Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - May 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(6/5/2)-(3/4/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(3/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(3/4/2/5)-(1/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (3/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/5)-(1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/5)-(1/8/4)-(5/7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(5/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(5/7/6/1)-(6/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (5/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/1)-(6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/1)-(6/7/4)-(9/3/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(9/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(9/3/2/8)-(9/3/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (9/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/2/8)-(9/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/2/8)-(9/3/2/8)-(9/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/2/8)-(9/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (9/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/5)-(9/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/5)-(9/3/7/5)-(9/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE REAL         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 0.80 35% 1.90    
  (by CURLIN out of ISLAND SAINT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  FULLY BOOKED         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SI SI TEQUILA by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  INTO INSPIRATION Mar01 Nov16 Oct31 Oct06 Apr17 (jimenez l)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIAL HONOR by HONOR CODE)
4  SOLUTIONS         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SALLY DANGLES by MORE THAN READY)
5  HOT SPUN Apr19 Mar29 Jan25 Dec27   (bhigroo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of RUBY ROAN by JIMMY CREED)
 
BAQ-2   05/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOCUS POCUS Apr18 Mar28 Feb22 Jan12 Dec08 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
2  DANNEEL Apr24 Apr04 Mar23 Feb28 Feb13 (schauer steve)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00    
3  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Apr18 Mar28 Mar07 Feb27 Jan24 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 126 4.50    
4  ACCELERINA Mar28 Mar07 Feb02 Jan18 Nov29 (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BROOKLYN DANTZ May02 Apr18 Mar23 Feb06 Jan24 (arenas marcelo)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00    
6  PRINCESS CAIRO Mar08 Feb06 Jan17 Mar21 Dec23 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
BAQ-3   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTMYSTEPPINGSTONE Mar28 Jan17 Jan04 Nov23 Nov09 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
2  AWESOME ROBERTA Apr24 Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 (de hor)RIVERA R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPUN SIZE Apr13 Mar29 Jan01 Dec26 Dec01 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN RHAPSODY Apr23 Mar08 Jan30 Jan13 Dec01 (kantarmaci ilk)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
5  PASSAGE EAST (IRE) Apr18 Mar14 Feb21 Feb01 Dec29 (mcmahon i)DAVIS KATIE 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  BROADWAY LIGHTS Mar28 Feb28 Dec01 Oct27 Oct02 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.60 39% 1.60    
 
BAQ-4   05/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE BARRIE Apr17 Mar28 Jan05 Dec07 Nov17 (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 118 20.00    
2  VESUVIO Apr17 Nov27 Nov06 Oct23 Oct08 (ibrahim emron)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 8% 11.60    
3  RUNAMOR Mar28 Jan26 Jan04 Nov30   (devaux adr)RIVERA R 118 0.40 45% 1.20    
4  FINES CREEK Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 Nov23 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  YO BRO Apr23 Oct27       (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MONOMOYS PARTNER May01 Feb23 Feb08 Jan26 Jan05 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 12.00    
7  NO MORE SINS Apr11         (ryerson james )LUZZI J 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COGNOSCENTI Mar09 Jan24 Dec14     (lewis l)ORTIZ JR 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BLANK SLATE by GIO PONTI)
2  SOLOMINI'S LEGACY Apr23 Mar28 Feb28 Feb08   (ferraro w)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of BELLA'S FLAIR by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  FRESH START Apr23 Mar29       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
  (by KILLYBEGS CAPTAIN out of HIPSHOOTINMOMMA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  BEFORE THE WIND Apr26 Oct27       (merryman eliza)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of MAGGIE NEARY by HURRICANE RUN)
SCR  DR HIGH Feb28 Jan17 Nov30     (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 125 30.00    
  (by DR LARGE out of HIGH DRAW by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  MY GORGEOUS Jan24 Dec13 Mar02 Apr30 Mar24 (keithan)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 30.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of GET GORGEOUS by FREUD)
7  POGGIO         (morley thomas)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SISTER MARETTE by CUVEE)
8  ENGLISH CASTLE Dec01 Aug28 Jul25 Jun14 May03 (de h)SANTANA JR 125 1.40 35% 1.90    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SEA COAST by ROCK OF GIBRALTAR)
SCR  CHRIS'S SONG Nov02         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
  (by FLATTER out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  SANZIO May10 Apr19 Mar29 Mar01   (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 3.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of AUNT BABE by DESERT PARTY)
 
