Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - February 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (3/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/7/1)-(3/6/8/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/8/1)-(6/1/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-2   WIN (6/1/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/8/10)-(6/1/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/8/10)-(6/1/5/8/10)-(6/1/5/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/5/8/10)-(2/5/4/6/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/8/10)-(2/5/4/6/3)-(2/3/4/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-3   WIN (2/5/4/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/6/3)-(2/5/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/6/3)-(2/5/4/6/3)-(2/5/4/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/4/6/3)-(2/3/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/6/3)-(2/3/4/8)-(2/13/7/8/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-4   WIN (2/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/8)-(2/13/7/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/8)-(2/13/7/8/6)-(5/1/3/8/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-5   WIN (2/13/7/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/13/7/8/6)-(2/13/7/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/13/7/8/6)-(2/13/7/8/6)-(2/13/7/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/13/7/8/6)-(5/1/3/8/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/13/7/8/6)-(5/1/3/8/4)-(8/1/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
OP-6   WIN (5/1/3/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/8/4)-(5/1/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/8/4)-(5/1/3/8/4)-(5/1/3/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/3/8/4)-(8/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/8/4)-(8/1/6)-(3/7/5/2/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
OP-7   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/6/10/5)-(8/1/6/10/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/1/6)-(3/7/5/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6)-(3/7/5/2/6)-(11/8/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
OP-8   WIN (3/7/5/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/2/6)-(3/7/5/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/2/6)-(3/7/5/2/6)-(3/7/5/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/5/2/6)-(11/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
OP-9   WIN (11/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/8/7)-(11/8/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/8/7)-(11/8/7/1/3)-(11/8/7/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DORITA'S HEART Jan22 Jan07 Dec18 Nov21 Nov12 (hewitt michael)QUINONEZ S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WARM BEAUTY Jun11 Apr29 Mar31 Mar24 Jan14 (roberts st)MICHEL MICKAELLE 115 20.00    
3  LADY SHAMAN Jan07 Mar18 Feb12     (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 1.40 43% 1.30    
4  WICKED CHOCOLATE Dec09 Oct27 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 (loy dewaine)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00    
5  BRIAR THICKET Jan07 Dec09 Sep04 Aug14 Jul07 (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 20.00    
6  LEGENDARY GIFT Jan07 Dec18 Oct15 Aug08 Jul15 (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 2.00 18% 4.50    
7  MI CRESCENDO Jan01 Dec16 Nov11 Oct10 Sep08 (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 6.00 ★    
8  HAVE I EVER Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 Jul10 Jun19 (broberg k)TORRES A 120 3.50 9% 10.20    
 
OP-2   02/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYBERTOWN Jan01 Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Mar25 (martin wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 3.00 21% 3.70    
1A  PREACHER'S PET Jan15 Dec18 Feb19 Jan22   (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 3.00    
2  FETCHS BRAHM Jan21 Dec18 May07 Apr08 Feb12 (fires h)COURT K 125 12.00    
SCR  TOMMY TRI Dec18         (prather h)BOWEN ROCCO 125 15.00    
4  ACCEL JOE Jan01 Dec16 Nov22 Oct21 Sep26 (williams bla)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00    
5  MR. WULLY BULLY Jan01 Nov03 Sep28 Sep21 Sep02 (pish danny)BEJARANO R 125 6.00 10% 9.00    
6  DIESEL FUEL Jan01 Apr30 Apr08 Mar25   (jackson richa)COURT J 125 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  OTHER TIMES Jan21 May08 Apr30 Apr15 Apr01 (roberts stanl)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 30.00    
8  STORM STRATEGY Jan13 Dec16       (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.50 9% 9.70    
9  SALTY JONES Jan15 Dec16 Apr30     (jordan todd )JORDAN R 125 20.00    
10  ROSIE'S BOY Jan21 Jan01       (mcbride d)HARR KELSI 119 20.00 9% 10.50    
11  DABOOGEYMAN Dec18 Nov11       (borel renay)BOREL H 125 30.00    
12  POINT BLANK Jan01 Dec16 May08 Apr15 Mar31 (fires h)WALES T 125 15.00    
 
