Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - April 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-2   WIN (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/7)-(4/8/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/7)-(4/8/9/3)-(8/6/2/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-3   WIN (4/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/3)-(4/8/9/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/3)-(4/8/9/3/6)-(4/8/9/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/9/3)-(8/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/9/3)-(8/6/2/5)-(9/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-4   WIN (8/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/5)-(8/6/2/5/9)-(8/6/2/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/2/5)-(9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/5)-(9/4/7)-(8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-5   WIN (9/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/7)-(9/4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/7)-(9/4/7/2)-(9/4/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/4/7)-(8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7)-(8/7)-(6/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
OP-6   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/2/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/2/5/1)-(8/7/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/7)-(6/3/1)-(8/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
OP-7   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(8/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(8/4/9)-(4/8/5/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-8   WIN (8/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/9)-(8/4/9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/9)-(8/4/9/6/1)-(8/4/9/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/4/9)-(4/8/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
OP-9   WIN (4/8/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/10)-(4/8/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/10)-(4/8/5/10)-(4/8/5/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   04/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERSHOOK Apr07 Mar19 Feb20 Jan20 Sep09 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00    
2  DOUBLY BLESSED Mar19 Feb26 Jul04 Jun10 Apr28 (vance davi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 11% 8.50    
3  HUGE BIGLY Jan08 Dec30 Nov24 Oct16 Sep05 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 2.00    
4  WINDCRACKER Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 Oct12 (silva miguel)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
5  SHORTLIST Mar16 Dec15 Oct03 Sep12 Aug15 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
6  OFFSHORE AFFAIR Mar19 Oct27 Sep24 Aug18 Jul03 (rosin w)BAZE C 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
OP-2   04/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANTERN'S CANDY Feb26 Feb05 Dec30 Nov25 Nov03 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 1.60    
2  TIME FOR GOLD Mar18 Feb22 Jan28 Jan19 Jan02 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
3  TWENTYTWENTYREDO Mar24 Mar03 Dec17 Nov19 Oct26 (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 113 20.00    
4  MOONLIGHT RAIN Mar11 Feb23 Feb10 Jan14 Oct15 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 10% 9.30    
5  LIL'S TURN Mar26 Mar04 Feb17 Dec11 Nov03 (mcknight norm)FUENTES ERICK 108 15.00    
6  IZEONPOINT Mar23 Mar08 Feb20 Jan29 Jan06 (barkley j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 2.50 13% 6.90    
7  PUT A BOW ON IT Mar24 Feb18 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 115 8.00 9% 10.30    
8  CLOSE TO ME Mar31 Mar04 Feb11 Jan14 Oct04 (puhl kim)JORDAN R 118 12.00    
 
OP-3   04/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET COMMANDER Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Jan13 Dec16 (cates al)TORRES A 118 12.00    
2  REUP Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Dec18   (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 12.00    
3  AFLEET SKY Mar23 Feb26 Jan20 Dec10 Mar18 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHERE'S RANDY Mar11 Apr09 Mar18 Jan29 Jan09 (morse ran)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
5  BLACK APPLE Mar10 Jan21 Dec31     (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 12.00    
6  BACKGATE RED Apr02 Jan08 Sep06 Jul26 Jul03 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00 ★    
7  WICKED PRINCE Apr02 Mar05 Feb25 Jan15 Dec10 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 15.00    
8  ALLO ENRY Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 Jan20 Dec16 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 25% 2.90    
9  SKYPED Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 Dec16 (borel renay)BOREL H 118 6.00 9% 10.80    
 
OP-4   04/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R R EMPIRE Mar09 Feb19 Jan22     (keithan rach)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 30.00    
2  EXPLOSIVE PRIDE Mar31         (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 6.00 14% 6.00    
3  UPTOWN SOCIAL Mar23 Feb20 Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
4  P R CALL ME MAYBE Apr01 Jun15 May25 May01   (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 125 15.00    
5  MATTFOLEYVANMAN Mar23 Mar09 Jan20 Dec07 Nov05 (moquett r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 11% 8.10    
6  TABLE MONEY Mar25 Feb25       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 116 2.00 23% 3.40    
7  COLONEL BARTON Mar12 Mar03 Feb04 Jan27 Dec18 (puhich mike)BAZE C 120 10.00    
8  HUEY DUEY Apr08         (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 116 3.00 30% 2.40    
9  FANCY PAYNTER Oct21 Aug27 Aug16     (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 121 8.00 ★    
 
