) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/11/4)-(3/11/4)-(3/11/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/11/4)-(2/10/11) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (2/10/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/11)-(2/10/11) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/11)-(2/10/11)-(2/10/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/10/11)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/10/11)-(1/5/2)-(2/4/1) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(2/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(7/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (8/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/7)-(4/3/5)-(1/6/3) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(1/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-8   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   08/22/2023 5490ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING A PAYDAY Aug06 Jul24 Jun27 Dec22 Dec04 (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 8.00    
SCR  DON'T CROSS JACK Aug06 Jul10 May22 Feb14 Dec30 (tool)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 116 8.00    
JR'S GIFT Jul19 Jun10 May13 Apr12 Mar02 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
HURRY ON OUT Jul23 Jun15 Nov22 Oct26 Apr04 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXECUTIVE PRIZE Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 Jun05 May16 (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 20.00    
SCR  SPRING MAGIC Jul27 Jun16 Sep19 Aug24 Jul08 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.00    
MACHO CASH Aug06 Jul10 Jun04 May22 Dec04 (sipp k)LEON A 116 15.00    
HAPPY YEARS Jul16 Jun20 Apr22 Nov23 Nov02 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
SCR  LOW COUNTRY DUDE Aug06 Jul25 May14 Apr22 Mar27 (cuttin)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
10  SHOSHA Jul16 Jun19 May30 May16 Sep11 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00    
11  PENNY LOAFER Aug08         (cuttino mar)WILLIAMS AJHARI 116 8.00 33% 2.00    
 
MNR-2   08/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILLY CHROME Aug07 Jul25 Jun13 Jun05 May11 (acevedo i)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 8.00    
LOOPY Aug06 Jul21 Jul03 Jun06 Apr24 (silv)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Jul23 Jun04 Feb15 Dec28 Sep30 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
SCR  SUPER DONNA G Jul25 Jun21 Jun06 Mar01 Feb14 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  DEVINE BY DESIGN Aug02 Jul25 Jul17 Jul10   (sipp k)LEON A 116 30.00    
ELIANAGRACE Jul30 Jun20 May12 Apr21 Mar18 (joy j)DIAZ I 120 12.00    
HOT HEELS Jul04 Mar24 Feb15 Jan20 Dec11 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50    
TOO CROWDED Aug01 May29 Jan28 Jan07 Nov08 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
SCR  MAP EM UP Jul22 Jul07 Jun11 May27 May04 (jones michae)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 12.00    
10  MOONSHINE DREAMER Jul25 Jun10 May12 Sep20 Aug28 (delong )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00 17% 4.90    
11  ONE NIGHT STAND Aug10 Jun28 Jun03 Apr21 Apr14 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
 
MNR-3   08/22/2023 4620ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTON BOX Jul26 Jun19 Aug22 Aug14 Jul27 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
DARK OAK Jul30 Jul16 Jun04 May22 May02 (davido)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 17% 4.70    
ATTA BOY ANTHONY Aug15 Jul07 Jun11 May13 Jan27 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50    
SHINING THROUGH Aug08 Jul23 Sep26 Sep14 Sep06 (van denni)LEON A 120 30.00    
FEDERALE Aug09 Jul26 Jun13 Sep13 Aug30 (pease harry)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
SAVVY LAYLA Jul27 May27 Apr22 Apr08 Mar08 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00    
HOUSEBUILDER Jul12 Jun05 Mar15 Feb15 Dec30 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 4.00    
 