OP-3   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTIS OTIS OTIS Jan22 Dec10 Nov05 Oct14 Oct01 (smith ken)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
2  COLTONS DREAM Jan15 Nov26 Nov11 Oct27 Oct07 (mcknight norm)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.00 31% 2.30    
3  ROCK N JUNE BUG Jan06 Nov27 Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 (petalino joe)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  FULL IMPACT Jan14 Dec30 Nov13 Sep20 Jun17 (hewitt michae)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
5  ALEX'S STRIKE Aug28 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May23 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  PRESS SNOOZE Aug31 Jul25 Jul11 Jun01 Apr24 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 118 5.00 6% 14.70    
7  OCELOT Dec30 Nov25 Oct16 Sep16 Aug26 (broberg k)TORRES A 118 12.00    
8  LIGHTNING STRUCK Jan05 Dec17 Nov17 Nov02 Aug28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 4.50    
 
OP-4   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INFILTRATOR         (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 6.00 8% 11.20    
2  KING DOODLE Nov13 Oct12 Aug04 Jun17 Jun03 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 3.50 35% 1.90    
3  CONTRABANDISTA May20 Apr08 Mar19 Feb11   (morse ran)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.50 16% 5.10    
4  KENTUCKY BOURBON Jan14 Sep30 Sep07 Jul16 Jan15 (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 125 5.00 12% 7.40    
5  FIVE O FOX Dec18         (peitz c)WALES T 125 20.00    
SCR  GUARDED (GB)         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 10.00    
7  UNCLE RAY Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 Jul31   (loy dewain)JORDAN R 125 12.00    
8  KOSELIO Jan06 Dec18 Oct11     (green ike)ZIMMERMAN R 125 20.00 6% 15.90    
9  BIGTIME TEGRIDY Jun10 May07 Apr22 Mar19 Feb21 (jackson d)COURT K 125 10.00    
10  BOURBON ON FIRE Jan14 Dec18 Dec09 Nov10 Oct28 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00    
11  RUNNIN' BLOCK Dec31 Dec11 Nov15 Nov03 Oct01 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00    
12  CHOWMEIN Jan20         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 50.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN SENSE Jan01 Dec22 Nov19 Oct14 Sep17 (gowan william)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00    
 
OP-5   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELFAST BOY Jan21 Jan07 Nov16 Oct12 Sep18 (hiles rick)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00    
2  WOBBERJOD Apr02 Mar11 Jan29 Jan07   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  PADDY O'DINI         (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 12.00    
4  COST BASIS Jan07 Dec09 Nov16 Oct15 Sep03 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.50    
5  J'S LITTLE MAN Jan08 Dec10 May30 May16 Apr22 (martin wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 115 30.00    
6  BEND IN THE RIVER Jan07         (mcknight norman)BOWEN ROCCO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  CRIMSON ZIP Jan06 Dec10 Feb18 Feb04   (broberg k)TORRES A 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
8  ANALYZER Jan15 Jan06 Dec09 Nov18 Nov06 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 5% 18.30    
9  BACKDOORPARTY Jan07 Oct19 Oct04 Aug03 Jun30 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
10  TILLIS Jul17 Jun10 Apr07 Feb19 Jan16 (morse randy )MEDELLIN ERICK 115 15.00    
11  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Jan07 Sep18 Jun30     (rosin w)HIRALDO JOHN 120 20.00    
SCR  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Nov17 Oct15 Sep01 Jun26 May05 (gowan william)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
13  BANK Jul03 May21 Apr16     (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
OP-6   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATKINS Dec31 Dec11 Nov03 Oct02   (combs bentley)JUAREZ NIK 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  YACHT ROCK (IRE) Jan20 Dec11 Nov19 Oct23 Sep30 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 2.00    
3  SALTA Dec31 Oct27 Oct02 Jun18 May22 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 16% 5.20    
4  MEAN TWEETS Dec31 Oct15 Sep22 Sep01 Aug17 (moysey chels)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  COLOR FIELD Jan06 Nov27 Oct19 Sep22 Aug30 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  SMOOTH SCAT Dec31 Sep25       (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00    
7  AFRAIDOFTHEBUNNY Dec31 Nov21 Oct14 Sep25 Aug29 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
8  THE FIVE B'S Dec29 Dec01 Nov16 Oct21   (deville c)RODRIGUEZ A 124 12.00 8% 11.40    
 
