Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/9/3/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/9/3/2)-(4/9/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4)-(1/3)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/7/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/7/5/2)-(1/3/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(7/5/1)-(2/1/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/4/2)-(7/5/1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(2/1/3/7)-(4/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/7)-(4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(1/3/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7/1/2)-(4/3/7/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(1/3/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(1/3/10)-(2/8/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/10)-(1/3/10/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/10)-(1/3/10/9)-(1/3/10/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/10)-(2/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/10)-(2/8/1/4)-(9/8/2/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4/5)-(2/8/1/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/1/4)-(9/8/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/4)-(9/8/2/3/5)-(1/8/3/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/8/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/2/3/5)-(9/8/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/2/3/5)-(9/8/2/3/5)-(9/8/2/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/2/3/5)-(1/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR NELSON Mar10 Feb25       (caison jody )LEWIS M 115 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of GREAT LOOKINBLONDE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
COLLECTORATE Feb08 Dec30 Dec11 Nov19 Sep18 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 2.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of FORCE OF HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MALIBU ROCK STAR Feb18 Feb08 Jan13 Sep17   (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of VILAO by GRAVE DIGGER)
ROCK ANNA ROLL Feb10 Jan25       (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 1.80 47% 1.20    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
TIZNOW TIME Jan11 Dec09 Oct27 Oct06 Sep16 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of RONTOS LILY by BIG DRAMA)
ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE Feb08 Dec09 Nov26 Oct29   (shuman mark)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISSTREATED by DEHERE)
SCR  TOTHETRAINSTATION         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 31% 2.30    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of CEDAR RUN'S EMBLEM by OUR EMBLEM)
AFLEET AIRO Feb25         (jones e)BAEZ M 115 15.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of MAGGYS AFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
TOAST TO COAST Feb19 Feb12 Jan13 Oct30 Oct09 (aguirre an)RIVERA R 115 4.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of MAJESTICA by STREET SENSE)
 
CT-2   03/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER BOOGIE Jan28 Jan07 Nov12 Oct28 Sep30 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
TOP HAT TREASON Mar10 Jan27 Jan06 Dec02 Nov10 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 10.00    
FINAL SAY Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Dec02 Nov10 (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
SCOTTY SILVER Feb22 Jan06 Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
FORT FORTITUDE Feb18 Jan26 Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 15.00    
SCR  STRONG HEART Jan07 Dec13 Nov30 May15 Apr16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60    
UNIDENTIFIED MAN Jan26 Jan06 Dec11 Nov18 Oct15 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00    
GAMING JACK Feb22 Jan27 Jan04 Nov26 Nov09 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
 
CT-3   03/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKAAN Feb04         (soldo elaine)RODRIGUEZ V 126 12.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MORNING LINE out of LOTSA NOODLES by MASS MEDIA)
LINDA'S TAJ Feb25 Jan13 Dec14 Dec02 Nov02 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 126 5.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of R B'S LINDA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
LIL BOSS Feb25 Feb04 Dec27     (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 126 15.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SARA'S CAPE by CAPE TOWN)
SOMEBODY LOVES ME Feb25 Feb10 Jan29 Jan01 Nov09 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 126 3.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
HARLEY GIRL Jan22         (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 126 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HARLEY ROSE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
MORE TAJ Feb25         (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 126 20.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of MORETHANBEAUTIFUL by MORE THAN READY)
DETERMINED COURAGE Feb17         (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 126 3.00 33% 2.10    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BEST OF TIMES by MINESHAFT)
LET'S GO MO Feb17 Feb01 Jan13 Dec14 Nov22 (miller ma)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 10.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of TASHA'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
ALL THE ENVY Feb23 Feb09 Jan18 Nov16 Sep13 (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 12.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LALKA by DYNAFORMER)
 
CT-4   03/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK THE RIPPER (FR) Feb24 Jan12 Dec08 Oct27 Sep29 (farrior an)RIVERA R 117 8.00 20% 3.90    
TAPIT TO THE WIRE Feb10 Jan21 Dec09 Nov11 Aug29 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 3.50 29% 2.50    
AUTS REVOLUTION Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 Nov12 Oct22 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 5.00 13% 6.90    
TWEET THIS Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 Dec10 Nov19 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
CHARITABLE SPENNY Feb23 Jan28 Jan04 Dec10 Aug20 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 126 10.00    
CHROME FINISH Feb03 Jan07 Dec21 Dec02 Nov16 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
TOMMY SHELBY Feb18 Jan26 Jan06 Nov26 Nov11 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 3.00 8% 11.10    
MAKE WAY Feb23 Jan27 Dec01 Nov10 Oct21 (barber donal)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
ONE MORE FACTOR Feb24 Feb12 Jan25 Jan07 Oct28 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50    
10  JAMMIN STILL Feb24 Feb11 Jan28 Jan14 Jan06 (caison )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00    
SCR  FIVE STAR PHIL Feb24 Feb02 Jan21 Dec11 Aug28 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 10.00    
SCR  TRINGALE Mar11 Jan26 Dec14 Nov19 Nov03 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 2.50 6% 16.40    
 