OP-5   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENETRATOR Apr02 Feb17 Jan27 Dec17 Nov02 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 125 30.00    
2  RAM Mar31 Mar17 Feb18 Feb19 Jan01 (lukas wayne)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00 ★    
3  TEXAS RED HOT Apr02 Mar12 Feb05 Nov27 Nov12 (morse l)BOREL H 121 12.00    
4  MUMAYAZ Feb25 Jan06 Nov16 Oct16 Sep11 (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  DARK AFTERNOON Apr07 Mar09       (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 120 8.00 5% 17.90    
6  BLOW TORCH Mar23 Mar10 Feb19 Jan13 Aug27 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 125 15.00    
7  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Apr02 Mar17 Feb25 Feb05 Jan08 (shirer m)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 10% 8.70    
8  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS Apr02 Mar19 Feb18 Feb05 Dec11 (fires h)COURT K 121 10.00    
9  MAC DADDY TOO Feb18 Jan08 Oct22 Sep09 Aug18 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
OP-6   04/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASKELLED Mar12 Jan06 Dec18     (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 2.50 ★    
2  DARYL'S BOLT Mar04 Jan22 Dec26 Nov12 Oct15 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  WORK ALL DAY Mar23 Mar12 Feb04 Jan21 Jan01 (hewitt michael)TORRES HUGO 112 30.00    
4  RANSAM PAYNTER Mar12 Feb24 Feb10 Jan20 Dec18 (hewitt michael)JUAREZ NIK 120 30.00    
5  CHROME RUN Apr02 Mar12 Jan13 Dec16 Oct20 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  BIG PETE Nov02 Oct01 Sep15 Aug25 Jul16 (puhich mike)HARR KELSI 125 20.00    
7  KING DOODLE Apr07 Mar09 Feb17 Feb03 Nov13 (becker scott)ZIMMERMAN R 125 8.00 27% 2.70    
8  KID SHELLEEN Apr02 Feb19 Dec09 Nov30   (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 1.80 52% 0.90    
9  ASSET BASIS Mar12 Jan27 Jan14     (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 125 15.00    
10  DISCOVERY PEAK Mar04 Feb12 Jan15 Jul24   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00    
 
OP-7   04/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACCIDENTAL HERO Mar10 Jan05 Nov09 Oct19 Sep13 (asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 12% 7.60    
2  JUDO Mar09 Jan14 Sep16 Aug05   (cox brad)SANTANA JR 125 3.00 ★    
3  GIROOVIN Mar30 Feb28 Jan29 Dec17 Nov23 (fincher todd)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
4  SIR Mar25 Feb25 Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 (contreras)DE CRUZ 116 6.00    
5  TRES SOLES Mar12 Feb18 Nov26 Nov04 Sep29 (asmussen )TORRES A 119 8.00    
6  RECKER POINT Mar12 Feb19 Jan14 Dec17 Nov16 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 1.60 44% 1.30    
7  G T FIVE HUNDRED Mar23 Feb24 Jan06 Dec11 Oct13 (mason ingrid)WALES T 122 12.00    
 
OP-8   04/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER CONSTITUTION Sep16 Aug20 Aug02 Jul01 May06 (robertson mcl)CABRERA DAVID 118 20.00 ★    
2  OUTLIER Apr01 Mar22 Mar03 Feb08 Jan20 (cash norm)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.50    
3  LANSDOWNE (GB) Mar19 Mar11 Feb20 Jan13 Dec09 (hornsby tammy)ZIMMERMAN R null      
4  MEGAN'S HONOR Apr01 Mar03 Jan28 Dec11 Nov20 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 27% 2.70    
5  PATS PROPERTY Apr02 Jun30 Jun11 May08 Apr16 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 118 2.00    
6  BANDIT POINT Apr07 Mar26 Mar04 Feb19 Jan28 (cline n)HARR KELSI 113 6.00 ★    
7  MAMZOOJ Apr01 Jan07 Nov27 Oct29 Oct02 (peitz da)SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
8  TEN GAUGE Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
9  BEER CHASER Mar24 Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 (puhl kim)JORDAN R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-9   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINT BLANK Mar23 Mar03 Feb03 Jan01 Dec16 (fires h)HARR KELSI 125 20.00    
2  SUPER GEEK Mar30 Mar19 Mar03 Feb11 Jan29 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 30.00    
3  WESTHEIMER STREET Mar23 Feb26 Jan20 Dec11   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.50    
4  LORD M Mar19 Mar12 Feb11 Jan21 Dec18 (mcknight norm)CABRERA DAVID 123 2.00 49% 1.10    
5  MIRI A COINCIDENCE Mar23 Mar12 Jan15 Dec31   (barkley j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 9% 10.20    
6  KINFOLK Jul09 May07 Apr09 Mar18 Feb13 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 123 15.00    
SCR  HARDSCRABBLE Mar11 Feb12 Jan15 Apr30 Mar31 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  VYING EDGE Mar30 Mar11 Feb12     (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 4.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  KRUSIN ROCKET Mar19 Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 Jan21 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 30.00    
10  HACKER Mar26 Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 Jan13 (martin timot)JORDAN R 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  EUROBELIEVER Feb23 Feb11 Jan18 Dec17 Dec02 (deville c)TORRES A 125 15.00    
12  DEPART Mar17 Mar02 Jan21 Dec18 May01 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 30.00    
SCR  MR. COUGAR Mar30 Mar19 Sep15 Sep07 Aug18 (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 123 15.00    
SCR  RISKY SITUATION Mar30 Mar03 Jan29 Jan08 Dec18 (cline n)HARR KELSI 123 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.