MNR-4   08/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS JOANNIE Aug03 Jul02 Jun03 May12 Apr21 (silv)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 116 3.50 7% 12.40    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CANDY N' OATS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
TEAM FEISTY Aug01 Jul12 Jun18     (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 116 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of SHADES OF INDYGO by INDYGO SHINER)
FIRST TIME PLAYER Jul26 Nov01 Oct26 Oct14 Oct07 (soto antoni)STEINEMAN JAMES 113 15.00    
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of GOTNACEUPERSLEEVE by SOUGHT AFTER)
ORDERLY TRANSITION (GB)         (reed e)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 32% 2.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  CALERA LOVE Jun15 May11 Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 (joy j)DIAZ I 116 4.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
SCR  ECHOLITE Oct26 Oct01       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
RHYTHM FOREVER Jan01 Dec17 Nov17 Oct31 Aug31 (kirk s)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 20.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of HARRIET'S RYTHYM by HARRY THE HAT)
BETHPAGE Jul31 Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 May22 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of THE CRANE by TIZNOW)
 
MNR-5   08/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE FILTER Aug07 Jul24 Jun27 Jun05 Feb01 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 5.00    
COLONEL MIKE Aug04 Jul25 Jul12 Jun18 May30 (silv)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 6.00    
ARAZI LIKE MOVE Jul30 Jul11 Jun04 May01 Feb22 (langley wil)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
BALTIC FLEET Jun11 Jun04 May14 May02 Apr13 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
QUICK ENTRY Aug09 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
RULING EMPIRE Jul12 Jun13 May17 Mar14 Jan16 (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 120 6.00    
ROYAL SQUEEZE Aug07 Apr26 Apr08 Mar29 Feb17 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
PRETTY STORMY Aug13 Jul30 Jul17 Jun27 May30 (murillo rodrigu)LEON A 120 8.00    
 
MNR-6   08/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAGE HAS A GRAY Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 May24 Dec29 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50    
FARTLEK Aug06 Jul23 Jun26 Jun06 May21 (fiesman rob)STEINEMAN JAMES 106 20.00    
LEMON BLITZ Jul30 Jul17 Jul09 Jun18 May28 (jansen kenny)VEGA JOSE 120 2.50    
READY TO PLAY Mar29 Jan19 Jan11 Oct23 Oct12 (vazquez ivan)CCAMAQUE M 115 20.00    
STRAUS'S PLACE Mar11 Feb14 Feb04 Jan25 Jan14 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
ONLYATTHESHOE Aug09 Jul30 Dec07 Nov27 Nov07 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
DYNAFORM Jul25 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST HOMESTEAD Jul25 Jul05 Jun15 May23 May03 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 123 1.60 59% 0.70    
 
MNR-7   08/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST BIKINI Jul30 Jun26 May05 Apr13 Feb25 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
HONEYBELL Aug10 Jul26 Jul08 Jun15 May31 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 116 8.00    
LATER DAYS Jun15 Jun05 May23 May14 May08 (silva pabl)MOSQUERIA E 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
BRITTLE AND YOO Jul27 Jul08 Jun13 May04 Apr07 (ewing )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
AMAAZA Jun15 May23 Apr30 Apr11 Mar04 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 5.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  HAMMER AND JAMMER Aug01 Jul09       (reed r)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
MAOILIN Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 May31 May15 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 15.00    
GO STELLAIRE Aug08 Jul30 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 120 6.00    
 
MNR-8   08/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIZARD WILLIE Jul26 May29 Aug22 Jul19 Jun27 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 0.80 58% 0.70    
GEMO Jun26 Jun13 May28 May09 Jan16 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.00    
I'M A LAWMAN Nov16 Oct24 Aug09 Jul05   (crago ter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 8.00 6% 15.30    
OLA QUE TAL Jul09 Jun13 May28 Apr30 Oct23 (weymes andr)STEINEMAN JAMES 113 12.00    
CUSTOM INFINITY Aug02 Jul10 Jun13 Sep06 May15 (depasquale )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 30.00    
MY MAE DAY Jul18 Jun20 May15 May03 Apr12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 13% 6.60    
SOURNOIS Jul31 Jun26 Jun03 May18 Apr26 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00    
SCR  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Aug09 Jul17 Jun25 Jun05 May28 (fearon johnathon)CCAMAQUE M 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.