CT-5   03/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO DENYING DENIS Feb24 Jan18 Dec15 Nov24 Nov11 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 124 1.80    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SNEAKY LYNK Feb24 Feb08 Jan26     (johnson jamey )MONTANO JOSE 124 15.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
LOVE OF GRACE Feb16 Jan26       (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of OFF THE SCREEN by FLOWER ALLEY)
AMELIA'S DREAM Jan18 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep17 (runco jeff)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DAYLIGHT'S COMING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
GREY FLAMINGO Feb16 Jan06       (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of FLAMINGO KEY by INCLUDE)
CLOUD MOVER Feb08         (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SCARLETT D'HEREA by DEHERE)
SMOKIN LADY Feb16 Jan26 Jan06     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 6% 15.80    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of PRINCESS KENDRA by BENCHMARK)
 
CT-6   03/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH SAMURAI Mar04 Feb11 Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
FORT ZANNA Mar04 Feb04 Jan12 Dec16 Nov18 (conn p)LARROSA G 124 20.00    
MOHAYMEN DAY Feb17 Jan14 Dec09 Oct17 Sep22 (gazzier kristy)HO WESLEY 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
PRUSSIAN BLUE Feb24 Feb01 Dec30 Sep18 Aug13 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 118 8.00    
MAP THE MOMENT Feb25 Feb10 Aug21 Aug02 Jul12 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 10.00    
BESTLA Mar04 Jan07 Apr28 Apr07 Mar20 (mancilla car)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
TWIN CAUSE Feb25 Dec14 Dec04 Oct22 Oct02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
LECTRIC ROD Mar01 Feb22 Oct22 Oct06   (mcgill sylvester)BAEZ M 111 20.00    
LADY CINCO DE MAYO Feb23 Feb04 Jan14 Nov16 Oct01 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40    
10  HOVEL Nov16 Oct26 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  AYY LADIES Feb28 Jan19 Aug24 Jun23   (west aaro)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
SCR  DROPKICK QUEEN Feb25 Feb05 Jan20 Jan06 Dec10 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 118 8.00    
 
CT-7   03/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALERA LOVE Feb25 Feb04 Jan13     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
IRISH VALENTINE Feb25 Feb04       (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 5.00 27% 2.60    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of INDIAN BEAUTY by FAST BULLET)
F F HELL CAT         (doran carl)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of ONE MASSIVE CAT by MASS MEDIA)
ESTILO AMOROSO Feb17 Feb08       (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SUGAR MAY by STRATEGIC MISSION)
EVERYDAYISAGIFT         (hurley jac)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of IN STEP DANCER by STUDENT COUNCIL)
AVALANCHE IS COMIN         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
KELSEY'S ANGEL Feb17         (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MINE OWN by MINESHAFT)
GLADRIEL         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of THEONEWEWAITEDFOR by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
CT-8   03/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET APPEAL Feb17 Jan26 Jan12 Dec09 Nov10 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
FIBER STRONG Jan12 Oct15 Sep24 Aug13 Jul02 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 4.50 6% 15.30    
MAJESTIC SEAS Feb22 Feb02 Jan13 Oct28 Jul08 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 6% 16.70    
TOLLER Feb16 Feb02 Jan04 Dec02 Nov09 (comi ralp)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
SHOWTIME CAT Dec30 Oct22 Sep24 Sep06 Jul30 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIZ DEJA BLUE Mar05 Jan25 Jan12 Dec13 Nov14 (delong ben)BAEZ M 115 15.00    
MI GUSTO ES Feb23 Feb04 Jan21 Dec28 Dec09 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
AMIDSHIPS Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 Oct29 Oct08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 12% 7.60    
DRINKWITHTHESTARS Feb02 Jan12 Dec16 Nov23 Oct29 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
 
CT-9   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEPRETTYTHING Feb25 Feb04 Jan18 Dec14 Sep07 (smith osbor)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
LIFE IN FLASH Feb24 Feb04 Jan13 Nov18 Oct29 (harting chri)LEWIS M 117 6.00    
SEEDS OF TIME Feb25 Feb04 Jan18 Dec10 Nov12 (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
CASTLE OF CAYLEE Feb24 Jan19 Jan07 Nov26 Oct20 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 7% 13.60    
PARTY MONSTER Feb24 Jan27 Jan13 Jan06 Nov25 (raymond donovan)MAYHEW W 124 20.00    
LADY MADISON Feb01 Nov27 Nov03 Oct05 Aug01 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 117 4.00    
CATHERINES WARRIOR Jan18 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 (straughn wi)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
MARKETABILITY Feb11 Jan21 Jan05 Dec02 Oct19 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
LIGHTFOOT MISS Feb11 Jan14 Jan06 Dec02 Nov12 (frock a)CULLUM W 122 8.00    
SCR  UNEXPECTEDLY Mar02 Jan07 Dec10 Feb04 Jan15 (rangel ricardo)PELTROCHE F 124 30.00    
SCR  CREEDIBILITY Mar02 Feb06 Jan11 Dec20 Nov30 (lane j)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
SCR  UPSY DAISY DO Mar02 Jan13 Dec03 Nov18 Nov12 (aylor willia)MARRERO CARLOS 122 20.00    
SCR  TIZBIT Mar02 Feb01 Jan19 Dec03 Nov25 (gillesp)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.00    
SCR  CHINA CAT Mar04 Feb11 Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.