BAQ-6   05/11/2025 3960ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLOSHOT Jun14 May24 Apr27 Mar17 Mar03 (shivman)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CARA'S TIME Mar22 Jan25 Dec08 Oct27 Oct04 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00    
3  WEEKEND RAGS Mar15 Feb08 Dec26 Sep13 Aug08 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
4  GOLDEN CANARY Apr12 Sep28 Aug03 Jun15 Mar09 (casse ma)SANTANA JR 123 6.00    
5  TAZARA (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  ULTIMATE READY Apr10 Feb23 Feb28     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 8.00 18% 4.70    
7  CREED'S GOLD Apr10 Mar02 Jan23 Jun22 Jun01 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  SIMPLY STATED Apr19 Apr04 Mar02 Jan29 Jan02 (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE May01 Feb01 Dec01 Oct04 Aug10 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.60    
 
BAQ-7   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR STRIDE Apr23 Mar16 Jan30 Jan02 Nov30 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.50    
SCR  MISH Mar27 Feb07 Dec15 Nov22 Sep28 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80    
3  CO CONSPIRATOR Apr25 Apr12 Apr06 Mar08 Feb15 (jones ed)VILLA FAVINHO 123 30.00    
4  FLY'N FRISBEE Apr05 Mar16 Dec14     (keithan)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIGHT THE WAY Apr23 Apr13 Mar22 Feb28 Jan18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
6  MASTER OF ARMS Apr12 Mar16 Feb09 Jan04 Dec14 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
7  AGGELOS THE GREAT Feb14 Jan16 Nov30 Oct18 Aug25 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
BAQ-8   05/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DR. KRAFT Apr23 Apr13 Mar21 Feb27 Jan23 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
SCR  NEURAL NETWORK Mar21 Mar01 Jan16 Sep28 Aug30 (kantarmaci ilkay)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
2  SLAPINTHEFACE Nov16 Oct18 Aug24 Jul28 Jun20 (dutrow anthon)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
3  BE OF COURAGE May24 Apr28 Dec17 Nov16 Oct28 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
4  KING MOONRACER Apr26 Feb21 Jan04 Dec13 Nov15 (parker joseph)LUZZI J 124 50.00    
5  CLEAR CONSCIENCE Nov08 Oct12 Sep15 Aug24 Jul27 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00    
6  CABLE READY Nov22 Nov08 Sep27 Sep15 Aug15 (dixon li)SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
7  GEM MINT TEN Nov08 Oct12 Sep15 Jul27 Jun20 (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
8  LEFTEMBEHIND Mar27 Feb28 Jan23 Sep28 Aug30 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  BORN DANCER Nov08 Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 Jul21 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  ELYSIAN MEADOWS Apr12 Mar14 Aug25 Aug15 Jul15 (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 2.50    
SCR  MIGHTY ATLAS Mar21 Mar01 Jan23 Dec14 Nov22 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.60    
 
BAQ-9   05/11/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAYLANI LOU         (martin carlos)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MISS LUANN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  CAHIRA'S SONG Apr18 Mar15       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of YALETOWN by CHIEF HONCHO)
3  FIRE'S OUT Oct13         (duarte j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 11% 8.30    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of APPRECIATING by SKY MESA)
4  MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE Feb21         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TAPAS by SKY CLASSIC)
5  SUGAR RUN         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEADOWLAKE out of BIXBY LOU by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  HIDDEN AGENDA         (johnst)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
  (by WHISKEY WISDOM out of HIDDEN TURN by MEGATURN)
7  MORE THAN GRACE Apr18 Mar22 Jan10 Nov08   (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 8% 12.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TRACE OF GRACE by PETIONVILLE)
8  JUST ADD WATER         (summers chad)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DOROTHY'S AURORA by SIMON PURE)
9  MY ANTICIPATION Mar16 Feb15 Jan08     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BABY RAGS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  HERE'SYOURTROUBLE Apr09 Mar14 Jan09 Nov21 Aug26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of IN KELLY'S DEFENSE by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.