Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - May 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (2/1)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/3/6)-(3/1/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(3/1/2)-(3/6/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/6/7)-(5/2/6) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(5/2/6)-(6) 9 $0.20 $1.80 
ASD-5   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(6)-(10/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
ASD-6   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/2/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6)-(10/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
ASD-7   WIN (10/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/6)-(10/6/8/3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/6)-(10/6/8/3/9)-(10/6/8/3/9) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   05/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKET KING Sep12 Aug22 Jun21 Mar23 Mar08 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
2  ITSTHATTIME Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Jun22 Jun06 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
3  INTER MIAMI Apr29 Mar24 Mar03 Feb05 Jan13 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.40 ★    
4  BRODY'S STREAK Jul11 Jun20 Jun01 May03 Apr05 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 8.00    
5  EL MAESTRO Apr11 Mar14 Feb15 Jan18 Dec20 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 124 6.00    
 
ASD-2   05/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMEONE ELSE Oct17 Oct06 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
2  TAPITURE WAY Dec08 Nov24 Nov11 Oct22 Oct06 (anderson carl)BALROOP SVEN 121 1.80    
3  PRAIRIE MAGIC Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Aug16 Jul27 (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 10.00 18% 4.40    
4  SEA OF LIFE Sep07 Aug24 Aug17 Jul25 Jul19 (mustard j)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 20.00    
5  SATURDAY SERVICE May13 Apr29 Apr23 Mar27 Feb19 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 5.00    
6  ARTISAN DANCER Sep28 Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 121 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
ASD-3   05/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPLOSIVE Apr12 Mar25 Feb24 Feb09 Jan07 (keplin steve )CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
2  BOTTLE OF SMOKE Apr26 Apr10 Mar17 Mar03 Feb10 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
3  SHORT RIB Apr12 Mar04 Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 (buffalo )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
4  G'S TURN May12 May06 Apr23 Apr14 Apr01 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 5.00    
5  MAGIC TIGER Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 Jan29 Dec11 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 3.00    
6  C C'S KITTEN Apr09 Mar04 Feb11 Dec21 Nov12 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 15.00    
7  HAPPY CAMPER Apr25 Mar31 Feb23 Jan14 Dec14 (desjarlai)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 10.00 ★    
 
ASD-4   05/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMAVEER Apr03 Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Dec16 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 4.00    
SCR  SCARLETT'S FLOWER Oct28 Oct14 Sep27 Jul29 Jul17 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 117 20.00    
3  ETU BABOU Apr26 Apr03 Mar01 Jan23 Jan14 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
4  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Apr11 Mar24 Feb22 Jan11 Dec29 (desjarlais ry)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00    
5  RUBYINTHESTARS Oct28 Sep24 Aug31 Aug17 Jul25 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 119 25.00    
6  IRISH KNIGHT Apr18 Mar28 Mar01 Jan10 Dec19 (mooney b)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  MISS LANGSKIP Sep12 Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 Jul08 (miller blair)CHOW CHAVION 117 2.00 11% 8.00    
 
ASD-5   05/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT UP NOW J T Sep28 Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 123 8.00 ★    
2  TWO STEPS FASTER Sep28 Sep14 Aug29 Aug16 Aug08 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 4.00 26% 2.80    
3  VIDIRA Sep20 Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 (mustard doug)BALROOP SVEN 123 20.00    
4  DAKAMO ROSE Apr30 Apr07 Mar21 Feb17 Sep14 (keplin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 5.00    
5  KNOW WHAT I MINA Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug23 Jul12 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  ASTARTOBE Sep19 Sep07 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 6.00 14% 6.20    
7  WITTS'S GATO Sep20 Aug22 Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 (mustard doug)BELLE SHAVON 123 15.00    
SCR  KICKALITTLEBOOTY Sep28 Sep19 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 3.00    
9  TIME FOR A SONG Sep28 Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 123 12.00    
 
ASD-6   05/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3 F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASHES TO ASHES May03 Apr14       (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 10.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
2  CELEBRATION DANCE Apr19         (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 8.00 ★    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of MORNING RUSH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  EVERYTHING TO GAIN Sep05 Aug16 Jul25     (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 20.00 ★    
  (by MR. Z out of GLAMOUR MANOR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  WITT'S GRIS Apr28 Apr21 Apr15 Mar26 Mar10 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 4.00    
  (by FIVE DEMON BAG out of MISS JONESY by DEVON LANE)
5  SPARKLING SILVER Dec09 Nov13 Oct27 Oct06   (anderson carl)CARRENO J 119 2.50 ★    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of ESSENCE OF SILVER by ESSENCE OF DUBAI)
6  OLIVE'S CANDY Apr06 Mar18 Feb11     (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 119 3.00 75% 0.30    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  MOVE TO ORDER Apr21 Mar31 Jan29 Dec16 Nov30 (morin shaun)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 5.00    
  (by DRILL out of MOVE OVER NOW by MUCHO MACHO MAN)
8  I AM MILA Sep27         (jordan jennif)TARASENCO P 119 25.00    
  (by NONIOS out of I AM PERSNICKETY by MR. GREELEY)
 
ASD-7   05/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGE IT JENN Apr26 Apr08 Mar05 Feb17 Dec22 (brown shelley)CHOW CHAVION 123 4.00    
2  CHICAGO RIVER Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 Oct27 Sep11 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 123 10.00    
3  WAIT A SEC Mar29 Jan30 Jan10 Nov23 Nov07 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 123 5.00 ★    
4  KIM'S TEXAS BLING May06 Apr22 Apr01 Mar05 Feb04 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 121 12.00    
5  AT THE LYRIC Sep19 Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 Jul01 (miller blair)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 15.00    
6  BLAZING SKY Dec01 Nov24 Sep24 Sep01 Aug20 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 6.00 5% 18.80    
7  MARGOT'S GIRL Apr05 Mar26 Mar13 Feb28 Jan30 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 8.00    
8  CYCLONE SORORITY Apr30 Apr14 Apr02 Mar17 Dec30 (keplin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 10.00 ★    
9  BAREFOOT DANCER Sep26 Aug24 Aug17 Aug03 Jul18 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 40.00 ★    
10  KATE'S PRINCESS Aug24 Aug09 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 (danelson gar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 2.00 71% 0.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.