Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(3/1)-(2/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/1)-(4/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/5)-(3/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(3/2/4)-(3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/4)-(2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/4)-(2/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATABOUT May03 Mar06 Feb23 Jan28 Dec30 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00    
2  SQUID Apr10 Mar16 Feb15 Jun29 Jun03 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 121 1.20 59% 0.70    
3  PENNY SHOTS Apr26 Mar08 Feb16 Jan28 Dec30 (faulkner )CORREA L 121 2.50 12% 7.60    
4  LATE DATE Apr27 Apr05 Mar02 Feb01 Jan18 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 116 3.50    
 
BTP-2   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIP IT SCOTTY Apr27 Mar18 Oct24 Oct05 Sep16 (jazdzewski jon)MCKEE J 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
2  SUGGESTED May04 Mar18 Feb02 Jan18 Dec31 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 121 2.00    
3  LITTLE ALEX Jan14 Dec30 Dec08 Nov19 Sep29 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 121 1.40 29% 2.50    
4  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Apr29 Mar31 Mar16 Feb04 Nov27 (howard john )MARCANO Y 118 3.50    
 
BTP-3   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR THE BISCUIT May02 Apr18 Mar29 Feb09 Jan18 (hernandez rey)MCENTEE GRACE 121 2.00 20% 4.00    
2  SOMEBODYLOVESYOU Mar29 Feb27 Apr21     (reed r)MCKEE J 121 1.60 47% 1.10    
3  ROCK THE NILE May05 Apr07 Mar02     (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 123 3.00    
4  LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS Apr28 Apr03 Mar21 Mar08 Oct05 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50    
 
BTP-4   05/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBURBAN PRINCE Feb18 Jan21 Dec30 Dec02 Oct09 (o'neill doug)MCKEE J 117 1.80    
2  DAWN WEST Apr13 Mar28 Mar06 Feb23 Feb09 (skeens jeremy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50    
SCR  WEAPON Apr29 Feb23 Dec07 Nov15 Oct27 (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.50    
4  MODUS Apr26 Mar15 Jan22 Dec28 Nov26 (sweeting craig)REYES R 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  ELIZA'S HONOR Mar17 Feb14 Jan06     (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 117 4.00 9% 10.30    
 
BTP-5   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3 F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUGURI (ARG) Apr29 Mar18 Dec22     (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CAPE HAZE by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  CONURE         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CAYMANBIRD by UNCLE MO)
3  LAYAWAY         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MAXINE by HAT TRICK)
4  YOU GOTTA HAVE FUN (IRE)         (reed r)FELIX E 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of WHAT SAY YOU by STRONG MANDATE)
5  GAMBI May05 Mar15 Feb15 Dec29 Dec03 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of FLATTER ME MORE by FLATTER)
 
BTP-6   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3 ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUTSLEWTHEM Apr27 Apr10 Mar22 Mar01 Dec30 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by FLAT OUT out of PYRITEVILLE by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
2  BENITO Nov21 Oct29 Aug23 Aug04   (dailey ronald)BUSH V 123 12.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of INDECISIVE by HAIL THE PIRATES)
3  BOOSTERIZED         (edwards willi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00 12% 7.20    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of BLESSED IMMACULATA by MACHO UNO)
4  LIAMS LAD         (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 6.00 12% 7.20    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BONJOUR BELLE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  CARTOON CAPER         (greenhill)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 3.50    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of INFATUATED by CRYPTO STAR)
6  DEVILS RED Apr26 Jan05 Oct21 Sep29   (sisterson jack)MCKEE J 123 2.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ELUSIVE DIVA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
BTP-7   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTERTOWN Apr27 Apr04 Mar09 Feb11 Jan19 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 115 6.00    
2  CHROMED IMPULSE Apr11 Mar21 Mar08 Feb22 Jan23 (skeens jeremy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 53% 0.90    
3  UNCLEJACKOMO Apr11 Dec19 Dec05 Nov16 Oct27 (faulkner )CORREA L 121 4.50 ★    
4  C'MON MAN Apr15 Mar11 Feb24 Feb03 Dec26 (hess b)MCKEE J 121 1.80 15% 5.60    
5  CINDY'S STORM Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 Feb08 Jan17 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 121 5.00    
6  POUR ME A DOUBLE Apr27 Feb23 Jan23 Jan07 Dec14 (haehn r)FELIX E 121 6.00    
 
BTP-8   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY US Apr27 Mar17 Feb22 Jan27 Jan05 (adams l)REYES R 125 10.00    
2  CLEVER TALE Feb10 Jan04 Dec15 Nov30 Sep29 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  JOLIE RULER Apr02 Mar01 Feb06 Dec31 Dec18 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
4  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Apr11 Mar22 Feb27 Feb06 Jan19 (haehn r)MCKEE J 123 3.50    
5  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Feb28 Feb16 Dec30 Dec05 Nov17 (skeens jeremy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  CHRISTMAS MAGIC May05 Oct05 Sep02 Jul13 Jun24 (cook k)MARCANO Y 118 4.50    
7  JOYFUL NOISE Apr28 Apr15 Dec08 Nov03 Oct25 (cline robert )BECKMAN ALICE 120 10.00 11% 8.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.