Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - May 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(3/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(3/1/6)-(2/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(2/5/1)-(5/1/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(5/1/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/1/3/6)-(3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/6)-(3/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/6)-(3/6/2)-(5/3/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(5/3/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(5/3/6/1)-(3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/1)-(3/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/1)-(3/5/6)-(6/4/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(6/4/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (6/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   05/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANIPPE Jul13 Jun14 May27 Mar09   (rojas e)FLORES E 124 3.00    
SHE'D RATHER DANCE Apr24 Apr01 Mar05     (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 3.50    
SHEER ALICE (GB) May15 Oct18 Oct04 Sep07 Aug16 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
HOP A LONG         (potts g)MARTINEZ W 118 5.00 17% 5.00    
IRISH VICTORY (IRE) Apr07 Mar24       (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 8.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  TICK ALERT May12 Oct24 Sep29     (crane cl)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
 
PID-2   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIC N WILBUR Oct25 Oct13 Sep21 Sep05 Aug23 (radosevich s)AYALA J 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  LORD OF LEGENDS May17 Apr24 Apr11 Mar20 Feb04 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
FOX ROX May15 Aug10 Jul21 Jul04 Jun13 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
GET ALONG May20 May07 Feb07 Jan12 Jan02 (buhrow d)STANLEY O 122 10.00    
BOOMIN GOOSE May15 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 122 4.50    
HENRY'S WORLD May03 Feb05 Nov26 Oct28 Aug13 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 11% 7.80    
 
PID-3   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES IT'S ERIE Oct24 Oct10 Sep08 Aug16 Jul28 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD May17 Apr10 Mar15 Feb13 Jan25 (tebbutt john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
EMERALD CITADELLE Sep26 Sep08 Aug24 Aug08 Jul20 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 4.00    
ROLLING MO Oct20 Oct10 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 (russell ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00    
ODD GAL May16 Sep29 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
LADY MARVEL May16 Nov02 Oct17 Oct03 Aug30 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00    
 
PID-4   05/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE BIG Apr12 Mar17 Feb11 Jan01 Sep16 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 9% 10.70    
NIGHT RIDE Apr09 Mar19 Feb09 Oct17 Sep28 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 118 2.00    
SPIRITED DEBATE Oct26 Oct18 Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
FALK Apr21 Mar15 Feb01 Jan14 Dec24 (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 118 3.00    
RED GUN Feb19 Jan27 Jan06 Dec17 Nov26 (bayeh edgar)AYALA J 118 2.50 65% 0.50    
CHAMPAGNE FOR ALL May16 Oct18 Aug29 Aug08 Jul13 (russell randal)ALLEN D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHANGE THE HOUR Oct13 Oct05 Sep20     (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 124 8.00    
 
PID-5   05/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINGS OF A SONG May12 Apr16 Sep20 Aug23 Aug01 (schoenthal ph)MORALES PABLO 118 1.80    
SAILOR'S SALUTE May22 Oct10 Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
STRAIGHT MADNESS May16 Oct10 Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 (barron rory)FOX CHRIS 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
OMIKAMI Apr20 Feb12 Jan22 Dec11 Oct24 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 109 6.00    
MACRELLETTA May15 Dec07 Oct25 Oct19 Sep22 (rojas e)FLORES E 122 10.00    
VACCINA May16 Dec16 Oct10 Sep15 Aug23 (judd cassa)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
PID-6   05/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVEFORTHESONG Apr22 Mar31 Mar19 Feb15 Jan13 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 8.00 14% 6.40    
T REX Oct25 Oct11 Sep19 Sep10 Aug31 (rogers ronald)MORALES PABLO 121 5.00    
ROUND OF APPLAUSE Feb22 Jan28 Jan12 Dec09 Oct19 (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 1.80 21% 3.70    
CREATIVE CHOICE Apr29 Apr07 Dec09 Nov30 Oct19 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 121 12.00    
GREG'S HONOR Feb22 Jan29 Jan13 Jan05 Dec11 (brooks geral)AYALA J 121 3.00 27% 2.80    
RICHARD HOOTY Oct19 Oct03 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 121 10.00 15% 5.70    
STRASBOURG Apr21 Apr08 Mar25 Feb26 Dec29 (bayeh edgar)ALENCAR WALBER 121 3.50    
 
PID-7   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCH ON EMOTIONAL May15 Apr01 Mar17     (skawinsk)GALLARDO A 124 3.50    
WROTE IN STONE Oct20 Sep12 Aug31 Jul20 Jul11 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
THE SINNER IS YOU May17 Oct16 Sep19 Aug31 Jul21 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 1.80 53% 0.90    
FRANZ JOSEF Mar25 Mar04 Feb11 Jan06 Oct12 (wismer s)ALLEN D 122 3.00    
LIFE MISSION Oct26 Sep29 Sep19 Aug16 Jul20 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
WOODCHUCK Oct25 Oct10 Aug23 Jul26 Jun29 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-8   05/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Apr05 Mar20 Feb27 Jan28 Sep10 (vitali j)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
STORMIN MELLY May17         (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
SGT RECKLESS USMC Apr21 Feb17 Dec27     (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
FAMILY BAND Apr23 Apr08 Dec29 Nov17   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
PRETTY FLATTERING Apr21 Mar15 Feb25 Feb01 Dec02 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.50 12% 7.70    
INVESTMENT INCOME Apr05 Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Dec10 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  SORTARIA Apr12 Mar31 Feb22 Feb17 Jan29 (hardesty lesl)ROJAS MARTINA 109 10.00    
LISA MARIE Oct24 Oct11 Sep14 Aug27 Jul27 (potts g)WALKER M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUMTING RIGHT Jul23 Jul08 May27 Apr28 Mar20 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.