Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - January 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/5/2)-(2/3/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/2)-(2/3/7/5/4)-(9/8/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/3/7/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/5/4)-(2/3/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/5/4)-(2/3/7/5/4)-(2/3/7/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/7/5/4)-(9/8/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/5/4)-(9/8/4/6)-(7/3/5/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/6)-(9/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/6)-(9/8/4/6)-(9/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/4/6)-(7/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/4/6)-(7/3/5/1)-(3/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/1)-(3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/1)-(3/7/5)-(8/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(8/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(8/3/7)-(6/7/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/7)-(8/3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/7)-(8/3/7/2)-(8/3/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/7)-(6/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2/3)-(6/7/5/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   01/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Dec02 Nov18 Nov04 Oct19 Sep28 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
2  KATY THE CAT Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 5% 17.70    
3  MELODIOUS SINGER Dec28 Dec03 Oct19 Sep21 Jul21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
4  SICK PACK SARA Dec06 Nov18 Oct22 Sep18 Aug13 (lucas bonnie)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00    
5  HAY NINETEEN Dec28 Nov29 Nov04 Sep14 Aug30 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 7% 12.90    
6  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Jan11 Dec21 Dec11 Nov24 Nov11 (chircop steven)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
SCR  TERPEYE Dec28 Dec14 Nov22 Nov04 Oct24 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 10% 8.60    
8  SOUTH HOUSE Dec20 Dec02 Nov18 Oct19 Oct03 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
 
PEN-2   01/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOOKY ONE Dec28 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct07 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
2  MAGIC SPIN Dec30 Nov11 Oct16 Sep30 Aug26 (albright amy)FLORES E 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
3  ROMANTIC GAMBLE Jan11 Dec09 Nov27 Oct23 Oct07 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 20% 4.10    
4  MIZZEN MONEY Dec28 Aug11 Aug03 Jul06 May25 (shea lydee)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 6% 16.20    
5  GANDI Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Sep20 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
6  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Oct07 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
7  KEFI Oct03 Sep10 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 19% 4.10    
8  BOX OF JOE Nov20 Oct27 Oct01 Jun17 May21 (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   01/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NICE OF ME Dec30 Dec05 Oct31 Oct18 Sep20 (o'callahan carl)FLORES E 122 12.00    
SCR  CONTRAFLOW Dec14 Nov08 Oct18 Aug26 Aug05 (graci kim)VARGAS L 120 8.00 11% 7.70    
3  SPIN CYCLE Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 Oct19 Sep23 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00    
4  DEVOTED KITTEN Jan06 Dec06 Nov18 Oct21 Oct05 (moreno-barb)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00 8% 11.90    
5  MINE TO HOLD Jan11 Dec14 Dec04 Nov16 Nov01 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
6  I LOVE JAXSON Dec14 Oct19 Aug22 Aug05 Jun04 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 12.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  SAMARONTI Jan18 Dec14 Nov30 Nov08 Oct24 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50    
8  VITESSE Dec30 Dec14 Oct25 Oct11 Sep16 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
9  SHANGHAI CANDY Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 Oct29 Oct12 (jones micha)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-4   01/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIEMPO PERFECTO Jan11 Dec07 Nov25 Oct31 Sep27 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 120 12.00 8% 11.00    
2  BRODY'S WAR Nov18 Sep10       (lucas bon)VARGAS L 120 10.00    
3  UPSTATE AND BACK Dec16 Nov02 Sep24 Aug22 Jul28 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
SCR  SPELLED WELL Dec13 Nov23 Oct07 Sep22   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 ★    
5  NEON SIGN Dec16 Nov09 Oct18     (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
6  BRENTFORD Dec16 Nov25 Oct25 Sep22 Sep02 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00    
7  LORD UHTRED Dec16 Nov19 Oct31 Oct12 Sep24 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
PEN-5   01/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSCOWS GOT TALENT Nov01 Sep02 May27 Apr28 Mar23 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 50.00    
2  HELLO GRACIE Nov29 Nov08 Oct29 Oct09 Aug16 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 ★    
3  SWEET BLINDNESS Dec09 Nov15 Oct19 Sep19 Aug29 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 39% 1.60    
4  CHEROKEE PARTY Dec28 Nov08 Oct07 Sep03 Aug20 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00    
5  GLOSSY MADRINA Dec20 Dec06 Nov22 Nov02 Oct18 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  SPECIAL FREEDOM Dec13 Nov05 Sep30 Sep02 Aug07 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 10.00    
7  JET FORCE Jan10 Dec12 Nov23 Sep14 Aug25 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SEA PINES Dec16 Nov28 Oct24 Oct12 Sep21 (wyner harol)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 6.00 10% 9.00    
9  ONE TOUGH ROSE Dec20 Nov08 Oct19 Sep08 Jul29 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00    
 
PEN-6   01/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ITCHY PALMS Jan14         (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of GABBY'S BROWN by BIG BROWN)
2  GREATEST WARRIOR         (stites william )BEATO INOEL 122 15.00 ★    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of TO BELIEVE by INDYGO SHINER)
3  TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Jan06 Nov20       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40 18% 4.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ONE FOXY GREY by BIG BROWN)
4  DON'T QUESTION ME Dec21         (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 15.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of BROADWAY MARTHA by BROAD BRUSH)
5  SHARP STYLE Jan13         (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
6  RECKLESS JONES         (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of QUEEN OFTHE CASTLE by DONERAILE COURT)
7  ROCK ANNA ROLL         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
8  HIGH STRIKE Dec02 Nov09       (wames j)CHIAPPE R 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of IMA SOUL MISS by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
 
PEN-7   01/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET UR LIGHT SHINE Nov22 Nov01 Oct10 Sep04   (sells rache)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
2  DREAMERS BELONG Aug16 Jun09 May24     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 9% 10.10    
3  MS KAYS COWGIRL Nov30 Nov18 Nov04 Oct11 Aug31 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00 ★    
4  CRIMSON LILLE Jan11 Nov18 Oct15 Sep08 Aug31 (deiter ke)VARGAS L 124 10.00    
5  SKIPOVER Jan11 Dec27 Nov05 Oct22 Sep22 (cooper stacey)CHIAPPE R 124 12.00 11% 8.10    
6  HUSHEMUP Jan15 Dec09 Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 43% 1.30    
7  CEETA Nov30 Nov18 Nov04 Oct11 Aug24 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.00 12% 7.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.