OP-7   02/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3 F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN RUNNIN GIRL         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLEARTAP by TAPIT)
2  UNSTABLE PRINCESS Dec31 Dec11 Oct24 Oct05   (martin william )ZIMMERMAN R 121 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PROUD BETTY by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  MOLLY OF STRATFORD         (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of PINKPRINT by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  TOUGH LEGACY Dec31 Nov26 Oct30     (casse w)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STONE LEGACY by BIRDSTONE)
5  ARMY KITTEN Dec11         (amoss m)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 ★    
  (by ARMY MULE out of METRY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  PEACE CRUISER Dec31 Dec09 Sep18 Aug07   (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of STREET CRUIZER by QUALITY ROAD)
7  DIVINELY BOLT Jan21 Nov25 Oct23 Oct02 Sep11 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 121 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
8  D'ORO STREET Dec11 Nov24       (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of STREET SHOW by STREET BOSS)
9  NO GUILT Jan22 Dec31 Nov26 Nov04   (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of ALL IN WITH ACES by QUIET AMERICAN)
10  ADIVA Dec21 Nov04 Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 (puhich mike)BAZE C 121 15.00 ★    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BLACK DIAMOND GIRL by HARD SPUN)
 
OP-8   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($106K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ASTRID Jan01 Apr29 Mar05 Feb12   (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 20.00    
2  KABOOM BABY Dec30 May06 Apr08 Mar05 Feb12 (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 120 3.50 13% 6.90    
3  UNBRIDLED TWISTER Dec30 Nov12 May06 Apr08 Mar05 (cates al)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  RUN FEARLESS Jan22 Dec17 Sep02 May30 Apr29 (fires wil)TORRES A 124 15.00    
5  PATTERN BET Dec09 Apr29 Apr09 Mar06 Feb11 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  HEATED ARGUMENT Dec30 Dec09 Jun14 May20 May06 (gonzalez )TRIANA JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  RICHNESS Jan06 Mar05 Jan30 Jan09   (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  HOT SPRINGS BLING Dec30 Jun16 May06 Apr08 Mar13 (donaldson )MICHEL MICKAELLE 120 30.00    
9  HISSY MISSY Dec30         (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 120 20.00    
10  MY DAMS ATITUDE Dec30 Nov17 May06 Apr29 Apr08 (westermann r)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
11  TOO PRETTY Dec30 Jun29 May06 Apr08 Mar05 (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
 
OP-9   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSIDE BUZZ Jan15 Jan08 Dec16 Nov26 Oct30 (vance tho)TORRES A 121 6.00 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of SMOOTH CARAMEL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  FUNNY UNCLE Jan15 Nov13 Oct30 Oct02 Aug29 (vance d)COURT K 121 12.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of NIGHT OWL by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
3  NORTHWIND         (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 ★    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of HALF PAST MIDNIGHT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED Jan06 Dec11 Oct13 Sep21 Aug06 (mason ingrid)WALES T 121 20.00    
  (by ASTERN out of COCOANUT ROW by MINESHAFT)
5  RUNNINGFORCASH Dec10 Oct21       (anderson dou)JORDAN R 121 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of EPIC LADY by TIZNOW)
6  WINNEMAC AVENUE Dec31 Oct30       (divito james )CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of QUEEN OF THE RINGS by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  BOLD D'ORO Jan15         (compton greg)BAZE C 121 15.00 9% 10.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BURBAN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  BLUES ADMIRAL         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of SHE'S WITH IT by JUSTIN PHILLIP)
9  APRIL FOOLS ANDY Jan21         (moysey chels)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  WOODY'S CHOICE Dec31         (witt i)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
  (by BIRD SONG out of MA PETITE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
11  TIVY Jun09 May20       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JELLICLE SONG by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.